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Numrering	Referens	Omslagsbild	Hitta
1.	Beckman, Stig-Inge, et al. (författare) Alarm characteristics for a flood warning system with deterministic components 1990 Ingår i: Journal of Time Series Analysis. - : Wiley. - 0143-9782 .- 1467-9892. ; 11:1, s. 1-18 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract A method for evaluating a predictor-based alarm system is studied in this paper. The predictor is composed of a deterministic component reflecting external information and a statistically based component for the error between the measurements and the external predictor. The aim of the predictor study is twofold: it is a means of interpreting the connections between the alarm and the catastrophe, and it can be used to select suitable alarm levels. As an application, the performance of a water-level predictor as part of a flood warning system has been evaluated. The result of this analysis shows that an alarm system which operates when the predictor reaches a certain level will tend to give either too many alarms or alarms that are out of phase with the catastrophe.''

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