| 1. |
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| 2. |
- Abbafati, Cristiana, et al.
(författare)
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- 2020
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
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| 3. |
- Micah, Angela E., et al.
(författare)
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Tracking development assistance for health and for COVID-19 : a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 204 countries and territories, 1990-2050
- 2021
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Ingår i: The Lancet. - : Elsevier. - 0140-6736 .- 1474-547X. ; 398:10308, s. 1317-1343
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background The rapid spread of COVID-19 renewed the focus on how health systems across the globe are financed, especially during public health emergencies. Development assistance is an important source of health financing in many low-income countries, yet little is known about how much of this funding was disbursed for COVID-19. We aimed to put development assistance for health for COVID-19 in the context of broader trends in global health financing, and to estimate total health spending from 1995 to 2050 and development assistance for COVID-19 in 2020. Methods We estimated domestic health spending and development assistance for health to generate total health-sector spending estimates for 204 countries and territories. We leveraged data from the WHO Global Health Expenditure Database to produce estimates of domestic health spending. To generate estimates for development assistance for health, we relied on project-level disbursement data from the major international development agencies' online databases and annual financial statements and reports for information on income sources. To adjust our estimates for 2020 to include disbursements related to COVID-19, we extracted project data on commitments and disbursements from a broader set of databases (because not all of the data sources used to estimate the historical series extend to 2020), including the UN Office of Humanitarian Assistance Financial Tracking Service and the International Aid Transparency Initiative. We reported all the historic and future spending estimates in inflation-adjusted 2020 US$, 2020 US$ per capita, purchasing-power parity-adjusted US$ per capita, and as a proportion of gross domestic product. We used various models to generate future health spending to 2050. Findings In 2019, health spending globally reached $8. 8 trillion (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8.7-8.8) or $1132 (1119-1143) per person. Spending on health varied within and across income groups and geographical regions. Of this total, $40.4 billion (0.5%, 95% UI 0.5-0.5) was development assistance for health provided to low-income and middle-income countries, which made up 24.6% (UI 24.0-25.1) of total spending in low-income countries. We estimate that $54.8 billion in development assistance for health was disbursed in 2020. Of this, $13.7 billion was targeted toward the COVID-19 health response. $12.3 billion was newly committed and $1.4 billion was repurposed from existing health projects. $3.1 billion (22.4%) of the funds focused on country-level coordination and $2.4 billion (17.9%) was for supply chain and logistics. Only $714.4 million (7.7%) of COVID-19 development assistance for health went to Latin America, despite this region reporting 34.3% of total recorded COVID-19 deaths in low-income or middle-income countries in 2020. Spending on health is expected to rise to $1519 (1448-1591) per person in 2050, although spending across countries is expected to remain varied. Interpretation Global health spending is expected to continue to grow, but remain unequally distributed between countries. We estimate that development organisations substantially increased the amount of development assistance for health provided in 2020. Continued efforts are needed to raise sufficient resources to mitigate the pandemic for the most vulnerable, and to help curtail the pandemic for all. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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| 4. |
- Feigin, Valery L., et al.
(författare)
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Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990-2019 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
- 2021
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Ingår i: Lancet Neurology. - : Elsevier. - 1474-4422 .- 1474-4465. ; 20:10, s. 795-820
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background Regularly updated data on stroke and its pathological types, including data on their incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability, risk factors, and epidemiological trends, are important for evidence-based stroke care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) aims to provide a standardised and comprehensive measurement of these metrics at global, regional, and national levels. Methods We applied GBD 2019 analytical tools to calculate stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and the population attributable fraction (PAF) of DALYs (with corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals [UIs]) associated with 19 risk factors, for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. These estimates were provided for ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage, subarachnoid haemorrhage, and all strokes combined, and stratified by sex, age group, and World Bank country income level. Findings In 2019, there were 12.2 million (95% UI 11.0-13.6) incident cases of stroke, 101 million (93.2-111) prevalent cases of stroke, 143 million (133-153) DALYs due to stroke, and 6.55 million (6.00-7.02) deaths from stroke. Globally, stroke remained the second-leading cause of death (11.6% [10.8-12.2] of total deaths) and the third-leading cause of death and disability combined (5.7% [5.1-6.2] of total DALYs) in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the absolute number of incident strokes increased by 70.0% (67.0-73.0), prevalent strokes increased by 85.0% (83.0-88.0), deaths from stroke increased by 43.0% (31.0-55.0), and DALYs due to stroke increased by 32.0% (22.0-42.0). During the same period, age-standardised rates of stroke incidence decreased by 17.0% (15.0-18.0), mortality decreased by 36.0% (31.0-42.0), prevalence decreased by 6.0% (5.0-7.0), and DALYs decreased by 36.0% (31.0-42.0). However, among people younger than 70 years, prevalence rates increased by 22.0% (21.0-24.0) and incidence rates increased by 15.0% (12.0-18.0). In 2019, the age-standardised stroke-related mortality rate was 3.6 (3.5-3.8) times higher in the World Bank low-income group than in the World Bank high-income group, and the age-standardised stroke-related DALY rate was 3.7 (3.5-3.9) times higher in the low-income group than the high-income group. Ischaemic stroke constituted 62.4% of all incident strokes in 2019 (7.63 million [6.57-8.96]), while intracerebral haemorrhage constituted 27.9% (3.41 million [2.97-3.91]) and subarachnoid haemorrhage constituted 9.7% (1.18 million [1.01-1.39]). In 2019, the five leading risk factors for stroke were high systolic blood pressure (contributing to 79.6 million [67.7-90.8] DALYs or 55.5% [48.2-62.0] of total stroke DALYs), high body-mass index (34.9 million [22.3-48.6] DALYs or 24.3% [15.7-33.2]), high fasting plasma glucose (28.9 million [19.8-41.5] DALYs or 20.2% [13.8-29.1]), ambient particulate matter pollution (28.7 million [23.4-33.4] DALYs or 20.1% [16.6-23.0]), and smoking (25.3 million [22.6-28.2] DALYs or 17.6% [16.4-19.0]). Interpretation The annual number of strokes and deaths due to stroke increased substantially from 1990 to 2019, despite substantial reductions in age-standardised rates, particularly among people older than 70 years. The highest age-standardised stroke-related mortality and DALY rates were in the World Bank low-income group. The fastest-growing risk factor for stroke between 1990 and 2019 was high body-mass index. Without urgent implementation of effective primary prevention strategies, the stroke burden will probably continue to grow across the world, particularly in low-income countries.
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| 5. |
- Feigin, Valery L., et al.
(författare)
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Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
- 2019
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Ingår i: Lancet Neurology. - : Elsevier. - 1474-4422 .- 1474-4465. ; 18:5, s. 459-480
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Neurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders.Methods: We estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] and years lived with disability [YLDs]) by age and sex for 15 neurological disorder categories (tetanus, meningitis, encephalitis, stroke, brain and other CNS cancers, traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron diseases, idiopathic epilepsy, migraine, tension-type headache, and a residual category for other less common neurological disorders) in 195 countries from 1990 to 2016. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was the main method of estimation of prevalence and incidence, and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used for mortality estimation. We quantified the contribution of 84 risks and combinations of risk to the disease estimates for the 15 neurological disorder categories using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach.Findings: Globally, in 2016, neurological disorders were the leading cause of DALYs (276 million [95% UI 247–308]) and second leading cause of deaths (9·0 million [8·8–9·4]). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs from all neurological disorders combined increased (deaths by 39% [34–44] and DALYs by 15% [9–21]) whereas their age-standardised rates decreased (deaths by 28% [26–30] and DALYs by 27% [24–31]) between 1990 and 2016. The only neurological disorders that had a decrease in rates and absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs were tetanus, meningitis, and encephalitis. The four largest contributors of neurological DALYs were stroke (42·2% [38·6–46·1]), migraine (16·3% [11·7–20·8]), Alzheimer's and other dementias (10·4% [9·0–12·1]), and meningitis (7·9% [6·6–10·4]). For the combined neurological disorders, age-standardised DALY rates were significantly higher in males than in females (male-to-female ratio 1·12 [1·05–1·20]), but migraine, multiple sclerosis, and tension-type headache were more common and caused more burden in females, with male-to-female ratios of less than 0·7. The 84 risks quantified in GBD explain less than 10% of neurological disorder DALY burdens, except stroke, for which 88·8% (86·5–90·9) of DALYs are attributable to risk factors, and to a lesser extent Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (22·3% [11·8–35·1] of DALYs are risk attributable) and idiopathic epilepsy (14·1% [10·8–17·5] of DALYs are risk attributable).Interpretation: Globally, the burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase. As populations are growing and ageing, and the prevalence of major disabling neurological disorders steeply increases with age, governments will face increasing demand for treatment, rehabilitation, and support services for neurological disorders. The scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies.Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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| 6. |
- Sepanlou, Sadaf G., et al.
(författare)
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The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
- 2020
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Ingår i: The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. - 2468-1253. ; 5:3, s. 245-266
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (collectively referred to as cirrhosis in this paper) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally, although the burden and underlying causes differ across locations and demographic groups. We report on results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 on the burden of cirrhosis and its trends since 1990, by cause, sex, and age, for 195 countries and territories. Methods We used data from vital registrations, vital registration samples, and verbal autopsies to estimate mortality. We modelled prevalence of total, compensated, and decompensated cirrhosis on the basis of hospital and claims data. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost due to premature death and years lived with disability. Estimates are presented as numbers and age-standardised or age-specific rates per 100 000 population, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). All estimates are presented for five causes of cirrhosis: hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol-related liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and other causes. We compared mortality, prevalence, and DALY estimates with those expected according to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) as a proxy for the development status of regions and countries. Findings In 2017, cirrhosis caused more than 1.32 million (95% UI 1.27-1.45) deaths (440000 [416 000-518 000; 33.3%] in females and 883 000 [838 000-967 000; 66.7%] in males) globally, compared with less than 899 000 (829 000-948 000) deaths in 1990. Deaths due to cirrhosis constituted 2.4% (2.3-2.6) of total deaths globally in 2017 compared with 1.9% (1.8-2.0) in 1990. Despite an increase in the number of deaths, the age-standardised death rate decreased from 21.0 (19.2-22.3) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 16.5 (15.8-18-1) per 100 000 population in 2017. Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest age-standardised death rate among GBD super-regions for all years of the study period (32.2 [25.8-38.6] deaths per 100 000 population in 2017), and the high-income super-region had the lowest (10.1 [9.8-10-5] deaths per 100 000 population in 2017). The age-standardised death rate decreased or remained constant from 1990 to 2017 in all GBD regions except eastern Europe and central Asia, where the age-standardised death rate increased, primarily due to increases in alcohol-related liver disease prevalence. At the national level, the age-standardised death rate of cirrhosis was lowest in Singapore in 2017 (3.7 [3.3-4.0] per 100 000 in 2017) and highest in Egypt in all years since 1990 (103.3 [64.4-133.4] per 100 000 in 2017). There were 10.6 million (10.3-10.9) prevalent cases of decompensated cirrhosis and 112 million (107-119) prevalent cases of compensated cirrhosis globally in 2017. There was a significant increase in age-standardised prevalence rate of decompensated cirrhosis between 1990 and 2017. Cirrhosis caused by NASH had a steady age-standardised death rate throughout the study period, whereas the other four causes showed declines in age-standardised death rate. The age-standardised prevalence of compensated and decompensated cirrhosis due to NASH increased more than for any other cause of cirrhosis (by 33.2% for compensated cirrhosis and 54.8% for decompensated cirrhosis) over the study period. From 1990 to 2017, the number of prevalent cases snore than doubled for compensated cirrhosis due to NASH and more than tripled for decompensated cirrhosis due to NASH. In 2017, age-standardised death and DALY rates were lower among countries and territories with higher SDI. Interpretation Cirrhosis imposes a substantial health burden on many countries and this burden has increased at the global level since 1990, partly due to population growth and ageing. Although the age-standardised death and DALY rates of cirrhosis decreased from 1990 to 2017, numbers of deaths and DALYs and the proportion of all global deaths due to cirrhosis increased. Despite the availability of effective interventions for the prevention and treatment of hepatitis B and C, they were still the main causes of cirrhosis burden worldwide, particularly in low-income countries. The impact of hepatitis B and C is expected to be attenuated and overtaken by that of NASH in the near future. Cost-effective interventions are required to continue the prevention and treatment of viral hepatitis, and to achieve early diagnosis and prevention of cirrhosis due to alcohol-related liver disease and NASH.
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| 7. |
- McWhinney, Sean R, et al.
(författare)
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Principal component analysis as an efficient method for capturing multivariate brain signatures of complex disorders-ENIGMA study in people with bipolar disorders and obesity.
- 2024
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Ingår i: Human brain mapping. - 1097-0193 .- 1097-0193. ; 45:8
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Multivariate techniques better fit the anatomy of complex neuropsychiatric disorders which are characterized not by alterations in a single region, but rather by variations across distributed brain networks. Here, we used principal component analysis (PCA) to identify patterns of covariance across brain regions and relate them to clinical and demographic variables in a large generalizable dataset of individuals with bipolar disorders and controls. We then compared performance of PCA and clustering on identical sample to identify which methodology was better in capturing links between brain and clinical measures. Using data from the ENIGMA-BD working group, we investigated T1-weighted structural MRI data from 2436 participants with BD and healthy controls, and applied PCA to cortical thickness and surface area measures. We then studied the association of principal components with clinical and demographic variables using mixed regression models. We compared the PCA model with our prior clustering analyses of the same data and also tested it in a replication sample of 327 participants with BD or schizophrenia and healthy controls. The first principal component, which indexed a greater cortical thickness across all 68 cortical regions, was negatively associated with BD, BMI, antipsychotic medications, and age and was positively associated with Li treatment. PCA demonstrated superior goodness of fit to clustering when predicting diagnosis and BMI. Moreover, applying the PCA model to the replication sample yielded significant differences in cortical thickness between healthy controls and individuals with BD or schizophrenia. Cortical thickness in the same widespread regional network as determined by PCA was negatively associated with different clinical and demographic variables, including diagnosis, age, BMI, and treatment with antipsychotic medications or lithium. PCA outperformed clustering and provided an easy-to-use and interpret method to study multivariate associations between brain structure and system-level variables. PRACTITIONER POINTS: In this study of 2770 Individuals, we confirmed that cortical thickness in widespread regional networks as determined by principal component analysis (PCA) was negatively associated with relevant clinical and demographic variables, including diagnosis, age, BMI, and treatment with antipsychotic medications or lithium. Significant associations of many different system-level variables with the same brain network suggest a lack of one-to-one mapping of individual clinical and demographic factors to specific patterns of brain changes. PCA outperformed clustering analysis in the same data set when predicting group or BMI, providing a superior method for studying multivariate associations between brain structure and system-level variables.
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| 8. |
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| 9. |
- Shahabi-Navid, M., et al.
(författare)
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Localized Atmospheric Corrosion of Magnesium-Aluminum Alloys Produced by Semisolid Casting: A 2D and 3D Investigation
- 2021
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Ingår i: Corrosion. - : NACE International. - 0010-9312 .- 1938-159X. ; 77:2, s. 242-253
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The localized corrosion of the two magnesium-aluminum alloys AM50 and AZ91 produced by a semisolid casting method was investigated under atmospheric corrosion conditions, in the presence of NaCl. Gravimetry confirmed the beneficial effect from ambient levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) in suppressing corrosion through the formation of magnesium hydroxy carbonates. Both 2D and 3D characterization revealed that ambient CO2 has a strong influence on the morphology and rate of localized corrosion. In CO2-free atmosphere, the alloys suffered localized corrosion resulting in clustered and interconnected cavities that extended deep into the material. In contrast, corrosion in the presence of ambient levels of CO2 (400 ppm) resulted in evenly distributed shallow corrosion sites. The results indicate that CO2 neutralizes the cathodic areas resulting in diminished cathodic activity and inhibiting NaCl(aq) droplet coalescence.
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| 10. |
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| 11. |
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| 12. |
- Alinejadian, Navid, et al.
(författare)
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Importance of the micro-lattice structure of selective laser melting processed Mo/Mo(x)S(x+1) composite : Corrosion studies on the electrochemical performance in aqueous solutions
- 2022
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Ingår i: Materials Today Chemistry. - : Elsevier BV. - 2468-5194. ; 26
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Selective laser melting (SLM) based processing of Mo-based samples is challenging due to solidification cracking. We here demonstrate that the addition of 2 wt% MoS2 to the Mo feedstock markedly improves crack mitigation of SLM-processed Mo/MoS2/Mo2S3 composite micro-lattice structures (SLM-Mo/ Mo(x)S(x+1)). Crack inhibition is suggested to be a result of Mo2S3 formation, decreased lattice strain (0.04 4%), and a decrease in accumulated residual stresses. The increased values of polarization resistance from 42.3 and 19.2 kU cm2 to 437 and 78.2 kU cm2, respectively verified the hindering effect of the composition on stress corrosion cracking (SCC) and surface oxidation cracking. However, an increased corrosion current density, from 1.22 to 10.2 mA/cm2, and cathodic Tafel constant, from 175 to 260.5 mV, confirmed the decreased polarization resistance and occurrence of different types of corrosion such as SCC and pitting. The strategy to add 2 wt% MoS2 to the Mo feedstock enables the fabrication of hightemperature micro-lattice structure components with improved corrosion resistance properties applicable in e.g., electronic, power semiconductor heat sinks, offshore-, aerospace-, defense-, or particularly novel sodium-ion energy storage applications.
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| 13. |
- Amani, Navid, 1985, et al.
(författare)
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Array Configuration Effect on the Spatial Correlation of MU-MIMO Channels in NLoS Environments
- 2020
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Ingår i: 14th European Conference on Antennas and Propagation, EuCAP 2020. ; 2020:March
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this paper, three different base-station antenna (BSA) configurations are compared in terms of inter-user spatial correlation in a two dimensional (2D) non-line-of-sight (NLoS) environment. The three configurations are: (i) a regular uniform linear array (ULA); (ii) a periodic sparse array; and (iii) an aperiodic sparse array. Electromagnetic modeling of the NLoS channel is proposed where scatterers are considered as resonant dipoles confined in clusters of scatterers (CoSs). While the probability of facing highly correlated user-equipments (UEs) in a multi-user multiple-input multiple-output (MU-MIMO) system is decreasing as the richness of mutipath increases, the sparsity (increased inter-element spacing) is seen to be capable of reducing this probability as well. This is due to the larger spatial variations experienced by the sparse array. Moreover, the results show that further improvement can be achieved by deploying an aperiodic distribution of antenna elements into the sparse antenna aperture.
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| 14. |
- Esmaily, Mohsen, 1987, et al.
(författare)
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Microstructural characterization of the Mg-Al alloy AM50 produced by a newly developed rheo-casting process
- 2014
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Ingår i: Materials Characterization. - : Elsevier BV. - 1044-5803 .- 1873-4189. ; 95, s. 50-64
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The microstructure of rheo-cast Mg-Al alloy AM50 produced by the RheoMetal process is investigated and compared with the same alloy produced by conventional high pressure die casting. The size and arrangement of microstructural constituents and pores are characterized quantitatively using image analyzing techniques. The nearest neighbor distribution of the intermetallic particles is determined. The area fraction of porosity in rheo-cast AM50 is about half that found in the high pressure die cast alloy. In rheo-cast material, the distribution of p phase (Mg17Al12) is relatively uniform throughout the cast. In contrast, the beta phase particles tend to form macroscopic agglomerates in high pressure die cast material. The externally solidified grains in the rheo-cast material exhibit a smaller aluminum gradient than in the high pressure die cast alloy. This indicates that the solidification of the rheo-cast material is closer to equilibrium.
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| 15. |
- Farsaei, A., et al.
(författare)
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On the Outage Performance of Line-Of-Sight Massive MIMO with a Fixed-Length Uniform Linear Sparse Array
- 2019
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Ingår i: Proceedings of the 2019 9th IEEE-APS Topical Conference on Antennas and Propagation in Wireless Communications, APWC 2019. ; , s. 345-348
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Increasing the inter-element spacing of a uniform linear sparse array results in reducing the mutual coupling and simplifying the heat dissipation control of the array. However, increasing the inter-element spacing may result in the appearance of grating lobes in the field-of-view (FoV). In this paper, 0.05-outage capacity is used as the performance metric to optimize the inter-element spacing for a given array size in line-of-sight scenarios. For the case of two users, we propose to increase the inter-element spacing as long as the 0.05-outage capacity does not reduce more than 1% compared to the capacity achieved when the two users have orthogonal channel vectors. Radiated power at the base station is adjusted to have the same effective isotropic radiated power for different arrays. Simulation results for an array size of 40λ show that for FoVs of 60° to 120°, the inter-element spacing can be increased from 0.5λ to more than 1.14λ.
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| 16. |
- Farsaei, Amirashkan, et al.
(författare)
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Uniform Linear Arrays With Optimized Inter-Element Spacing for LOS Massive MIMO
- 2021
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Ingår i: IEEE Communications Letters. - 1558-2558 .- 1089-7798. ; 25:2, s. 613-616
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this letter, a uniform linear array (ULA) is proposed for line-of-sight massive multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO). It is assumed that the number of antennas is fixed. For a given ULA with an arbitrary inter-element spacing, the probability that the correlation among the channel vectors of two users being above a threshold value is derived. The inter-element spacing of the proposed ULA is the one for which the aforementioned probability is minimized. To show the effectiveness of the proposed ULA, simulation results for two scenarios are given for a 64-antenna ULA that serves 6 single-antenna users. By using the proposed ULA instead of conventional half-wavelength ULA, 5th percentile sum-rate for zero-forcing precoder is improved by 9.90 bits/channel use in first scenario without dropping, and by 1.43 bits/channel use in second scenario with dropping 1 user.
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| 17. |
- Fernandez-Anez, Nieves, et al.
(författare)
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Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe : A Synthesis of National Perspectives
- 2021
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Ingår i: Air, Soil and Water Research. - : SAGE Publications. - 1178-6221. ; 14, s. 1-19
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Changes in climate, land use, and land management impact the occurrence and severity of wildland fires in many parts of the world. This is particularly evident in Europe, where ongoing changes in land use have strongly modified fire patterns over the last decades. Although satellite data by the European Forest Fire Information System provide large-scale wildland fire statistics across European countries, there is still a crucial need to collect and summarize in-depth local analysis and understanding of the wildland fire condition and associated challenges across Europe. This article aims to provide a general overview of the current wildland fire patterns and challenges as perceived by national representatives, supplemented by national fire statistics (2009–2018) across Europe. For each of the 31 countries included, we present a perspective authored by scientists or practitioners from each respective country, representing a wide range of disciplines and cultural backgrounds. The authors were selected from members of the COST Action “Fire and the Earth System: Science & Society” funded by the European Commission with the aim to share knowledge and improve communication about wildland fire. Where relevant, a brief overview of key studies, particular wildland fire challenges a country is facing, and an overview of notable recent fire events are also presented. Key perceived challenges included (1) the lack of consistent and detailed records for wildland fire events, within and across countries, (2) an increase in wildland fires that pose a risk to properties and human life due to high population densities and sprawl into forested regions, and (3) the view that, irrespective of changes in management, climate change is likely to increase the frequency and impact of wildland fires in the coming decades. Addressing challenge (1) will not only be valuable in advancing national and pan-European wildland fire management strategies, but also in evaluating perceptions (2) and (3) against more robust quantitative evidence.
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| 18. |
- Ghajarnia, Navid, et al.
(författare)
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Error Analysis on PERSIANN Precipitation Estimations : Case Study of Urmia Lake Basin, Iran
- 2018
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Ingår i: Journal of hydrologic engineering. - 1084-0699 .- 1943-5584. ; 23:6
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In-depth evaluation and analysis of the error properties associated with satellite-based precipitation estimation algorithms can play an important role in the future development and improvements of these products. This study evaluates the Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) daily data set from 2000 to 2011 in 69 pixels over a semiarid basin in northwest Iran and compares it with the data set of the existing rain-gauge network. Different analytical approaches and measures are used to examine PERSIANN performance seasonally and categorically. The residuals are also decomposed into true positive (hit), false negative (miss), and false alarm (FA) estimate biases in addition to systematic and random error components. The results show seasonal variability of PERSIANN precision in rainfall detection with substantial errors during winter and summer that are associated with high rates of FA ratio (more than 60%). The value of miss and FA biases (124 and -77,000mm, respectively, within the total data set) are considerably larger than hit and total bias (27 and 74,000mm, respectively) because these components contribute conversely and compensate each other by their opposite signs. Moreover, PERSIANN detects heavy rainfalls well with a probability of detection (POD) over 80%, but with serious biases. Generally, although the detection ability of PERSIANN improves as the rate of rainfall increases, its systematic error in simulation of the rainfall process also increases (from 5% systematic error to 90% in heavier rainfalls), leading to a low level of accuracy in the estimation of precipitation rate.
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| 19. |
- Muniruzzaman, Muhammad, et al.
(författare)
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Weathering of unsaturated waste rocks from Kevitsa and Hitura mines : Pilot-scale lysimeter experiments and reactive transport modeling
- 2021
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Ingår i: Applied Geochemistry. - : Elsevier. - 0883-2927 .- 1872-9134. ; 130
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The fundamental understanding of hydrogeochemical processes leading to toxic drainage in mining environments is of utmost importance to predict the impact of mining activities in waste facilities and to design effective measures for the mitigation of environmental risk. This study investigates the weathering behavior of different types of mine waste rocks, with considerably different mineralogical and textural properties, by performing long-term (> 3 years) pilot-scale lysimeter experiments combined with multiphase and multicomponent reactive transport modeling. The experiments were carried out in a series of five lysimeter setups, packed with unsaturated waste rocks collected from the Kevitsa and Hitura mine sites in Finland, under the influence of outdoor atmospheric conditions. We focus on the temporal dynamics of the waste rock effluents’ chemistry showing remarkably different compositions in different experiments. The low-sulfide containing Kevitsa pyroxene and Hitura serpentinite waste rocks lead to alkaline drainage, characterized by higher pH (up to 9.5) and lower dissolved constituents (e.g., up to 420 mg/L SO4, 89 μg/L Ni). In contrast, the effluents from the Hitura mica schist waste rocks, which have relatively higher sulfide abundance, show characteristics of acidic drainage with lower pH (∼4.3) and orders of magnitude higher aqueous concentrations (e.g., up to 3100 mg/L SO4, 130 mg/L Ni). The results also show that the presence of a higher fraction of finer particles leads to a faster dissolution rate and thus relatively higher drainage concentrations. The experimental results were quantitatively interpreted with multiphase and multicomponent reactive transport modeling, which allowed capturing the complex dynamic trends and the concentration levels observed in the effluents of the different pilot-scale lysimeters.
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| 20. |
- Strinati, Emilio Calvanese, et al.
(författare)
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Distributed Intelligent Integrated Sensing and Communications: The 6G-DISAC Approach
- 2024
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Ingår i: 2024 Joint European Conference on Networks and Communications and 6G Summit, EuCNC/6G Summit 2024. ; , s. 392-397
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- This paper introduces the concept of Distributed Intelligent integrated Sensing and Communications (DISAC), which expands the capabilities of Integrated Sensing and Communications (ISAC) towards distributed architectures. Additionally, the DISAC framework integrates novel waveform design with new semantic and goal-oriented communication paradigms, enabling ISAC technologies to transition from traditional data fusion to the semantic composition of diverse sensed and shared information. This progress facilitates large-scale, energy-efficient support for high-precision spatial-temporal processing, optimizing ISAC resource utilization, and enabling effective multi-modal sensing performance. Addressing key challenges such as efficient data management and connect-compute resource utilization, 6G- DISAC stands to revolutionize applications in diverse sectors including transportation, healthcare, and industrial automation. Our study encapsulates the project's vision, methodologies, and potential impact, marking a significant stride towards a more connected and intelligent world.
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| 21. |
- Thorpe, H. A., et al.
(författare)
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Repeated out-of-Africa expansions of Helicobacter pylori driven by replacement of deleterious mutations
- 2022
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Ingår i: Nature Communications. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2041-1723. ; 13:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Helicobacter pylori lives in the human stomach and has a population structure resembling that of its host. However, H. pylori from Europe and the Middle East trace substantially more ancestry from modern African populations than the humans that carry them. Here, we use a collection of Afro-Eurasian H. pylori genomes to show that this African ancestry is due to at least three distinct admixture events. H. pylori from East Asia, which have undergone little admixture, have accumulated many more non-synonymous mutations than African strains. European and Middle Eastern bacteria have elevated African ancestry at the sites of these mutations, implying selection to remove them during admixture. Simulations show that population fitness can be restored after bottlenecks by migration and subsequent admixture of small numbers of bacteria from non-bottlenecked populations. We conclude that recent spread of African DNA has been driven by deleterious mutations accumulated during the original out-of-Africa bottleneck.
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| 22. |
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| 23. |
- Åhlen, Imenne, et al.
(författare)
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Hydro-climatic changes of wetlandscapes across the world
- 2021
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Ingår i: Scientific Reports. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2045-2322. ; 11:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Assessments of ecosystem service and function losses of wetlandscapes (i.e., wetlands and their hydrological catchments) suffer from knowledge gaps regarding impacts of ongoing hydro-climatic change. This study investigates hydro-climatic changes during 1976–2015 in 25 wetlandscapes distributed across the world’s tropical, arid, temperate and cold climate zones. Results show that the wetlandscapes were subject to precipitation (P) and temperature (T) changes consistent with mean changes over the world’s land area. However, arid and cold wetlandscapes experienced higher T increases than their respective climate zone. Also, average P decreased in arid and cold wetlandscapes, contrarily to P of arid and cold climate zones, suggesting that these wetlandscapes are located in regions of elevated climate pressures. For most wetlandscapes with available runoff (R) data, the decreases were larger in R than in P, which was attributed to aggravation of climate change impacts by enhanced evapotranspiration losses, e.g. caused by land-use changes.
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