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Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents

Abram, Nerilie J. (author)
Australian National University
McGregor, Helen V. (author)
University of Wollongong
Tierney, Jessica E. (author)
University of Arizona,Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
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Evans, Michael N. (author)
University of Maryland
McKay, Nicholas P. (author)
Northern Arizona University
Kaufman, Darrell S. (author)
Northern Arizona University
Thirumalai, Kaustubh (author)
University of Texas
Martrat, Belen (author)
University of Cambridge,CSIC Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research (IDAEA)
Goosse, Hugues (author)
Catholic University of Louvain
Phipps, Steven J. (author)
University of Tasmania,University of New South Wales
Steig, Eric J. (author)
University of Washington,University of Edinburgh
Kilbourne, K. Halimeda (author)
University of Maryland
Saenger, Casey P. (author)
University of Washington
Zinke, Jens (author)
Australian Institute of Marine Science,Curtin University,Free University of Berlin
Leduc, Guillaume (author)
Aix-Marseille University
Addison, Jason A. (author)
United States Geological Survey, Reston
Mortyn, P. Graham (author)
Autonomous University of Barcelona
Seidenkrantz, Marit Solveig (author)
Aarhus University
Sicre, Marie Alexandrine (author)
Paris-Sorbonne University
Selvaraj, Kandasamy (author)
Xiamen University
Filipsson, Helena L. (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kvartärgeologi,Geologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Quaternary Sciences,Department of Geology,Faculty of Science
Neukom, Raphael (author)
University of Bern
Gergis, Joelle (author)
University of Melbourne
Curran, Mark A J (author)
Australian Antarctic Division and Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre
Von Gunten, Lucien (author)
PAGES (Past Global Changes)
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2016-08-24
2016
English 8 s.
In: Nature. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0028-0836 .- 1476-4687. ; 536:7617, s. 411-418
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • The evolution of industrial-era warming across the continents and oceans provides a context for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the processes that control regional warming. Here we use post-ad 1500 palaeoclimate records to show that sustained industrial-era warming of the tropical oceans first developed during the mid-nineteenth century and was nearly synchronous with Northern Hemisphere continental warming. The early onset of sustained, significant warming in palaeoclimate records and model simulations suggests that greenhouse forcing of industrial-era warming commenced as early as the mid-nineteenth century and included an enhanced equatorial ocean response mechanism. The development of Southern Hemisphere warming is delayed in reconstructions, but this apparent delay is not reproduced in climate simulations. Our findings imply that instrumental records are too short to comprehensively assess anthropogenic climate change and that, in some regions, about 180 years of industrial-era warming has already caused surface temperatures to emerge above pre-industrial values, even when taking natural variability into account.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)

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