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- Bergendahl, Per-Anders, 1947, et al.
(författare)
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The Future Energy System - A Problem of Planning under Uncertainty
- 1985
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Ingår i: In: Kydes AS, Gereghty DM, editors. Energy markets in the longer-term: planning under uncertainty—proceedings of the IMACS second international symposium. Amsterdam: North-Holland; 1985. p. 253–60..
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Assumptions about future conditions (e.g. fuel prices) are more or less uncertain. Since energy investment projects most often are characterised by high costs and a planned long term utilisation, missallocation of resources may be very expensive. Using the MARKAL model, a number of stylized examples are provided in order to illustrate the economic consequences of misjudgment. Furthermore, possible guidelines for decision-making under uncertainty are illustrated. Finally the boundaries of this analytical approach are highlighted.
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