| 1. |
- Bellerby, Richard, et al.
(författare)
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Acidification in the Arctic Ocean
- 2013
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Ingår i: Chapter 2 in: AMAP, 2013. AMAP Assessment 2013: Arctic Ocean Acidification. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP). - Oslo, Norway : AMAP. - 9788279710820 ; , s. 9-36
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- A consequence of the persistent release of carbon dioxide (CO2) to the atmosphere following fossil fuel combustion and changes in land use is that there is an increasing net air-to-sea transport of CO2. Although this oceanic uptake will reduce the potential for greenhouse warming that would have arisen had the gas remained in the atmosphere, it will also result in major changes in ocean chemistry. The most obvious signal in this respect is the fall in ocean pH and the change in the speciation of the marine carbonate system. The Arctic Ocean is one of the regions where ocean acidification is occurring fastest. From a baseline where the seawater is already poorly buffered and thus small changes in CO2 content have large changes in pH, there are a multitude of stressors that act on the Arctic Ocean amplifying the acidification. This chapter summarizes carbonate chemistry in seawater (Section 2.2) and reviews the major processes influencing the Arctic Ocean carbonate system (Section 2.3). The chapter also describes some of the biogeochemical processes sensitive to ocean acidification (Section 2.4). Section 2.5 addresses the major sources and sinks of carbon to the Arctic Ocean, and presents a regional breakdown of contemporary rates of ocean acidification. Finally, simulations from earth system models and regional models are analyzed to project potential changes to the Arctic Ocean carbonate system (Section 2.6).
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| 2. |
- Breznau, Nate, et al.
(författare)
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Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty
- 2022
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Ingår i: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. - : National Academy of Sciences. - 0027-8424 .- 1091-6490. ; 119:44
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This study explores how researchers analytical choices affect the reliability of scientific findings. Most discussions of reliability problems in science focus on systematic biases. We broaden the lens to emphasize the idiosyncrasy of conscious and unconscious decisions that researchers make during data analysis. We coordinated 161 researchers in 73 research teams and observed their research decisions as they used the same data to independently test the same prominent social science hypothesis: that greater immigration reduces support for social policies among the public. In this typical case of social science research, research teams reported both widely diverging numerical findings and substantive conclusions despite identical start conditions. Researchers expertise, prior beliefs, and expectations barely predict the wide variation in research outcomes. More than 95% of the total variance in numerical results remains unexplained even after qualitative coding of all identifiable decisions in each teams workflow. This reveals a universe of uncertainty that remains hidden when considering a single study in isolation. The idiosyncratic nature of how researchers results and conclusions varied is a previously underappreciated explanation for why many scientific hypotheses remain contested. These results call for greater epistemic humility and clarity in reporting scientific findings.
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| 3. |
- Hamed, Tareq Abu, et al.
(författare)
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Multiscale in modelling and validation for solar photovoltaics
- 2018
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Ingår i: EPJ Photovoltaics. - : EDP Sciences. - 2105-0716. ; 9
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Photovoltaics is amongst the most important technologies for renewable energy sources, and plays a key role in the development of a society with a smaller environmental footprint. Key parameters for solar cells are their energy conversion efficiency, their operating lifetime, and the cost of the energy obtained from a photovoltaic system compared to other sources. The optimization of these aspects involves the exploitation of new materials and development of novel solar cell concepts and designs. Both theoretical modeling and characterization of such devices require a comprehensive view including all scales from the atomic to the macroscopic and industrial scale. The different length scales of the electronic and optical degrees of freedoms specifically lead to an intrinsic need for multiscale simulation, which is accentuated in many advanced photovoltaics concepts including nanostructured regions. Therefore, multiscale modeling has found particular interest in the photovoltaics community, as a tool to advance the field beyond its current limits. In this article, we review the field of multiscale techniques applied to photovoltaics, and we discuss opportunities and remaining challenges.
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| 4. |
- Willis, Megan D., et al.
(författare)
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Polar oceans and sea ice in a changing climate
- 2023
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Ingår i: Elementa. - 2325-1026. ; 11:1
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Polar oceans and sea ice cover 15% of the Earth's ocean surface, and the environment is changing rapidly at both poles. Improving knowledge on the interactions between the atmospheric and oceanic realms in the polar regions, a Surface Ocean-Lower Atmosphere Study (SOLAS) project key focus, is essential to understanding the Earth system in the context of climate change. However, our ability to monitor the pace and magnitude of changes in the polar regions and evaluate their impacts for the rest of the globe is limited by both remoteness and sea-ice coverage. Sea ice not only supports biological activity and mediates gas and aerosol exchange but can also hinder some in-situ and remote sensing observations. While satellite remote sensing provides the baseline climate record for sea-ice properties and extent, these techniques cannot provide key variables within and below sea ice. Recent robotics, modeling, and in-situ measurement advances have opened new possibilities for understanding the ocean-sea ice-atmosphere system, but critical knowledge gaps remain. Seasonal and long-term observations are clearly lacking across all variables and phases. Observational and modeling efforts across the sea-ice, ocean, and atmospheric domains must be better linked to achieve a system-level understanding of polar ocean and sea-ice environments. As polar oceans are warming and sea ice is becoming thinner and more ephemeral than before, dramatic changes over a suite of physicochemical and biogeochemical processes are expected, if not already underway. These changes in sea-ice and ocean conditions will affect atmospheric processes by modifying the production of aerosols, aerosol precursors, reactive halogens and oxidants, and the exchange of greenhouse gases. Quantifying which processes will be enhanced or reduced by climate change calls for tailored monitoring programs for high-latitude ocean environments. Open questions in this coupled system will be best resolved by leveraging ongoing international and multidisciplinary programs, such as efforts led by SOLAS, to link research across the ocean-sea ice-atmosphere interface.
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