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  • Menkveld, Albert J., et al. (författare)
  • Nonstandard Errors
  • 2024
  • Ingår i: JOURNAL OF FINANCE. - : Wiley-Blackwell. - 0022-1082 .- 1540-6261. ; 79:3, s. 2339-2390
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across researchers adds uncertainty-nonstandard errors (NSEs). We study NSEs by letting 164 teams test the same hypotheses on the same data. NSEs turn out to be sizable, but smaller for more reproducible or higher rated research. Adding peer-review stages reduces NSEs. We further find that this type of uncertainty is underestimated by participants.
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  • Alling, Vanja, et al. (författare)
  • Non-conservative behavior of dissolved organic carbon across the Laptev and East Siberian Seas
  • 2010
  • Ingår i: Global Biogeochemical Cycles. - 0886-6236 .- 1944-9224. ; 24, s. GB4033-
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Climate change is expected to have a strong effect on the Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS) region, which includes 40% of the Arctic shelves and comprises the Laptev and East Siberian seas. The largest organic carbon pool, the dissolved organic carbon (DOC), may change significantly due to changes in both riverine inputs and transformation rates; however, the present DOC inventories and transformation patterns are poorly understood. Using samples from the International Siberian Shelf Study 2008, this study examines for the first time DOC removal in Arctic shelf waters with residence times that range from months to years. Removals of up to 10%–20% were found in the Lena River estuary, consistent with earlier studies in this area, where surface waters were shown to have a residence time of approximately 2 months. In contrast, the DOC concentrations showed a strong nonconservative pattern in areas with freshwater residence times of several years. The average losses of DOC were estimated to be 30%–50% during mixing along the shelf, corresponding to a first-order removal rate constant of 0.3 yr−1. These data provide the first observational evidence for losses of DOC in the Arctic shelf seas, and the calculated DOC deficit reflects DOC losses that are higher than recent model estimates for the region. Overall, a large proportion of riverine DOC is removed from the surface waters across the Arctic shelves. Such significant losses must be included in models of the carbon cycle for the Arctic Ocean, especially since the breakdown of terrestrial DOC to CO2 in Arctic shelf seas may constitute a positive feedback mechanism for Arctic climate warming. These data also provide a baseline for considering the effects of future changes in carbon fluxes, as the vast northern carbon-rich permafrost areas draining into the Arctic are affected by global warming.
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8.
  • Andrejev, Oleg, et al. (författare)
  • The role of the spatial resolution of a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model for marine transport risk assessment
  • 2011
  • Ingår i: Oceanologia. - 0078-3234. ; 53:1, s. 309-334
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The paper addresses the sensitivity of a novel method for quantifying the environmental risks associated with the current-driven transport of adverse impacts released from offshore sources (e.g. ship traffic) with respect to the spatial resolution of the underlying hydrodynamic model. The risk is evaluated as the probability of particles released in different sea areas hitting the coast and in terms of the time after which the hit occurs (particle age) on the basis of a statistical analysis of large sets of 10-day long Lagrangian trajectories calculated for 1987-1991 for the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea. The relevant 21) maps are calculated using the OAAS model with spatial resolutions of 2, 1 and 0.5 nautical miles (nm) and with identical initial, boundary and forcing conditions from the Rossby Centre 3D hydrodynamic model (RCO, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute). The spatially averaged values of the probability and particle age display hardly any dependence on the resolution. They both reach almost identical stationary levels (0.67-0.69 and ca 5.3 days respectively) after a few years of simulations. Also, the spatial distributions of the relevant fields are qualitatively similar for all resolutions. In contrast, the optimum locations for fairways depend substantially on the resolution, whereas the results for the 2 nm model differ considerably from those obtained using finer-resolution models. It is concluded that eddy-permitting models with a grid step exceeding half the local baroclinic Rossby radius are suitable for a quick check of whether or not any potential gain from this method is feasible, whereas higher-resolution simulations with eddy-resolving models are necessary for detailed planning. The asymptotic values of the average probability and particle age are suggested as an indicator of the potential gain from the method in question and also as a new measure of the vulnerability of the nearshore of water bodies to offshore traffic accidents.
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  • Andrejev, Oleg, et al. (författare)
  • The use of high-resolution bathymetry for circulation modelling in the Gulf of Finland
  • 2010
  • Ingår i: Estonian Journal of Engineering. - Online : Estonian Academy Publishers. - 1736-6038. ; 16:3, s. 187-210
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We present preliminary results of the extension of the OAAS circulation model to a high-resolution bathymetry with a finest resolution of 0.25 nautical miles in the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea. The models with a resolution of 1 mile or finer are capable of resolving typical mesoscale eddies in this basin where the internal Rossby radius is usually 2–4 km. An increase in the model resolution from 1 to 0.5 NM leads to a clear improvement of the representation of the key hydrophysical fields. A further increase in the resolution to 0.25 NM has a lesser impact on hydro­physical fields, but may lead to some changes in the instantaneous patterns of currents. The para­meterization of the spreading effect of sub-grid-scale turbulence on the trajectories of initially closely located drifters is realized by means of accounting for the largely rotational character of the dynamics in this basin. The modelled average spreading rate for initially closely located particles for 1991 was 2 mm/s.
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10.
  • Barrio, Isabel C., et al. (författare)
  • Background invertebrate herbivory on dwarf birch (Betula glandulosa-nana complex) increases with temperature and precipitation across the tundra biome
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Polar Biology. - : Springer. - 0722-4060 .- 1432-2056. ; 40:11, s. 2265-2278
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Chronic, low intensity herbivory by invertebrates, termed background herbivory, has been understudied in tundra, yet its impacts are likely to increase in a warmer Arctic. The magnitude of these changes is however hard to predict as we know little about the drivers of current levels of invertebrate herbivory in tundra. We assessed the intensity of invertebrate herbivory on a common tundra plant, the dwarf birch (Betula glandulosa-nana complex), and investigated its relationship to latitude and climate across the tundra biome. Leaf damage by defoliating, mining and gall-forming invertebrates was measured in samples collected from 192 sites at 56 locations. Our results indicate that invertebrate herbivory is nearly ubiquitous across the tundra biome but occurs at low intensity. On average, invertebrates damaged 11.2% of the leaves and removed 1.4% of total leaf area. The damage was mainly caused by external leaf feeders, and most damaged leaves were only slightly affected (12% leaf area lost). Foliar damage was consistently positively correlated with mid-summer (July) temperature and, to a lesser extent, precipitation in the year of data collection, irrespective of latitude. Our models predict that, on average, foliar losses to invertebrates on dwarf birch are likely to increase by 6-7% over the current levels with a 1 degrees C increase in summer temperatures. Our results show that invertebrate herbivory on dwarf birch is small in magnitude but given its prevalence and dependence on climatic variables, background invertebrate herbivory should be included in predictions of climate change impacts on tundra ecosystems.
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  • Blunden, Jessica, et al. (författare)
  • State of the Climate in 2012
  • 2013
  • Ingår i: Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS). - 0003-0007 .- 1520-0477. ; 94:8, s. S1-S258
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • For the first time in serveral years, the El Nino-Southern Oscillation did not dominate regional climate conditions around the globe. A weak La Ni a dissipated to ENSOneutral conditions by spring, and while El Nino appeared to be emerging during summer, this phase never fully developed as sea surface temperatures in the eastern conditions. Nevertheless, other large-scale climate patterns and extreme weather events impacted various regions during the year. A negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation from mid-January to early February contributed to frigid conditions in parts of northern Africa, eastern Europe, and western Asia. A lack of rain during the 2012 wet season led to the worst drought in at least the past three decades for northeastern Brazil. Central North America also experienced one of its most severe droughts on record. The Caribbean observed a very wet dry season and it was the Sahel's wettest rainy season in 50 years. Overall, the 2012 average temperature across global land and ocean surfaces ranked among the 10 warmest years on record. The global land surface temperature alone was also among the 10 warmest on record. In the upper atmosphere, the average stratospheric temperature was record or near-record cold, depending on the dataset. After a 30-year warming trend from 1970 to 1999 for global sea surface temperatures, the period 2000-12 had little further trend. This may be linked to the prevalence of La Ni a-like conditions during the 21st century. Heat content in the upper 700 m of the ocean remained near record high levels in 2012. Net increases from 2011 to 2012 were observed at 700-m to 2000-m depth and even in the abyssal ocean below. Following sharp decreases in to the effects of La Ni a, sea levels rebounded to reach records highs in 2012. The increased hydrological cycle seen in recent years continued, with more evaporation in drier locations and more precipitation in rainy areas. In a pattern that has held since 2004, salty areas of the ocean surfaces and subsurfaces were anomalously salty on average, while fresher areas were anomalously fresh. Global tropical cyclone activity during 2012 was near average, with a total of 84 storms compared with the 1981-2010 average of 89. Similar to 2010 and 2011, the North Atlantic was the only hurricane basin that experienced above-normal activity. In this basin, Sandy brought devastation to Cuba and parts of the eastern North American seaboard. All other basins experienced either near-or below-normal tropical cyclone activity. Only three tropical cyclones reached Category 5 intensity-all in Bopha became the only storm in the historical record to produce winds greater than 130 kt south of 7 N. It was also the costliest storm to affect the Philippines and killed more than 1000 residents. Minimum Arctic sea ice extent in September and Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent in June both reached new record lows. June snow cover extent is now declining at a faster rate (-17.6% per decade) than September sea ice extent (-13.0% per decade). Permafrost temperatures reached record high values in northernmost Alaska. A new melt extent record occurred on 11-12 July on the Greenland ice sheet; 97% of the ice sheet showed some form of melt, four times greater than the average melt for this time of year. The climate in Antarctica was relatively stable overall. The largest maximum sea ice extent since records begain in 1978 was observed in September 2012. In the stratosphere, warm air led to the second smallest ozone hole in the past two decades. Even so, the springtime ozone layer above Antarctica likely will not return to its early 1980s state until about 2060. Following a slight decline associated with the global 2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production reached a record 9.5 +/- 0.5 Pg C in 2011 and a new record of 9.7 +/- 0.5 Pg C is estimated for 2012. Atmospheric CO2 concentrations increased by 2.1 ppm in 2012, to 392.6 ppm. In spring 2012, 2 concentration exceeded 400 ppm at 7 of the 13 Arctic observation sites. Globally, other greenhouse gases including methane and nitrous oxide also continued to rise in concentration and the combined effect now represents a 32% increase in radiative forcing over a 1990 baseline. Concentrations of most ozone depleting substances continued to fall.
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  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (författare)
  • Improving dialogue among researchers, local and indigenous peoples and decision-makers to address issues of climate change in the North
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Ambio: a Journal of the Human Environment. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0044-7447. ; 49:6, s. 1161-1178
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The Circumpolar North has been changing rapidly within the last decades, and the socioeconomic systems of the Eurasian Arctic and Siberia in particular have displayed the most dramatic changes. Here, anthropogenic drivers of environmental change such as migration and industrialization are added to climate-induced changes in the natural environment such as permafrost thawing and increased frequency of extreme events. Understanding and adapting to both types of changes are important to local and indigenous peoples in the Arctic and for the wider global community due to transboundary connectivity. As local and indigenous peoples, decision-makers and scientists perceive changes and impacts differently and often fail to communicate efficiently to respond to changes adequately, we convened a meeting of the three groups in Salekhard in 2017. The outcomes of the meeting include perceptions of how the three groups each perceive the main issues affecting health and well-being and recommendations for working together better.
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  • Humborg, Christoph, et al. (författare)
  • High Emissions of Carbon Dioxide and Methane From the Coastal Baltic Sea at the End of a Summer Heat Wave
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Frontiers in Marine Science. - : Frontiers Media SA. - 2296-7745. ; 6
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The summer heat wave in 2018 led to the highest recorded water temperatures since 1926 - up to 21 degrees C - in bottom coastal waters of the Baltic Sea, with implications for the respiration patterns in these shallow coastal systems. We applied cavity ring-down spectrometer measurements to continuously monitor carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) surface-water concentrations, covering the coastal archipelagos of Sweden and Finland and the open and deeper parts of the Northern Baltic Proper. This allowed us to (i) follow an upwelling event near the Swedish coast leading to elevated CO2 and moderate CH 4 outgassing, and (ii) to estimate CH4 sources and fluxes along the coast by investigating water column inventories and air-sea fluxes during a storm and an associated downwelling event. At the end of the heat wave, before the storm event, we found elevated CO2 (1583 mu atm) and CH4 (70 nmol/L) concentrations. During the storm, a massive CO2 sea-air flux of up to 274 mmol m(-2) d(-1) was observed. While water-column CO2 concentrations were depleted during several hours of the storm, CH4 concentrations remained elevated. Overall, we found a positive relationship between CO2 and CH4 wind-driven sea-air fluxes, however, the highest CH4 fluxes were observed at low winds whereas highest CO2 fluxes were during peak winds, suggesting different sources and processes controlling their fluxes besides wind. We applied a box-model approach to estimate the CH4 supply needed to sustain these elevated CH4 concentrations and the results suggest a large source flux of CH4 to the water column of 2.5 mmol m(-2) d(-1). These results are qualitatively supported by acoustic observations of vigorous and widespread outgassing from the sediments, with flares that could be traced throughout the water column penetrating the pycnocline and reaching the sea surface. The results suggest that the heat wave triggered CO2 and CH4 fluxes in the coastal zones that are comparable with maximum emission rates found in other hot spots, such as boreal and arctic lakes and wetlands. Further, the results suggest that heat waves are as important for CO2 and CH4 sea-air fluxes as the ice break up in spring.
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  • Jerzembeck, Fabian, et al. (författare)
  • The superconductivity of Sr2RuO4 under c-axis uniaxial stress
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Nature Communications. - : Springer Nature. - 2041-1723. ; 13:1
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Applying in-plane uniaxial pressure to strongly correlated low-dimensional systems has been shown to tune the electronic structure dramatically. For example, the unconventional superconductor Sr2RuO4 can be tuned through a single Van Hove point, resulting in strong enhancement of both T-c and H-c2. Out-of-plane (c axis) uniaxial pressure is expected to tune the quasi-two-dimensional structure even more strongly, by pushing it towards two Van Hove points simultaneously. Here, we achieve a record uniaxial stress of 3.2 GPa along the c axis of Sr2RuO4. H-c2 increases, as expected for increasing density of states, but unexpectedly T-c falls. As a first attempt to explain this result, we present three-dimensional calculations in the weak interaction limit. We find that within the weak-coupling framework there is no single order parameter that can account for the contrasting effects of in-plane versus c-axis uniaxial stress, which makes this new result a strong constraint on theories of the superconductivity of Sr2RuO4. In the superconductor Sr2RuO4, in-plane strain is known to enhance both the superconducting transition temperature Tc and upper critical field Hc2, but the effect of out-of-plane strain has not been studied. Here, the authors find that Hc2 is enhanced under out-of-plane strain, but Tc unexpectedly decreases.
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  • Lagarde, G., et al. (författare)
  • Trade-offs between size and degree in polynomial calculus
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Leibniz International Proceedings in Informatics, LIPIcs. - : Schloss Dagstuhl- Leibniz-Zentrum fur Informatik GmbH, Dagstuhl Publishing. ; 151
  • Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Building on [Clegg et al.’96], [Impagliazzo et al.’99] established that if an unsatisfiable k-CNF formula over n variables has a refutation of size S in the polynomial calculus resolution proof system, then this formula also has a refutation of degree k + O(n log S). The proof of this works by converting a small-size refutation into a small-degree one, but at the expense of increasing the proof size exponentially. This raises the question of whether it is possible to achieve both small size and small degree in the same refutation, or whether the exponential blow-up is inherent. Using and extending ideas from [Thapen’16], who studied the analogous question for the resolution proof system, we prove that a strong size-degree trade-off is necessary.
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  • Myrberg, Kai, et al. (författare)
  • Validation of three-dimensional hydrodynamic models of the Gulf of Finland
  • 2010
  • Ingår i: Boreal environment research. - 1239-6095 .- 1797-2469. ; 15:5, s. 453-479
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • A model-intercomparison study was conducted, the first of its kind for the Baltic Sea, whose aim was to systematically simulate the basic three-dimensional hydrographic properties of a realistic, complex basin. Simulations of the hydrographic features of the Gulf of Finland for the summer autumn of 1996 by six three-dimensional hydrodynamic models were compared. Validation was undertaken using more than 300 vertical hydrographic profiles of salinity and temperature. The analysis of model performance, including averaging of the ensemble results, was undertaken with a view to assessing the potential suitability of the models in reproducing the physics of the Baltic Sea accurately enough to serve as a basis for accurate simulations of biogeochemistry once ecosystem models are incorporated. The performance of the models was generally satisfactory. Nevertheless, all the models had some difficulties in correctly simulating vertical profiles of temperature and salinity, and hence mixed layer dynamics, particularly in the eastern Gulf of Finland. Results emphasized the need for high resolution in both vertical and horizontal directions in order to resolve the complex dynamics and bathymetry of the Baltic Sea. Future work needs to consider the choice of mixing and advection schemes, moving to higher resolution, high-frequency forcing, and the accurate representation of river discharges and boundary conditions.
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  • Nygård, Henrik, et al. (författare)
  • Decision-Support Tools Used in the Baltic Sea Area : Performance and End-User Preferences
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Environmental Management. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0364-152X .- 1432-1009. ; 66, s. 1024-1038
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Decision-support tools (DSTs) synthesize complex information to assist environmental managers in the decision-making process. Here, we review DSTs applied in the Baltic Sea area, to investigate how well the ecosystem approach is reflected in them, how different environmental problems are covered, and how well the tools meet the needs of the end users. The DSTs were evaluated based on (i) a set of performance criteria, (ii) information on end user preferences, (iii) how end users had been involved in tool development, and (iv) what experiences developers/hosts had on the use of the tools. We found that DSTs frequently addressed management needs related to eutrophication, biodiversity loss, or contaminant pollution. The majority of the DSTs addressed human activities, their pressures, or environmental status changes, but they seldom provided solutions for a complete ecosystem approach. In general, the DSTs were scientifically documented and transparent, but confidence in the outputs was poorly communicated. End user preferences were, apart from the shortcomings in communicating uncertainty, well accounted for in the DSTs. Although end users were commonly consulted during the DST development phase, they were not usually part of the development team. Answers from developers/hosts indicate that DSTs are not applied to their full potential. Deeper involvement of end users in the development phase could potentially increase the value and impact of DSTs. As a way forward, we propose streamlining the outputs of specific DSTs, so that they can be combined to a holistic insight of the consequences of management actions and serve the ecosystem approach in a better manner.
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  • Savchuk, Oleg P., et al. (författare)
  • External nutrient loads to the Baltic Sea, 1970-2006
  • 2012
  • Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • Any research related to nutrient biogeochemistry of the Baltic Sea, especially studies of eutrophication requires knowledge of the long-term dynamics of external nutrient inputs. Information accumulated in the HELCOM’s pollution load compilations is too aggregated and, until recently, covered only specific years. On the other hand, national datasets with higher resolutions are often difficult to access. Therefore, over the years considerable efforts have been put into a compilation of consistent estimates of nutrient input to the entire Baltic Sea.Excluding exchange with the Skagerrak from this report, the external nutrient input is considered here as consisting of three component parts: waterborne land loads, direct point sources at the coasts, and atmospheric depositions.The present reconstruction of time series of these three components is based on three major sources. The compilation of the land loads database has started within the project “Large-scale Environmental Effects and Ecological Processes in the Baltic Sea, 1990-1995” (Wulff et al., 2001c), continued during the MARE (“Marine Research on Eutrophication, 1999-2006”) project (Wulff et al., 2001a, Eriksson Hägg et al., 2010), and was most recently updated and expanded in connection with the latest HELCOM’s activities on the pollution load compilation (HELCOM, 2011) and the revision of the Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP, Wulff et al., 2009). However, there is an important difference between information contained in the HELCOM publications and the data presented here.By its very international nature HELCOM has to deal with whatever data are officially provided by the contracting parties, ending up with certain gaps and inconsistencies in the data sets (e.g. see discussion in HELCOM, 2011). On the other hand, considering eutrophication as an imbalance in the large-scale nutrient cycles, whereby more nutrients come into the system than leave it (e.g. Savchuk and Wulff, 2009 and references therein), we need to know the total amounts of external input as close to the reality as possible. Therefore, in our reconstructions we have been trying to both fill such gaps in and correct possible sources of inconsistencies. The reconstructed data sets have extensively been used by ourselves for various nutrient budget estimates (e.g. Wulff et al., 2001b, Savchuk, 2005) and as the boundary conditions for biogeochemical models (e.g. Savchuk and Wulff, 2007, 2009) including development of the eutrophication segment of BSAP (Wulff, 2007), as well as by many researchers around the Baltic Sea, for instance, within several projects of the BONUS+ research programme (e.g.Eilola et al., 2011; Eriksson Hägg et al., 2011; Meier et al., 2011).The implemented nutrient inputs have naturally been described in these publications, but briefly. In order to facilitate afurther distribution of reconstructed inputs and their usage, here we describe the process of reconstruction in more detail and make available the full data sets in digital form.The data used for the reconstruction have kindly been provided by several institutions and agencies around the Baltic Sea (see below) as well as directly by HELCOM during preparation of PLC-4 and PLC-5 (see HELCOM, 2004, 2011). Since not all data providershad given the permission to distribute the original raw measurements, we have here 3 aggregated all the inputs according to the spatial segmentation of the Baltic Sea (Fig.1) currently implemented in the biogeochemical model BALTSEM (BAltic sea Long-Term large Scale Eutrophication Model). Note also that some part of riverine inputs is available in a decision support system Baltic Nest with a much higher spatial resolution, as is further explained below.
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22.
  • Schael, S, et al. (författare)
  • Precision electroweak measurements on the Z resonance
  • 2006
  • Ingår i: Physics Reports. - : Elsevier BV. - 0370-1573 .- 1873-6270. ; 427:5-6, s. 257-454
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We report on the final electroweak measurements performed with data taken at the Z resonance by the experiments operating at the electron-positron colliders SLC and LEP. The data consist of 17 million Z decays accumulated by the ALEPH, DELPHI, L3 and OPAL experiments at LEP, and 600 thousand Z decays by the SLID experiment using a polarised beam at SLC. The measurements include cross-sections, forward-backward asymmetries and polarised asymmetries. The mass and width of the Z boson, m(Z) and Gamma(Z), and its couplings to fermions, for example the p parameter and the effective electroweak mixing angle for leptons, are precisely measured: m(Z) = 91.1875 +/- 0.0021 GeV, Gamma(Z) = 2.4952 +/- 0.0023 GeV, rho(l) = 1.0050 +/- 0.0010, sin(2)theta(eff)(lept) = 0.23153 +/- 0.00016. The number of light neutrino species is determined to be 2.9840 +/- 0.0082, in agreement with the three observed generations of fundamental fermions. The results are compared to the predictions of the Standard Model (SM). At the Z-pole, electroweak radiative corrections beyond the running of the QED and QCD coupling constants are observed with a significance of five standard deviations, and in agreement with the Standard Model. Of the many Z-pole measurements, the forward-backward asymmetry in b-quark production shows the largest difference with respect to its SM expectation, at the level of 2.8 standard deviations. Through radiative corrections evaluated in the framework of the Standard Model, the Z-pole data are also used to predict the mass of the top quark, m(t) = 173(+10)(+13) GeV, and the mass of the W boson, m(W) = 80.363 +/- 0.032 GeV. These indirect constraints are compared to the direct measurements, providing a stringent test of the SM. Using in addition the direct measurements of m(t) and m(W), the mass of the as yet unobserved SM Higgs boson is predicted with a relative uncertainty of about 50% and found to be less than 285 GeV at 95% confidence level. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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23.
  • Schumacher, Johanna, et al. (författare)
  • Bridging the Science-Policy Gap - Toward Better Integration of Decision Support Tools in Coastal and Marine Policy Implementation
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Frontiers in Marine Science. - : Frontiers Media SA. - 2296-7745. ; 7
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Decision support tools (DSTs), like models, GIS-based planning tools and assessment tools, play an important role in incorporating scientific information into decision-making and facilitating policy implementation. In an interdisciplinary Baltic research group, we compiled 43 DSTs developed to support ecosystem-based management of the Baltic Sea and conducted a thorough review. Analyzed DSTs cover a wide variety of policy issues (e.g., eutrophication, biodiversity, human uses) and address environmental as well as socio-economic aspects. In this study, we aim to identify gaps between existing DSTs and end-user needs for DSTs for supporting coastal and marine policy implementation, and to provide recommendations for future DST development. In two online surveys, we assess the awareness and use of DSTs in general, as well as policy implementation challenges and DST needs of representatives of public authorities from all Baltic countries, in particular. Through a policy review we identify major policy issues, policies, and general implementation steps and requirements and develop the synthesis-matrix, which is used to compare DST demand and supply. Our results show that DSTs are predominantly used by researchers. End-users from public authorities use DSTs mostly as background information. Major obstacles for DST use are lacking awareness and experiences. DST demand is strongest for the policy issue eutrophication. Furthermore, DSTs that support the development of plans or programs of measures and assess their impacts and effectiveness are needed. DST supply is low for recently emerging topics, such as non-indigenous species, marine litter, and underwater noise. To overcome existing obstacles, a common database for DSTs available in the BSR is needed. Furthermore, end-users need guidance and training, and cooperation between DST developers and end-users needs to be enhanced to ensure the practical relevance of DSTs for supporting coastal and marine policy implementation. To fill existing gaps, DSTs that address impacts on human welfare and link environmental and socio-economic aspects should be developed. The Baltic Sea Region serves as a best practice case for studying DSTs and their practical use. Hence, our results can provide insights for DST development in other marine regions. Furthermore, our methodological approach is transferable to other areas.
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24.
  • Sokolov, Mikhail, et al. (författare)
  • Laser welding of structural steels : influence of the edge roughness level
  • 2012
  • Ingår i: Optics and Laser Technology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0030-3992 .- 1879-2545. ; 44:7, s. 2064-2071
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Laser welding continues to become more extensively used in many industrial applications and in the last 10 years an increasing number of studies have examined ways to increase the efficiency of the process. This study investigates the influence of joint edge surface roughness on weld quality and penetration depth. The characteristics are investigated of welded samples of two low alloyed steels, S355 and St 3, of 20 mm thickness with various joint edge surface roughness levels in butt joint configuration. Welding was performed with different fiber lasers with a wavelength of 1070 nm at power levels from 10 to 15 kW. The absorption characteristics were evaluated at 10 kW power level using a calorimeter. There was a significant positive correlation between edge surface roughness level and the penetration depth. Optimum roughness levels to provide maximum penetration depth are presented. The highest penetration depth at power levels of 14 and 10 kW was achieved at Ra=6.3 μm.
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  • Soomere, T., et al. (författare)
  • Management of coastal pollution by means of smart placement of human activities
  • 2011
  • Ingår i: Journal of Coastal Research. - 0749-0208 .- 1551-5036. ; 57, s. 951-955
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We describe recent developments in the new technique that addresses the potential for a systematic increase in the time until an adverse impact (for example, an oil spill) reaches a vulnerable sea area and a corresponding decrease in the probability of the impact reaching such an area after an accident has happened. The risk of coastal pollution is estimated using statistical analysis of a large pool of numerically simulated trajectories of water particles in the surface layer. A decrease in the risk level is possible by means of minimizing the probability for a coastal hit or by maximizing the time span until the pollution reaches the coast. Environmental gain is then achieved by placing the dangerous activities into sea areas (or redirecting ship traffic accordingly), from which the transport of the adverse impact to the coast is less likely or takes the most time. As a key new development, we introduce and analyze a measure of risk that systematically accounts for the potential increase in the sailing distance associated with the proposed approach. The resulting gain from the use of the corresponding optimal fairways is estimated for the test area of the Gulf of Finland in the Baltic Sea.
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26.
  • Soomere, Tarmo, et al. (författare)
  • The use of Lagrangian trajectories for the identification of the environmentally safe fairways
  • 2011
  • Ingår i: Marine Pollution Bulletin. - : Elsevier BV. - 0025-326X .- 1879-3363. ; 62:7, s. 1410-1420
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We propose and test a method for the optimisation of marine fairways to minimise the risk to high-value areas, based on statistical analysis of Lagrangian trajectories of current-driven pollution transport. The offshore areas are quantified according to the probability of pollution released in these areas to reach vulnerable regions. The method contains an eddy-resolving circulation model, a scheme for tracking of Lagrangian trajectories, a technique for the calculation of quantities characterising the potential of different sea areas to supply adverse impacts, and routines to construct the optimum fairway. The gain is expressed in terms of the probability of pollution transport to the nearshore and the associated time (particle age). The use of the optimum fairway would decrease the probability of coastal pollution by 40% or increase the average time of reaching the pollution to the coast from 5.3 to about 9 days in the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea.
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27.
  • Turja, Raisa, et al. (författare)
  • The mussel caging approach in assessing biological effects of wastewater treatment plant discharges in the Gulf of Finland (Baltic Sea)
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: Marine Pollution Bulletin. - : Elsevier BV. - 0025-326X .- 1879-3363. ; 97:1-2, s. 135-149
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Biological effects of wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) effluents were investigated in Baltic mussels (Mytilus trossulus) caged for one month 800 m and 1100 m from the WWTP discharge site and at a reference site 4 km away. Significant antioxidant, genotoxic and lysosomal responses were observed close to the point of the WWTP discharge. Passive samplers (POCIS) attached to the cages indicated markedly higher water concentrations of various pharmaceuticals at the two most impacted sites. Modeling the dispersal of a hypothetical passive tracer compound from the WWTP discharge site revealed differing frequencies and timing of the exposure periods at different caging sites. The study demonstrated for the first time the effectiveness of the mussel caging approach in combination with passive samplers and the application of passive tracer modeling to examine the true exposure patterns at point source sites such as WWTP pipe discharges in the Baltic Sea.
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28.
  • Vuorinen, Katariina E.M., et al. (författare)
  • Growth rings show limited evidence for ungulates' potential to suppress shrubs across the Arctic
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Environmental Research Letters. - : IOP Publishing. - 1748-9318 .- 1748-9326. ; 17:3
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Global warming has pronounced effects on tundra vegetation, and rising mean temperatures increase plant growth potential across the Arctic biome. Herbivores may counteract the warming impacts by reducing plant growth, but the strength of this effect may depend on prevailing regional climatic conditions. To study how ungulates interact with temperature to influence growth of tundra shrubs across the Arctic tundra biome, we assembled dendroecological data from 20 sites, comprising 1153 individual shrubs and 223 63 annual growth rings. Evidence for ungulates suppressing shrub radial growth was only observed at intermediate summer temperatures (6.5 °C-9 °C), and even at these temperatures the effect was not strong. Multiple factors, including forage preferences and landscape use by the ungulates, and favourable climatic conditions enabling effective compensatory growth of shrubs, may weaken the effects of ungulates on shrubs, possibly explaining the weakness of observed ungulate effects. Earlier local studies have shown that ungulates may counteract the impacts of warming on tundra shrub growth, but we demonstrate that ungulates' potential to suppress shrub radial growth is not always evident, and may be limited to certain climatic conditions.
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29.
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30.
  • Wulff, Fredrik, et al. (författare)
  • Nest – a decision support systemfor management of the Baltic Sea : A user manual
  • 2013
  • Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • The decision support system Nest was initially developed within the MISTRA-funded MARE research program, which was completed in 2007. Nest was then successfully used for the development of the eutrophication segment of the HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan, where nutrient load reductions needed to reach a healthy Baltic Sea were calculated, as were the allocations between countries. Nest is also used in many research programs.The maintenance and further development of Nest has continued within the Baltic Nest Institute. The Nest system links the entire Baltic Sea region, from watershed to offshore ecosystems, through data and models. It is available online, free of charge, and can be run in both expert and standard mode. The main target groups of the Nest system are decision-makers and scientists in the Baltic region interacting with the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM), as well as those working on the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive and Marine Strategy Framework Directive.We also hope that it can be useful for students interested in learning more about the Baltic Sea. The different components describe forcing by nutrient inputs and characteristics of the drainage and sea basins. The marine models describe the physics and biogeochemistry of the Sea, as well as of its food webs (to the levels of man and seals), and are used in scenarios of how fisheries, eutrophication, and climate change affect this unique ecosystem.Finally, the strong interdependence of the countries around the Baltic is illustrated when the costs for reducing nutrient load, with or without cooperation, are calculated. This manual is by no means the final version: it will be continuously improved and modified, both as a result of user inputs and when components of Nest are modified. Nest has been designed as a web distributed system and to use it you need access to the Internet; some components are installed on your (client) computer, others are installed on the servers that you communicate with. Experts continuously update the components of Nest. Each time you start the program, your client software is checked and updated if a new version is available. This procedure ensures that you always use the most recent version of Nest. 
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31.
  • Wulff, Fredrik, et al. (författare)
  • Revision of the country allocation of nutrient reductions in the Baltic Sea Action Plan.  Section A: Hydrological adjusted riverine loads and atmospheric loads from different countries averaged for 2000 - 2006 : Technical Report No. 1
  • 2009
  • Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • HELCOM has asked BNI to revise the country-wise nutrient allocations of the Baltic Sea Action Plan using the new data available on atmospheric loads (EMEP) and more recent calculations on loads from the drainage basins (PLC5).We are here reporting the most recent and updated data on loads from the drainage basins, averaged for 2000-2006 and 1997-2003, based on data supplied by the HELCOM member states for the preparation of the Fifth Pollution Load compilation (PLC5).The nutrient load data for 1997-2003, the period used for the original country allocation sceme of BSAP as signed in Krakow 2007, have been updated as well as new estimates for 2000-2006. The latter period has been suggested by HELOM as the foundation for an updated BSAP.However, these periods include several very dry or wet years. Drastic changes of the inputs seen in these data may therefore partly reflect these hydrological variations rather thanreal changes of loads due to efforts by the countries to reduce emissions. We therefore found it necessary to normalise these values, taking into account variations in riverine flows.Russian data were found to be very incomplete and we therefore had to re-evaluate and compute new estimates, beyond those available in the PLC5 database.We also report recent calculations on atmospheric loads to the different Baltic sub basins, averaged for 1997-2003 and 2000-2006, made available on the Internet by EMEP and integrated into NEST. The loads are now source allocated to the different HELCOM countries and other sources in order to be used in the revision of the country allocation scheme of BSAP.
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