| 1. |
- Fredén, Annika, et al.
(författare)
-
Skäl att rösta strategiskt i riksdagsval
- 2015
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Ingår i: Fragment: SOM-undersökningen 2014. - Göteborg : University of Gothenburg. - 0284-4788. - 9789189673328 ; 63, s. 377-386
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)
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| 2. |
- Bergman, Mats, 1964-, et al.
(författare)
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Collegiality and efficiency in bureaucracy
- 2022
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Ingår i: Public Policy and Administration. - : Sage Publications. - 0952-0767 .- 1749-4192. ; 38:4, s. 492-511
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This article addresses the relation between the design of regulatory agencies and efficiency, arguing that authority concentrated to a single individual outperforms more collegial decision-making when the regulated firms' interests are aligned. The tentative explanation is that concentrated leadership reduces the risk for capture. This argument is developed from an empirical case on the markets for mobile and fixed broadband. In the mobile market, the regulated firms are similarly positioned, whereas in the fixed broadband market, the firms typically have adversarial positions, with an incumbent being challenged by entrants. A statistical analysis of regulatory agencies in 33 European countries lends support to the argument that regulation of mobile broadband benefits from having a single decision-maker whereas a bureaucratic regulation with more collegiality functions as well for the fixed broadband.
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| 3. |
- Blais, André, et al.
(författare)
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What Kind of Electoral Outcome do People Think is Good for Democracy?
- 2021
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Ingår i: Political Studies. - : Sage Publications. - 0032-3217 .- 1467-9248.
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- There is perennial debate in comparative politics about electoral institutions, but what characterizes this debate is the lack of consideration for citizens’ perspective. In this paper, we report the results of an original survey conducted on representative samples in 15 West European countries (N = 15,414). We implemented an original instrument to elicit respondents’ views by asking them to rate “real but blind” electoral outcomes. With this survey instrument, we aimed to elicit principled rather than partisan preferences regarding the kind of electoral outcomes that citizens think is good for democracy. We find that West Europeans do not clearly endorse a majoritarian or proportional vision of democracy. They tend to focus on aspects of the government rather than parliament when they pass a judgment. They want a majority government that has few parties and enjoys wide popular support. Finally, we find only small differences between citizens of different countries.
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| 4. |
- Bäck, Emma, et al.
(författare)
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A social safety net? : Rejection sensitivity and political opinion sharing among young people in social media
- 2019
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Ingår i: New Media and Society. - : Sage Publications. - 1461-4448 .- 1461-7315. ; 21:2, s. 298-316
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- One reason why people avoid using social media to express their opinions is to avert social sanctions as proposed by the spiral of silence theory. We here elaborate on individual-level sensitivity to social rejection in relation to voicing political opinions on social media sites. Given the uncertainty about sharing political views in social media, and the fact that social acceptance, or rejection, can be easily communicated through, for instance, likes, or a lack of likes, we argue that rejection sensitive individuals are less likely to share political information in social media. Combining an analysis of unique survey data on psychological characteristics and online political activity with focus group interviews with Swedish youth supports our argument, showing that rejection sensitive individuals are less inclined to engage politically in social media. The results extend on previous research by establishing the role of rejection sensitivity in political engagement in social media.
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| 5. |
- Bäck, Hanna, et al.
(författare)
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Legalize Cannabis? : Effects of party cues on attitudes to a controversial policy proposal
- 2022
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Ingår i: Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties. - : Taylor & Francis. - 1745-7289 .- 1745-7297. ; 32:2, s. 489-500
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This article focuses on how party identity can shape policy support or opposition to the controversial issue of legalizing cannabis in Sweden, which is strongly opposed by the public. In a survey experiment (N = 3612), we manipulated if a message that supported or opposed a policy proposal to legalize cannabis was presented by a representative of the own party or an outgroup party. Results showed increased opposition to the proposal when the ingroup party opposed the policy and when the outgroup party endorsed the policy. When the ingroup party endorsed the policy and when the outgroup party opposed the policy, attitudes to the policy were not influenced. We argue that prior attitudes moderate how ingroup- and outgroup party messages are processed and that voters do not blindly follow the party line. Only when the own party presents a position that coincides with the individual’s prior position, are attitudes strengthened and voters follow the party line. Attitudes are also strengthened as a way to increase distance to a disliked outgroup party. When the party cue contradicts prior beliefs (ingroup-endorse; outgroup-oppose), the information is ignored, which allows individuals to retain their view of the party, be it positive or negative.
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| 6. |
- Esaiasson, Peter, 1957, et al.
(författare)
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Details Matter : Secluded Areas and Voting Secrecy with French Ballots
- 2023
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Ingår i: Election Law Journal. - : Mary Ann Liebert. - 1533-1296 .- 1557-8062. ; 22:4, s. 327-336
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- To explore the psychology of voting secrecy, we conducted a field experiment to examine voter sensitivity to arrangements for ballot paper selection under the French ballot system (i.e., multiple ballot papers). Working closely with Swedish election authorities, we randomly assigned participants to vote in a fictional election under low, medium-high and high privacy conditions with a follow up paper-and-pen survey to record perceived voting secrecy. Results show that participants perceived an arrangement for selecting ballot papers behind a closed screen as clearly more secret than one where selection was public, and that a third and even more private arrangement, where voters did not have to walk a few meters with ballot papers in hand, potentially visible to onlookers, provided even higher levels of perceived secrecy. The study demonstrates that voters are sensitive even to small changes in the voting environment. Accordingly, election administrators should be aware that details matter for the experience of voting secretly. Copyright 2023, Mary Ann Liebert, Inc., publishers.
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| 7. |
- Fredén, Annika, et al.
(författare)
-
A Social Safety Net? Incentives for sharing political information online
- 2017
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Konferensbidrag (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- This paper explores the relationship between sensitivity to rejection and using social media for political activity. We hypothesize that individuals who are afraid of being rejected behave differently when using social media than the ones who are less sensitive to rejection. We argue that “rejection sensitive” individuals are less likely to share political information in social media, since the recipient is more anonymous than in real-life communication. Starting from theories on social influence on political participation, we elaborate the relationship between age, rejection sensitivity, and political opinion-making. Combining a unique survey on psychological characteristics and political activities with focus groups interviews with Swedish youth lends credence to the central idea. Younger citizens are in general more sensitive to social rejection, and less inclined to influence others politically in social media. On the other hand, younger citizens are more politically active in social media.This research was financially supported by the Marianne och Marcus Wallenberg Foundation
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| 8. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
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Betting on the underdog : The influence of social networks on vote choice
- 2022
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Ingår i: Political Science Research and Methods. - : Cambridge University Press. - 2049-8470 .- 2049-8489. ; 10:1, s. 198-205
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- People are commonly expected not to waste their vote on parties with small probabilities of being elected. Yet, many end up voting for underdogs. We argue that voters gauge the popular support for their preferred party from their social networks. When social networks function as echo chambers, a feature observed in real-life networks, voters overestimate underdogs’ chances of winning. We conduct voting experiments in which some treatment groups receive signals from a simulated network. We compare the effect of networks with a high degree of homogeneity against random networks. We find that homophilic networks increase the level of support for underdogs, which provides evidence to back up anecdotal claims that echo chambers foster the development of fringe parties.
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| 9. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Coalitions, Coordination and Electoral Choice : A Lab Experimental Study of Strategic Voting
- 2016
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Ingår i: Voting Experiments. - Cham, Switzerland : Springer. - 9783319405711 - 9783319405735 ; , s. 191-213
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- When a voter chooses between large and small parties in a coalition, strategic reasons may be the tie-breaker. “Strategic voting” is often defined as a vote for another party than one’s most preferred one with the intention to affect the outcome of the election. The presence of coalitions can sometimes be argued to lead to less strategic voting, whereas others claim that coalitions create more strategic incentives. This chapter looks at how the relative strength of parties in a coalition affect voters’ tendency to vote strategically. Comparing two contexts with more or less uncertainty about which parties will make it to the parliament, the findings are that voters cast strategic votes for small parties to a greater extent when there are substantial size differences between the coalition parties. Individual expectations of parties’ likelihood of success are crucial to the decision making.
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| 10. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981, et al.
(författare)
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Coalitions, Coordination and Electoral Choice: A Lab Experimental Study of Strategic Voting
- 2016
-
Ingår i: Voting Experiments - (eds.) Andre Blais, Jean-François Laslier, Karine Van der Straeten. - Heidelberg : Springer. - 9783319405711 - 9783319405735 ; , s. 191-213
-
Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- When a voter chooses between large and small parties in a coalition, strategic reasons may be the tie-breaker. "Strategic voting" is often defined as a vote for another party than one's most preferred one with the intention to affect the outcome of the election. The presence of coalitions can sometimes be argued to lead to less strategic voting, whereas others claim that coalitions create more strategic incentives. This chapter looks at how the relative strength of parties in a coalition affect voters' tendency to vote strategically. Comparing two contexts with more or less uncertainty about which parties will make it to the parliament, the findings are that voters cast strategic votes for small parties to a greater extent when there are substantial size differences between the coalition parties. Individual expectations of parties' likelihood of success are crucial to the decision making.
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| 11. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
-
Coronakrisen har förstärkt personfixeringen inom politiken
- 2020
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Ingår i: Göteborgs-Posten. - Göteborg. ; , s. 5 juni-
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Tidskriftsartikel (populärvet., debatt m.m.)abstract
- Coronakrisen har gynnat regeringspartier i olika länder. Och väljarens förtroende för partiet är kopplat till vem som leder partiet - en tendens som förstärkts under Corona. I Norden brukar partiet framhållas framför ledaren så det vi nu ser är en "amerikanisering" av politiken. Och så har krisen tydligare delat den svenska väljarkåren i två läger: de som gillar Löfven, och de som inte gör det, skriver bland andra Annika Fredén, universitetslektor i statsvetenskap.
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| 12. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Duellerna i riksdagsvalet 2018 från den väljandes perspektiv
- 2017
-
Ingår i: Larmar och gör sig till. - Göteborg : SOM-institutet. - 0284-4788. - 9789189673397 ; , s. 359-370
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Inför en valrörelse är det många som överväger fler än ett parti. Detta kapitel handlar om vilka dessa är, var de befinner sig politiskt och hur de ser på tre centrala sakfrågor: ekonomi, skola och invandring. Det visar sig att det är främst unga, högutbildade personer med låg partiidentifikation som överväger fler än ett parti. De placerar sig oftare något till vänster eller något till höger. När väljarna bedömer sina tänkbara alternativ tjänar Moderaterna på en ekonomisk agenda medan Liberalerna och Kristdemokraterna har starkare kort i skolfrågan. Centern och Sverigedemokraterna vinner på en annan typ av samtal. På vänstersidan är det jämnt mellan Miljöpartiet och Socialdemokraterna bland de som överväger dessa. Skolfrågan kan plockas upp av partier i båda läger. Analyserna av väljarens individuella preferenser för partier och sakfrågor ritar en delvis ny karta över landskapet inför valet 2018.
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| 13. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Dåliga opinionssiffror kan rädda KD kvar i riksdagen
- 2013
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Ingår i: Dagens Nyheter. - Stockholm.
-
Tidskriftsartikel (populärvet., debatt m.m.)abstract
- Taktikröstning. Dåliga opinionssiffror kan bli räddningen för Kristdemokraterna. Detta enligt ny forskning som visar att taktikröstning på ett parti ökar ju lägre opinionssiffror partiet har. Taktisk röstning kan avgöra riksdagsvalet 2014, skriver Annika Fredén, doktorand i statsvetenskap vid Lunds universitet.
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| 14. |
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| 15. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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How Polling Trends Influence Compensational Coalition-Voting
- 2021
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Ingår i: Frontiers in Political Science. - : Frontiers Media S.A.. - 2673-3145. ; 3
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Compensational voting refers to when voters cast a vote for a more extreme party than they prefer, in order to push policies closer to an ideal point. This article develops the idea of compensational voting in regard to pre-electoral coalition signals and polling trends. The argument is that a significant share of voters consider the relative strength of the parties in their preferred pre-electoral coalition, and adjust their vote choice accordingly. This is elaborated by conducting a mixed logit model over eight Swedish general elections where parties were more or less clear about their intentions to collaborate with other parties. Combining unique data from parties’ election manifestos including negative and positive quotes about other parties with polling trends and voters’ approval rating of parties, the analysis lends support to the idea that this type of coalition-oriented compensational voting occurs.
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| 16. |
- Fredén, Annika, et al.
(författare)
-
Hur rösten räknas : Om valsystemet
- 2024
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Ingår i: En författning i tiden : Regeringsformen under 50 år - Regeringsformen under 50 år. - 9789173291897 - 9789173291880 ; , s. 93-112
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Sverige har ett proportionellt valsystem, med en faktor som kan göra valresultatet mindre representativt - riksdagsspärren på fyra procent. Hur påverkar spärren väljares och partiers strategiska beteende? Vilka förändringar har genomförts i systemet de senaste femtio åren och hur kan det komma att utformas i framtiden?
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| 17. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
-
Insurance strategic considerations in coalition-oriented systems : A consideration set model approach
- 2018
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Ingår i: Electoral Studies. - Amsterdam, Netherlands : Elsevier BV. - 0261-3794 .- 1873-6890. ; 57, s. 302-308
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- During a vote-decision process, citizens elect between some of the parties – not all of them. In this paper, we explore a potential strategic reason to include an additional alternative in the consideration set. Drawing on research from the field of strategic voting, we study incentives to defect to a party at risk of falling below an electoral threshold in order to elect a winning coalition (”insurance”). Our argument is that these types of strategic considerations occur already in the campaign, but do not always translate into choice. Using the so-called consideration set model approach (CSM), which focuses on how voters select fewer alternatives among a larger number of parties, we model vote choice over an election campaign using panel data from the Swedish National Election Studies of 2014. In line with our argument, we demonstrate that the insurance strategy was prevalent earlier in the decision-making process, when forming the consideration set.
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| 18. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981, et al.
(författare)
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Insurance voting in the centre: An experimental approach
- 2024
-
Ingår i: International Journal of Public Opinion Research. - 0954-2892 .- 1471-6909. ; 36:3
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Recent research suggests that to help their preferred coalition win an election, voters are willing to vote for a political party other than their preferred choice. In this field, voting for smaller parties under proportional representation is an under-studied feature. A crucial factor to estimate the chances for smaller parties is polls. In this study, we analyze the influence of opinion polls on switching vote choice to a smaller party when the party polls are at different levels. Building on an original survey experiment, we elaborate the potential differences in impact on insurance voting for a small party with looser or stronger association with a government alternative. The focus is the 2022 Swedish general election and the three smallest parties in parliament: the Green Party (center-left), the Christian Democrats (right), and the Liberals (center-right). The experiment had nine different conditions where each of these parties was placed at different levels of opinion: below, at, and above the parliamentary threshold, while holding all other factors constant. We find that poll-induced insurance voting is most prevalent for the party with the strongest preference for a government alternative (the Christian Democrats) and least prevalent for the party with a more issue-focused stance (the Greens).
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| 19. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Opinion polls, coalition signals and strategic voting : Evidence from a survey experiment
- 2017
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Ingår i: Scandinavian Political Studies. - Hoboken, NJ, USA : Wiley-Blackwell. - 0080-6757 .- 1467-9477. ; 40:3, s. 247-264
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Recent studies find that defection from one's most preferred party to some other party is as common under proportional representation (PR) as it is in plurality systems. It is less elaborated how election‐specific contextual factors affect strategic vote choice under PR. This study looks at the impact of two potentially important contextual factors: parties’ coalition signals about cooperation with other parties (referred to as ‘pre‐electoral coalitions’) and polling information, which vary from one election to the next. The focus is strategic voting for smaller parties at risk of falling below an electoral threshold. The hypothesis is that parties that are included in well‐defined coalitions will benefit from strategic ‘insurance’ votes if the polls show that they have support slightly below the threshold. However, smaller parties that do not belong to a coalition would be less likely to benefit from insurance votes. Extensive survey experiments with randomized coalition signals and polls give support to the idea that a voter's tendency to cast an insurance vote depends on whether the polls show support below or above the threshold and whether the party is included in a coalition or not.
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| 20. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
-
Partiuppsättningsmodeller för väljarbeteende
- 2018
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Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- The report Consideration Set Models for Voting Behavior is a Swedish summary of some the results and publications from the research project Developing Consideration Set Models of Party Choice, funded by the Riksbankens Jubileumsfond in the years 2014-2017 (P13-0721:1). The focus is how voters proceed through the vote decision making process in proportional representation systems, relating to classic decision making literature (Tversky, 1972; Mc Fadden, 1974).
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| 21. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Political science : Moving from numbers to words in the case of Brexit
- 2020
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Ingår i: Statistical Semantics. - Cham : Springer. - 9783030372491 - 9783030372507 ; , s. 249-262
-
Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Quantitative text analysis is a growing research field in political science, whereas very few combine survey experiments with in-depth analysis of citizens’ word expressions. This chapter illustrates how a survey experiment and a latent semantic analysis are successfully combined in analyzing the 2016 EU referendum in Great Britain (Brexit). This example combines an analysis of semantic cluster approach based on experimental text data with multivariate maximum likelihood estimations. Using this approach, we are able to make finer inferences on the relationship between threat conditions and individual political behavior.
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| 22. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
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Reevaluating the Influence of Leaders Under Proportional Representation : Quantitative Analysis of Text in an Electoral Experiment
- 2021
-
Ingår i: Frontiers in Psychology. - : Frontiers Media S.A.. - 1664-1078. ; 12, s. 1-8
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- We propose that leaders play a more important role in voters’ party sympathy in proportional representation systems (PR) than previous research has suggested. Voters, from the 2018 Swedish General Election, were in an experiment asked to describe leaders and parties with three indicative keywords. Statistical models were conducted on these text data to predict their vote choice. The results show that despite that the voters vote for a party, the descriptions of leaders predicted vote choice to a similar extent as descriptions of parties. However, the order of the questions mattered, so that the first questions were more predictive than the second question. These analyses indicate that voters tend to conflate characteristics of leaders with their parties during election campaigns, and that leaders are a more important aspect of voting under PR than previous literature has suggested. Overall, this suggests that statistical analysis of words sheds new light of underlying sympathies related to voting.
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| 23. |
- Fredén, Annika, et al.
(författare)
-
"Rädsla snedvrider politisk debatt"
- 2018
-
Ingår i: Svenska Dagbladet, Stockholm. - 1101-2412.
-
Tidskriftsartikel (populärvet., debatt m.m.)abstract
- Personer som bryr sig om vad andra tycker om dem håller sig borta från diskussioner om politik i sociala medier, trots att de är intresserade av politik. Politiska diskussioner i sociala medier och webbaserade paneler kan därför vara en snedvriden avbild av vad människor i allmänhet egentligen tycker och tänker, skriver forskare med utgångspunkt i en ny studie.
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| 24. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
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Rädsla snedvrider politisk debatt i sociala medier
- 2018
-
Ingår i: Svenska Dagbladet. - Stockholm : Schibsted Forlag.
-
Tidskriftsartikel (populärvet., debatt m.m.)abstract
- Personer som bryr sig om vad andra tycker om dem håller sig borta från diskussioner om politik i sociala medier, trots att de är intresserade av politik. Politiska diskussioner i sociala medier och webbaserade paneler kan därför vara en snedvriden avbild av vad människor i allmänhet egentligen tycker och tänker, skriver forskare med utgångspunkt i en ny studie.
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| 25. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
-
Skäl att rösta strategiskt i riksdagsval
- 2015
-
Ingår i: Fragment. - Göteborg : SOM-institutet. - 9789189673328 ; , s. 377-386
-
Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Vid de senaste riksdagsvalen har det förts livliga debatter huruvida det är taktiskt rätt att rösta på vissa partier i vissa situationer. Två huvudtyper av argument har framförts. Det första har med spärrgränsen att göra: det är bättre att välja ett säkert kort än att rösta på ett parti som riskerar att inte komma in i riksdagen. Det andra argumentet har med regeringsfrågan att göra: det är viktigt rösta på vissa partier eftersom det ökar sannolikheten för att en viss typ av regering kan bildas efter valet.Vid det senaste valet 2014 gällde diskussionen om taktisk röstning bland andra Feministiskt initiativ (Fi) som inför valet hade ett opinionsstöd strax under den magiska fyraprocentspärren. Några argumenterade för att det var bättre att välja ett parti som med säkerhet valdes in i riksdagen, även om man gillade Fi bäst. Andra hävdade att en röst på Fi skulle kunna hjälpa det röd-gröna blocket att få majoritet i riksdagen, vilket kunde motivera vänstersympatisörer att rösta på nykomlingen. Att rösta på ett annat parti än det man tycker bäst om med avsikten att påverka utfallet brukar kallas att rösta strategiskt. I detta kapitel tittar vi närmare på feno- menet strategisk röstning i svenska val sedan 1988, för att bättre förstå vem som röstar strategiskt och varför.
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| 26. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
-
Strategic Voting under Coalition Governments
- 2016
-
Doktorsavhandling (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- If a voter defects from preference under the consideration of policy outcomes and others' behavior, it is a "strategic vote". This thesis relates voters' strategic considerations to the government formation process: the chances for a party to gain seats, enter office, and affect overall policies. This implies that voters sometimes think like parties on the governmental consequences of the vote. From these goals, four different types of strategic voting are discussed: voting for a party that is more likely to get elected (not to "waste one's vote"), more likely to lead the government formation process ("strategic sequencing"), at risk of falling below an electoral threshold ("insurance-voting"), or to affect the overall policies of a coalition ("compensational voting"). The focus is strategic voting for smaller parties, which has been given less attention in previous studies and is more likely to take place in proportional representation (PR), where the government is usually a coalition. The argument being made is that the potentially strategic voter does not always cast (the same type of) strategic vote. Information found in polls, for example, varies from election to election. Indications from the parties regarding with whom they intend to cooperate should also affect consideration about parties' post-electoral behavior. The ideas concerning strategic voting under coalition governments in practice are tested in four empirical studies. Using different methods, from large scale real life election studies over time to small scale laboratory experiments, the findings support the idea that different types of coalition-oriented strategic voting occurs and that these different types are based on the election-specific context.
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| 27. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
-
Strategisk röstning i riksdagsvalet 2018
- 2019
-
Rapport (refereegranskat)abstract
- De senaste valen är det fler väljare som röstar på ett annat parti än det de gillar bäst, och ett skäl till detta kan vara strategi. I denna rapport analyseras förväntningar, olika strategiska skäl för röstning och väljarströmmar i riksdagsvalet 2018. Kristdemokraterna står fortfarande ut som ett parti som gynnas av strategisk röstning. En förklaring till detta års uppgång är ett lagom osäkert läge runt spärren i valkampanjens slutskede och fokus på regeringsskifte. Samtidigt var det få som ”kastade bort” sina röster och vänsterblocket lyckades denna gång lyckades koordinera sina röster bättre än 2014. Analyserna tyder också på en förhållandevis stor grupp röstade strategiskt på Socialdemokraterna. I valet 2018 röstade 15 procent av väljarkåren på ett annat parti än de eller det parti de sade sig gilla bäst.
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| 28. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
-
Strategisk röstning till vänster (och höger) i riksdagsvalet 2018
- 2019
-
Ingår i: Storm och stiltje. - Göteborg : Göteborgs universitet. - 9789189673441 ; , s. 133-139
-
Bokkapitel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Fenomenet ”strategisk röstning” har blivit ett allt hetare samtalsämne innan och efter val. Underlaget till 2018 års nationella SOM-undersökning samlades in mitt under regeringsförhandlingarna och visar att det framför allt var partierna runt fyraprocentsspärren och Socialdemokraterna som gynnades av strategiska röster i riksdagsvalet 2018. Socialdemokratiska väljare har också flyttat sig ett snäpp högerut jämfört med valet 2014 och i relation till regeringspartnern Miljöpartiet, visar mer ingående analyser. 12 procent röstade potentiellt strategiskt i riksdagsvalet 2018.
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| 29. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-
(författare)
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Taktikröstning på stora och små partier i valet 2018
- 2018
-
Ingår i: Snabbtänkt. - Sundsvall : Mittuniversitetet, Demicom. - 9789188025999 ; , s. 53-53
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Bokkapitel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- I årets val underskattade opinionsmätningarna stödet för Socialdemokraterna och även Moderaterna. En möjlig förklaring till detta är att många av de som övervägde parti in i det sista till slut valde ett stort parti. I den här texten tittar jag närmare på tre strategiska mekanismer som kan ha haft betydelse: oviljan att kasta bort sin röst, önskan att rösta på ett regeringsledande parti, och kompensatorisk röstning. Avslutningsvis ger jag några tankar om varför Kristdemokraterna lyckades klara spärren med mycket luft under ribban.
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| 30. |
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| 31. |
- Fredén, Annika
(författare)
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Threshold Insurance Voting in PR Systems : A study of voters' strategic behavior in the 2010 Swedish General Election.
- 2014
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Ingår i: Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties. - Abingdon, Storbritannien : Routledge. - 1745-7289 .- 1745-7297. ; 24:4, s. 473-492
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This study investigates strategic voting for small parties in proportional representationsystems, in previous work sometimes referred to as threshold insurance voting (Cox,1997). Starting from theories of rational voting (Downs, 1957), three conditions for threshold insurance voting are developed: the voter considers potential government outcomes, votes fora party at risk of falling below an electoral threshold, and votes for another party than his orher most preferred one. The conditions are tested on the case of the 2010 Swedish general election. Using extensive data material and a conditional logit model of vote choice, the resultsshow that in this election voters cast strategic votes for at least one of the small parties, the Christian Democrats which was included in the incumbent government coalition.
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| 32. |
- Fredén, Annika, 1981-, et al.
(författare)
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Voters' view of leaders during the Covid-19 crisis : Quantitative analysis of keyword descriptions provides strength and direction of evaluations
- 2021
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Ingår i: Social Science Quarterly. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 0038-4941 .- 1540-6237. ; 102:5, s. 2170-2183
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Objectives Previous research suggests that governments usually gain support during crises such as the Covid-19. However, these findings are based on rating scales that only allow us to measure the strength of this support. This article proposes a new measure of how voters evaluate Prime Ministers (PM) by asking for descriptive keywords that are analyzed by natural language processing. Methods By collecting a representative sample of citizens' own key words describing their PM in 15 countries in Europe during the outbreak of Covid-19, and analyzing these by latent semantic analysis and a multiple OLS regression, we could quantify the strength and direction of voters' view. Results The strength analysis supported previous studies that describing the PM with positive words was strongly associated with vote intention. Furthermore, a change in the direction of the attitudes from "good" to "honest" was found. A new finding was that the pandemic was associated with an increase in polarization. Conclusions The keyword evaluation analysis provides opportunities of evaluating both strength and direction of voters' view of their PM, where we show new results related to increased polarization and shift in the direction of attitudes.
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| 33. |
- Gustafsson, Nils, et al.
(författare)
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Why do people talk politics online? : Because they don’t care what you think
- 2018
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Ingår i: The Conversation. - London, United Kingdom : The Conversation Trust (UK) Limited.
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Tidskriftsartikel (populärvet., debatt m.m.)abstract
- Wading into a political debate online can be a minefield. Search any comment section or thread on a social media site, and you’re likely to come across some pretty strong views. But that’s not necessarily just the nature of the debate. It could also reflect the kind of personalities that are drawn to online discussions of this kind.
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| 34. |
- Kjellström, Freddy, 1968-
(författare)
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De motsträviga kommunerna : En studie av mellankommunal samverkan på regional nivå
- 2022
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Doktorsavhandling (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- The achievement of more cost-effective welfare production and the improvement of investment coordination at the regional level are prominent topics in public debate in Sweden concerning the promotion of Inter-Municipal Cooperation. In 2002, legislation (SFS 2002:34) made it possible to establish an extended ‘Inter-Municipal Cooperation’ through a self-governing regional body (RSO) for the purpose of creating more space for municipalities to act on the regional level. The RSOs delegated authority to this new municipal arrangement from the County Administrative Boards responsible for regional economic development. Formal criteria were established, including that a consensus must be reached among all the municipalities within the region. If one municipality rejects a proposal to establish an Inter-Municipal Cooperation (RSO), the proposal should be delayed, or abandoned altogether. RSOs were established in most of the counties, but in a few there was reluctance from the municipalities. The aim in this thesis is to achieve a deeper understanding of municipal leaders’ reluctance from participating in an Inter-Municipal Cooperation (RSO) and to understand what kind of mechanisms influenced the municipal leaders so as to change their initially critical attitudes to ones of support for Inter-Municipal Cooperation (RSO). The theoretical framework contains of two different logics that derive from Rational Choice (Logic of Consequentiality) on the one hand, and New Institutional Theories (Logic of Appropriateness) on the other. The empirical material consists of interviews with Councilors, including the Chairs and Vice Chairs of the Municipalities’ Executive Committees and the Municipal Directors in seven municipalities from five different counties. The results show that both rational choice and institutional norms are important factors and which have had a considerable impact on municipal leaders’ approaches towards Inter-Municipal Cooperation (RSO).
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| 35. |
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| 36. |
- Rosengren, Annika, 1951, et al.
(författare)
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Psychosocial factors and venous thromboembolism: a long-term follow-up study of Swedish men
- 2008
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Ingår i: Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis. - : Elsevier BV. - 1538-7836. ; 6:4, s. 558-64
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND: The link between psychosocial factors and coronary heart disease is well established, but although effects on coagulation and fibrinolysis variables may be implicated, no population-based study has sought to determine whether venous thromboembolism is similarly related to psychosocial factors. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether venous thromboembolism (deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) is related to psychosocial factors. PATIENTS/METHODS: A stress questionnaire was filled in by 6958 men at baseline from 1970 to 1973, participants in a cardiovascular intervention trial. Their occupation was used to determine socio-economic status. RESULTS: After a maximum follow-up of 28.8 years, 358 cases of deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism were identified through the Swedish hospital discharge and cause-specific death registries. In comparison with men who, at baseline, had no or moderate stress, men with persistent stress had increased risk of pulmonary embolism [hazard ratio (HR)=1.80, 95% CI: 1.21-2.67]. After multivariable adjustment, the HR decreased slightly to 1.66 (95% CI: 1.12-2.48). When compared with manual workers, men with white-collar jobs at intermediate or high level and professionals showed an inverse relationship between occupational class and pulmonary embolism (multiple-adjusted HR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.39-0.83). Deep vein thrombosis was not significantly related to either stress or occupational class. CONCLUSION: Both persistent stress and low occupational class were independently related to future pulmonary embolism. The mechanisms are unknown, but effects on coagulation and fibrinolytic factors are likely.
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| 37. |
- Sohlberg, Jacob, et al.
(författare)
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The electoral choices of voters with coalition-straddling consideration sets
- 2020
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Ingår i: Social Science Quarterly. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 0038-4941 .- 1540-6237. ; 101:4, s. 1303-1313
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- ObjectivesPreelectoral party coalitions are common in multiparty systems. We examine the proposition that individuals who choose between parties from competing coalitions think and behave differently compared to those who only consider voting for parties of the same coalition. Part of the reason, we suggest, is that coalition‐straddling voters play a key role in deciding who forms government.MethodsWe rely on data from a multiwave panel with thousands of participants collected during two election campaigns in Sweden. Statistical regression techniques are used to analyze the data.ResultsWe find that citizens who straddle opposing coalitions think that the vote decision is harder and rely more on voting advice applications. Moreover, the evidence suggests that their ultimate vote choice is more consequential in how they view parties.ConclusionCoalition‐straddling influences political behavior. The evidence is largely in line with the notion that coalition‐straddling individuals are aware of their importance.
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