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Sökning: WFRF:(Norby: P.)

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1.
  • Poyatos, R., et al. (författare)
  • Global transpiration data from sap flow measurements: the SAPFLUXNET database
  • 2021
  • Ingår i: Earth System Science Data. - : Copernicus GmbH. - 1866-3508 .- 1866-3516. ; 13:6, s. 2607-2649
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Plant transpiration links physiological responses of vegetation to water supply and demand with hydrological, energy, and carbon budgets at the land-atmosphere interface. However, despite being the main land evaporative flux at the global scale, transpiration and its response to environmental drivers are currently not well constrained by observations. Here we introduce the first global compilation of whole-plant transpiration data from sap flow measurements (SAPFLUXNET, https://sapfluxnet.creaf.cat/, last access: 8 June 2021). We harmonized and quality-controlled individual datasets supplied by contributors worldwide in a semi-automatic data workflow implemented in the R programming language. Datasets include sub-daily time series of sap flow and hydrometeorological drivers for one or more growing seasons, as well as metadata on the stand characteristics, plant attributes, and technical details of the measurements. SAPFLUXNET contains 202 globally distributed datasets with sap flow time series for 2714 plants, mostly trees, of 174 species. SAPFLUXNET has a broad bioclimatic coverage, with woodland/shrubland and temperate forest biomes especially well represented (80 % of the datasets). The measurements cover a wide variety of stand structural characteristics and plant sizes. The datasets encompass the period between 1995 and 2018, with 50 % of the datasets being at least 3 years long. Accompanying radiation and vapour pressure deficit data are available for most of the datasets, while on-site soil water content is available for 56 % of the datasets. Many datasets contain data for species that make up 90 % or more of the total stand basal area, allowing the estimation of stand transpiration in diverse ecological settings. SAPFLUXNET adds to existing plant trait datasets, ecosystem flux networks, and remote sensing products to help increase our understanding of plant water use, plant responses to drought, and ecohydrological processes. SAPFLUXNET version 0.1.5 is freely available from the Zenodo repository (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3971689; Poyatos et al., 2020a). The "sapfluxnetr" R package - designed to access, visualize, and process SAPFLUXNET data - is available from CRAN.
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3.
  • Ellsworth, D. S., et al. (författare)
  • Convergence in phosphorus constraints to photosynthesis in forests around the world
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Nature Communications. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2041-1723. ; 13:1
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Phosphorus (P) limitation is pervasive in tropical forests. Here the authors analyse the dependence of photosynthesis on leaf N and P in tropical forests, and show that incorporating leaf P constraints in a terrestrial biosphere model enhances its predictive power. Tropical forests take up more carbon (C) from the atmosphere per annum by photosynthesis than any other type of vegetation. Phosphorus (P) limitations to C uptake are paramount for tropical and subtropical forests around the globe. Yet the generality of photosynthesis-P relationships underlying these limitations are in question, and hence are not represented well in terrestrial biosphere models. Here we demonstrate the dependence of photosynthesis and underlying processes on both leaf N and P concentrations. The regulation of photosynthetic capacity by P was similar across four continents. Implementing P constraints in the ORCHIDEE-CNP model, gross photosynthesis was reduced by 36% across the tropics and subtropics relative to traditional N constraints and unlimiting leaf P. Our results provide a quantitative relationship for the P dependence for photosynthesis for the front-end of global terrestrial C models that is consistent with canopy leaf measurements.
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4.
  • Walker, Anthony P., et al. (författare)
  • Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO2
  • 2021
  • Ingår i: New Phytologist. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 0028-646X .- 1469-8137. ; 229:5, s. 2413-2445
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO2]) is increasing, which increases leaf‐scale photosynthesis and intrinsic water‐use efficiency. These direct responses have the potential to increase plant growth, vegetation biomass, and soil organic matter; transferring carbon from the atmosphere into terrestrial ecosystems (a carbon sink). A substantial global terrestrial carbon sink would slow the rate of [CO2] increase and thus climate change. However, ecosystem CO2 responses are complex or confounded by concurrent changes in multiple agents of global change and evidence for a [CO2]‐driven terrestrial carbon sink can appear contradictory. Here we synthesize theory and broad, multidisciplinary evidence for the effects of increasing [CO2] (iCO2) on the global terrestrial carbon sink. Evidence suggests a substantial increase in global photosynthesis since pre‐industrial times. Established theory, supported by experiments, indicates that iCO2 is likely responsible for about half of the increase. Global carbon budgeting, atmospheric data, and forest inventories indicate a historical carbon sink, and these apparent iCO2 responses are high in comparison to experiments and predictions from theory. Plant mortality and soil carbon iCO2 responses are highly uncertain. In conclusion, a range of evidence supports a positive terrestrial carbon sink in response to iCO2, albeit with uncertain magnitude and strong suggestion of a role for additional agents of global change.
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5.
  • Aiello, R., et al. (författare)
  • Zeolite synthesis in microgravity
  • 2005
  • Ingår i: Topical teams in life & physical sciences. - Noordwijk, Netherlands : ESTEC. - 929092974X ; , s. 78-85
  • Bokkapitel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • The results of activities performed by the members of the Topical Team on 'Zeolites synthesis in microgravity' are discussed. A method was developed using a two-temperature synthesis procedure to distinguish between the nucleation and growth phase of the crystallization. The experiments have investigated the possibility of suppressing secondary nucleation by imposing a temperature gradient. Optical thickness of the solution has been monitored by interferometry. The Team, on the basis of findings, has elaborated a research program on zeolite film deposition that includes microgravity experimentation.
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6.
  • Ainsworth, Elizabeth A., et al. (författare)
  • Next generation of elevated [CO2] experiments with crops: a critical investment for feeding the future world
  • 2008
  • Ingår i: Plant, Cell and Environment. - : Wiley. - 0140-7791 .- 1365-3040. ; 31:9, s. 1317-1324
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • A rising global population and demand for protein-rich diets are increasing pressure to maximize agricultural productivity. Rising atmospheric [CO2] is altering global temperature and precipitation patterns, which challenges agricultural productivity. While rising [CO2] provides a unique opportunity to increase the productivity of C-3 crops, average yield stimulation observed to date is well below potential gains. Thus, there is room for improving productivity. However, only a fraction of available germplasm of crops has been tested for CO2 responsiveness. Yield is a complex phenotypic trait determined by the interactions of a genotype with the environment. Selection of promising genotypes and characterization of response mechanisms will only be effective if crop improvement and systems biology approaches are closely linked to production environments, that is, on the farm within major growing regions. Free air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments can provide the platform upon which to conduct genetic screening and elucidate the inheritance and mechanisms that underlie genotypic differences in productivity under elevated [CO2]. We propose a new generation of large-scale, low-cost per unit area FACE experiments to identify the most CO2-responsive genotypes and provide starting lines for future breeding programmes. This is necessary if we are to realize the potential for yield gains in the future.
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7.
  • Calfapietra, Carlo, et al. (författare)
  • Challenges in elevated CO2 experiments on forests
  • 2010
  • Ingår i: Trends in Plant Science. - : Elsevier BV. - 1360-1385. ; 15:1, s. 5-10
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Current forest Free Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiments are reaching completion. Therefore, it is time to define the scientific goals and priorities of future experimental facilities. In this opinion article, we discuss the following three overarching issues (i) What are the most urgent scientific questions and how can they be addressed? (ii) What forest ecosystems should be investigated? (iii) Which other climate change factors should be coupled with elevated CO2 concentrations in future experiments to better predict the effects of climate change? Plantations and natural forests can have conflicting purposes for high productivity and environmental protection. However, in both cases the assessment of carbon balance and how this will be affected by elevated CO2 concentrations and the interacting climate change factors is the most pressing priority for future experiments.
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8.
  • Das, S., et al. (författare)
  • Instability of Ionic Liquid-Based Electrolytes in Li-O2 Batteries
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: Journal of Physical Chemistry C. - : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 1932-7447 .- 1932-7455. ; 119:32, s. 18084-18090
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Ionic liquids (ILs) have been proposed as promising solvents for Li-air battery electrolytes. Here, several ILs have been investigated using differential electrochemical mass spectrometry (DEMS) to investigate the electrochemical stability in a Li-O-2 system, by means of quantitative determination of the rechargeability (GER/ORR), and thereby the Coulombic efficiency of discharge and charge. None of the IL-based electrolytes are found to behave as needed for a functional Li-O-2 battery but perform better than commonly used organic solvents. Also the extent of rechargeability/reversibility has been found to be strongly dependent on the choice of IL cation and anion as well as various impurities.
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9.
  • De Kauwe, Martin G., et al. (författare)
  • Forest water use and water use efficiency at elevated CO2: a model-data intercomparison at two contrasting temperate forest FACE sites
  • 2013
  • Ingår i: Global Change Biology. - : Wiley. - 1354-1013 .- 1365-2486. ; 19:6, s. 1759-1779
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Predicted responses of transpiration to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration (eCO2) are highly variable amongst process-based models. To better understand and constrain this variability amongst models, we conducted an intercomparison of 11 ecosystem models applied to data from two forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments at Duke University and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. We analysed model structures to identify the key underlying assumptions causing differences in model predictions of transpiration and canopy water use efficiency. We then compared the models against data to identify model assumptions that are incorrect or are large sources of uncertainty. We found that model-to-model and model-to-observations differences resulted from four key sets of assumptions, namely (i) the nature of the stomatal response to elevated CO2 (coupling between photosynthesis and stomata was supported by the data); (ii) the roles of the leaf and atmospheric boundary layer (models which assumed multiple conductance terms in series predicted more decoupled fluxes than observed at the broadleaf site); (iii) the treatment of canopy interception (large intermodel variability, 215%); and (iv) the impact of soil moisture stress (process uncertainty in how models limit carbon and water fluxes during moisture stress). Overall, model predictions of the CO2 effect on WUE were reasonable (intermodel =approximately 28%+/- 10%) compared to the observations (=approximately 30%+/- 13%) at the well-coupled coniferous site (Duke), but poor (intermodel =approximately 24%+/- 6%; observations =approximately 38%+/- 7%) at the broadleaf site (Oak Ridge). The study yields a framework for analysing and interpreting model predictions of transpiration responses to eCO2, and highlights key improvements to these types of models.
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10.
  • Griffiths, Natalie A., et al. (författare)
  • Temporal and Spatial Variation in Peatland Carbon Cycling and Implications for Interpreting Responses of an Ecosystem-Scale Warming Experiment
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Soil Science Society of America Journal. - : ACSESS. - 0361-5995 .- 1435-0661. ; 81:6, s. 1668-1688
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We are conducting a large-scale, long-term climate change response experiment in an ombrotrophic peat bog in Minnesota to evaluate the effects of warming and elevated CO2 on ecosystem processes using empirical and modeling approaches. To better frame future assessments of peatland responses to climate change, we characterized and compared spatial vs. temporal variation in measured C cycle processes and their environmental drivers. We also conducted a sensitivity analysis of a peatland C model to identify how variation in ecosystem parameters contributes to model prediction uncertainty. High spatial variability in C cycle processes resulted in the inability to determine if the bog was a C source or sink, as the 95% confidence interval ranged from a source of 50 g C m(-2) yr(-1) to a sink of 67 g C m(-2) yr(-1). Model sensitivity analysis also identified that spatial variation in tree and shrub photosynthesis, allocation characteristics, and maintenance respiration all contributed to large variations in the pretreatment estimates of net C balance. Variation in ecosystem processes can be more thoroughly characterized if more measurements are collected for parameters that are highly variable over space and time, and especially if those measurements encompass environmental gradients that may be driving the spatial and temporal variation (e.g., hummock vs. hollow microtopographies, and wet vs. dry years). Together, the coupled modeling and empirical approaches indicate that variability in C cycle processes and their drivers must be taken into account when interpreting the significance of experimental warming and elevated CO2 treatments.
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11.
  • Hyvonen, R., et al. (författare)
  • The likely impact of elevated [CO2], nitrogen deposition, increased temperature and management on carbon sequestration in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems: a literature review
  • 2007
  • Ingår i: New Phytologist. - Cambridge : Wiley. - 0028-646X .- 1469-8137. ; 173:3, s. 463-480
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Temperate and boreal forest ecosystems contain a large part of the carbon stored on land, in the form of both biomass and soil organic matter. Increasing atmospheric [CO2], increasing temperature, elevated nitrogen deposition and intensified management will change this C store. Well documented single-factor responses of net primary production are: higher photosynthetic rate (the main [CO2] response); increasing length of growing season (the main temperature response); and higher leaf-area index (the main N deposition and partly [CO2] response). Soil organic matter will increase with increasing litter input, although priming may decrease the soil C stock initially, but litter quality effects should be minimal (response to [CO2], N deposition, and temperature); will decrease because of increasing temperature; and will increase because of retardation of decomposition with N deposition, although the rate of decomposition of high-quality litter can be increased and that of low-quality litter decreased. Single-factor responses can be misleading because of interactions between factors, in particular those between N and other factors, and indirect effects such as increased N availability from temperature-induced decomposition. In the long term the strength of feedbacks, for example the increasing demand for N from increased growth, will dominate over short-term responses to single factors. However, management has considerable potential for controlling the C store.
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12.
  • Krogh Andersen, A.M., et al. (författare)
  • Ab Initio Structure Determination and Rietveld Refinement of a High-Temperature Phase of Zirconium Hydrogen Phosphate and a New Polymorph of Zirconium Pyrophosphate from In-Situ Temperature-Resolved Powder Diffraction Data.
  • 2000
  • Ingår i: Acta Crystallographica Section B. - : Wiley. - 0108-7681. ; 56:4, s. 618-625
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The collected in situ temperature-resolved synchrotron powder data revealed that the transformation of the recently reported three-dimensional τ-Zr(HPO4)2 to cubic ZrP2O7 goes through two intermediate phases. The first intermediate phase, ρ-Zr(HPO4)2, is formed in a reversible phase transition at 598  K, which involves both rearrangement and disordering of the hydrogen phosphate groups of τ-Zr(HPO4)2. At 688  K condensation of the hydrogen phosphate groups leads to the formation of the second intermediate, a new polymorph of zirconium pyrophosphate (β-ZrP2O7). Heating above 973  K results in the gradual transformation of β-ZrP2O7 to cubic zirconium pyrophosphate (α-ZrP2O7). The crystal structures of the two intermediate phases were solved from the in situ powder diffraction data using direct methods and refined using the Rietveld method. Both phases are orthorhombic, space group Pnnm and Z = 2. The lattice parameters for the two phases are: ρ-Zr(HPO4)2: a = 8.1935  (2), b = 7.7090  (2), c = 5.4080  (1)  Å; β-ZrP2O7: a = 8.3127  (5), b = 6.6389  (4), c = 5.3407  (3)  Å. The formation mechanism for the new zirconium pyrophosphate polymorph, β-ZrP2O7, is discussed in relation to structurally restricted soft chemistry
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14.
  • Krogh Andersen, A.M., et al. (författare)
  • Preparation and Characterization of a New 3-Dimensional Zirconium Hydrogen Phosphate, τ-Zr(HPO4)2; Determination of the Complete Crystal Structure Combining Synchrotron X-ray Single Crystal Diffraction and Neutron Powder Diffraction.
  • 1998
  • Ingår i: Inorganic chemistry. - : American Chemical Society. - 1520-510X .- 0020-1669. ; 37:5, s. 876-881
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • A new 3-dimensional zirconium hydrogen phosphate, τ-Zr(HPO4)2, was prepared by hydrothermal syntheses. The preparation, characterization, and determination of the crystal structure of this new material are reported. The structure was solved from single-crystal synchrotron diffraction on a 25 × 25 × 50 μm crystal. The position of the hydrogen atom was found using high-resolution neutron powder diffraction data. The unit cell is tetragonal, space group I41cd (No. 110), with lattice parameters a = 11.259(1) Å, c = 10.764(1) Å, and Z = 8. The structure can be described as a 3-dimensional framework built from ZrO6 octahedra bound together by hydrogen phosphate groups (PO3(OH)). The OH groups form a hydrogen-bonded spiral along the 41 axes, with each hydrogen phosphate both donating and accepting hydrogen bonds. The thermal transformations of τ-Zr(HPO4)2 were studied using in-situ temperature-resolved powder diffraction experiments. Hereby the existence of two new phases was discovered. The new phases have been indexed and the unit cell parameters are as follows. Intermediate I:  a = 8.172(1), b = 7.691(1), and c = 10.794(2) Å. Intermediate II: a = 8.283(2), b = 6.620(2), and c = 10.643(2) Å.
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15.
  • Krogh Andersen, A.M., et al. (författare)
  • Structural Aspects of the Dehydration and Dehydroxylation of Layered γ-Titanium Phosphate, γ-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)⋅2H2O.
  • 1998
  • Ingår i: Inorganic chemistry. - : American Chemical Society. - 1520-510X .- 0020-1669. ; 37:17, s. 4313-4320
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The thermal transformations of γ-titanium phosphate, γ-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)·2H2O, have been studied using thermogravimetric analysis, differential scanning calorimetry, X-ray powder diffraction, and temperature-resolved in-situ powder diffraction. The transformation sequence goes from γ-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)·2H2O over a new partially dehydrated form γ‘-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)·(2−x)H2O (x 1) to the anhydrous form β-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4) and then through a two-step condensation process where layered titanium pyrophosphate, Ti(PO4)(H2P2O7)0.5, is formed first and finally cubic titanium pyrophosphate TiP2O7. The dehydration of γ-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)·2H2O and the dehydroxylation/condensation process from β-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4) to layered titanium pyrophosphate,Ti(PO4)(H2P2O7)0.5, was followed in-situ. A new partially dehydrated phase, γ‘-Ti(PO4)(H2PO4)·(2−x)H2O (x 1), which forms at approximately 50 °C has been detected and characterized. The unit cell is monoclinic with the lattice parameters a = 23.670(1) Å, b = 6.264(1) Å, c = 5.036(1) Å, β = 102.41(1)°, and Z = 4. Layered titanium pyrophosphate, Ti(PO4)(H2P2O7)0.5, which forms at 375 °C has been characterized. The unit cell is monoclinic with lattice parameters a = 16.271(3) Å, b = 6.319(1) Å, c = 5.122(1) Å, β = 90.59(2)°, and Z = 4.
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16.
  • Medlyn, Belinda E., et al. (författare)
  • Using models to guide field experiments : a priori predictions for the CO2 response of a nutrient- and water-limited native Eucalypt woodland
  • 2016
  • Ingår i: Global Change Biology. - : Wiley. - 1354-1013 .- 1365-2486. ; 22:8, s. 2834-2851
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The response of terrestrial ecosystems to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca), particularly under nutrient-limited conditions, is a major uncertainty in Earth System models. The Eucalyptus Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (EucFACE) experiment, recently established in a nutrient- and water-limited woodland presents a unique opportunity to address this uncertainty, but can best do so if key model uncertainties have been identified in advance. We applied seven vegetation models, which have previously been comprehensively assessed against earlier forest FACE experiments, to simulate a priori possible outcomes from EucFACE. Our goals were to provide quantitative projections against which to evaluate data as they are collected, and to identify key measurements that should be made in the experiment to allow discrimination among alternative model assumptions in a postexperiment model intercomparison. Simulated responses of annual net primary productivity (NPP) to elevated Ca ranged from 0.5 to 25% across models. The simulated reduction of NPP during a low-rainfall year also varied widely, from 24 to 70%. Key processes where assumptions caused disagreement among models included nutrient limitations to growth; feedbacks to nutrient uptake; autotrophic respiration; and the impact of low soil moisture availability on plant processes. Knowledge of the causes of variation among models is now guiding data collection in the experiment, with the expectation that the experimental data can optimally inform future model improvements.
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17.
  • Norby, Richard J., et al. (författare)
  • Informing models through empirical relationships between foliar phosphorus, nitrogen and photosynthesis across diverse woody species in tropical forests of Panama
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: New Phytologist. - : Wiley-Blackwell. - 0028-646X .- 1469-8137. ; 215:4, s. 1425-1437
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Our objective was to analyze and summarize data describing photosynthetic parameters and foliar nutrient concentrations from tropical forests in Panama to inform model representation of phosphorus (P) limitation of tropical forest productivity.Gas exchange and nutrient content data were collected from 144 observations of upper canopy leaves from at least 65 species at two forest sites in Panama, differing in species composition, rainfall and soil fertility. Photosynthetic parameters were derived from analysis of assimilation rate vs internal CO2 concentration curves (A/Ci), and relationships with foliar nitrogen (N) and P content were developed.The relationships between area-based photosynthetic parameters and nutrients were of similar strength for N and P and robust across diverse species and site conditions. The strongest relationship expressed maximum electron transport rate (Jmax) as a multivariate function of both N and P, and this relationship was improved with the inclusion of independent data on wood density.Models that estimate photosynthesis from foliar N would be improved only modestly by including additional data on foliar P, but doing so may increase the capability of models to predict future conditions in P-limited tropical forests, especially when combined with data on edaphic conditions and other environmental drivers.
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18.
  • Norby, Richard J, et al. (författare)
  • Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments.
  • 2016
  • Ingår i: New Phytologist. - : Wiley. - 1469-8137 .- 0028-646X. ; 209:1, s. 17-28
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The first generation of forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments has successfully provided deeper understanding about how forests respond to an increasing CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. Located in aggrading stands in the temperate zone, they have provided a strong foundation for testing critical assumptions in terrestrial biosphere models that are being used to project future interactions between forest productivity and the atmosphere, despite the limited inference space of these experiments with regards to the range of global ecosystems. Now, a new generation of FACE experiments in mature forests in different biomes and over a wide range of climate space and biodiversity will significantly expand the inference space. These new experiments are: EucFACE in a mature Eucalyptus stand on highly weathered soil in subtropical Australia; AmazonFACE in a highly diverse, primary rainforest in Brazil; BIFoR-FACE in a 150-yr-old deciduous woodland stand in central England; and SwedFACE proposed in a hemiboreal, Pinus sylvestris stand in Sweden. We now have a unique opportunity to initiate a model-data interaction as an integral part of experimental design and to address a set of cross-site science questions on topics including responses of mature forests; interactions with temperature, water stress, and phosphorus limitation; and the influence of biodiversity.
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19.
  • Walker, Anthony P., et al. (författare)
  • Comprehensive ecosystem model-data synthesis using multiple data sets at two temperate forest free-air CO2 enrichment experiments: Model performance at ambient CO2 concentration
  • 2014
  • Ingår i: Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences. - 2169-8953 .- 2169-8961. ; 119:5, s. 937-964
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments provide a remarkable wealth of data which can be used to evaluate and improve terrestrial ecosystem models (TEMs). In the FACE model-data synthesis project, 11 TEMs were applied to two decadelong FACE experiments in temperate forests of the southeastern U.S.the evergreen Duke Forest and the deciduous Oak Ridge Forest. In this baseline paper, we demonstrate our approach to model-data synthesis by evaluating the models' ability to reproduce observed net primary productivity (NPP), transpiration, and leaf area index (LAI) in ambient CO2 treatments. Model outputs were compared against observations using a range of goodness-of-fit statistics. Many models simulated annual NPP and transpiration within observed uncertainty. We demonstrate, however, that high goodness-of-fit values do not necessarily indicate a successful model, because simulation accuracy may be achieved through compensating biases in component variables. For example, transpiration accuracy was sometimes achieved with compensating biases in leaf area index and transpiration per unit leaf area. Our approach to model-data synthesis therefore goes beyond goodness-of-fit to investigate the success of alternative representations of component processes. Here we demonstrate this approach by comparing competing model hypotheses determining peak LAI. Of three alternative hypotheses(1) optimization to maximize carbon export, (2) increasing specific leaf area with canopy depth, and (3) the pipe modelthe pipe model produced peak LAI closest to the observations. This example illustrates how data sets from intensive field experiments such as FACE can be used to reduce model uncertainty despite compensating biases by evaluating individual model assumptions.
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20.
  • Walker, Anthony P., et al. (författare)
  • Predicting long-term carbon sequestration in response to CO2 enrichment: How and why do current ecosystem models differ?
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: Global Biogeochemical Cycles. - 0886-6236. ; 29:4, s. 476-495
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Large uncertainty exists in model projections of the land carbon (C) sink response to increasing atmospheric CO2. Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiments lasting a decade or more have investigated ecosystem responses to a step change in atmospheric CO2 concentration. To interpret FACE results in the context of gradual increases in atmospheric CO2 over decades to centuries, we used a suite of seven models to simulate the Duke and Oak Ridge FACE experiments extended for 300 years of CO2 enrichment. We also determine key modeling assumptions that drive divergent projections of terrestrial C uptake and evaluate whether these assumptions can be constrained by experimental evidence. All models simulated increased terrestrial C pools resulting from CO2 enrichment, though there was substantial variability in quasi-equilibrium C sequestration and rates of change. In two of two models that assume that plant nitrogen (N) uptake is solely a function of soil N supply, the net primary production response to elevated CO2 became progressively N limited. In four of five models that assume that N uptake is a function of both soil N supply and plant N demand, elevated CO2 led to reduced ecosystem N losses and thus progressively relaxed nitrogen limitation. Many allocation assumptions resulted in increased wood allocation relative to leaves and roots which reduced the vegetation turnover rate and increased C sequestration. In addition, self-thinning assumptions had a substantial impact on C sequestration in two models. Accurate representation of N process dynamics (in particular N uptake), allocation, and forest self-thinning is key to minimizing uncertainty in projections of future C sequestration in response to elevated atmospheric CO2.
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21.
  • Zaehle, Soenke, et al. (författare)
  • Evaluation of 11 terrestrial carbon-nitrogen cycle models against observations from two temperate Free-Air CO2 Enrichment studies
  • 2014
  • Ingår i: New Phytologist. - : Wiley. - 1469-8137 .- 0028-646X. ; 202:3, s. 803-822
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We analysed the responses of 11 ecosystem models to elevated atmospheric [CO2] (eCO(2)) at two temperate forest ecosystems (Duke and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiments) to test alternative representations of carbon (C)-nitrogen (N) cycle processes. We decomposed the model responses into component processes affecting the response to eCO(2) and confronted these with observations from the FACE experiments. Most of the models reproduced the observed initial enhancement of net primary production (NPP) at both sites, but none was able to simulate both the sustained 10-yr enhancement at Duke and the declining response at ORNL: models generally showed signs of progressive N limitation as a result of lower than observed plant N uptake. Nonetheless, many models showed qualitative agreement with observed component processes. The results suggest that improved representation of above-ground-below-ground interactions and better constraints on plant stoichiometry are important for a predictive understanding of eCO(2) effects. Improved accuracy of soil organic matter inventories is pivotal to reduce uncertainty in the observed C-N budgets. The two FACE experiments are insufficient to fully constrain terrestrial responses to eCO(2), given the complexity of factors leading to the observed diverging trends, and the consequential inability of the models to explain these trends. Nevertheless, the ecosystem models were able to capture important features of the experiments, lending some support to their projections.
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