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- KC, Ashish, 1982-, et al.
(författare)
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Changes in preterm birth and stillbirth during COVID-19 lockdowns in 26 countries.
- 2023
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Ingår i: Nature human behaviour. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2397-3374. ; 7:4, s. 529-544
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of infant mortality worldwide. Changes in PTB rates, ranging from -90% to +30%, were reported in many countries following early COVID-19 pandemic response measures ('lockdowns'). It is unclear whether this variation reflects real differences in lockdown impacts, or perhaps differences in stillbirth rates and/or study designs. Here we present interrupted time series and meta-analyses using harmonized data from 52 million births in 26 countries, 18 of which had representative population-based data, with overall PTB rates ranging from 6% to 12% and stillbirth ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 per 1,000 births. We show small reductions in PTB in the first (odds ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.95-0.98, P value <0.0001), second (0.96, 0.92-0.99, 0.03) and third (0.97, 0.94-1.00, 0.09) months of lockdown, but not in the fourth month of lockdown (0.99, 0.96-1.01, 0.34), although there were some between-country differences after the first month. For high-income countries in this study, we did not observe an association between lockdown and stillbirths in the second (1.00, 0.88-1.14, 0.98), third (0.99, 0.88-1.12, 0.89) and fourth (1.01, 0.87-1.18, 0.86) months of lockdown, although we have imprecise estimates due to stillbirths being a relatively rare event. We did, however, find evidence of increased risk of stillbirth in the first month of lockdown in high-income countries (1.14, 1.02-1.29, 0.02) and, in Brazil, we found evidence for an association between lockdown and stillbirth in the second (1.09, 1.03-1.15, 0.002), third (1.10, 1.03-1.17, 0.003) and fourth (1.12, 1.05-1.19, <0.001) months of lockdown. With an estimated 14.8 million PTB annually worldwide, the modest reductions observed during early pandemic lockdowns translate into large numbers of PTB averted globally and warrant further research into causal pathways.
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| 2. |
- Nguyen, Long H., et al.
(författare)
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Antibiotic use and the development of inflammatory bowel disease : a national case-control study in Sweden
- 2020
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Ingår i: The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. - : Elsevier. - 2468-1253. ; 5:11, s. 986-995
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Use of antibiotics in early life has been linked with childhood inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but data for adults are mixed, and based on smaller investigations that did not compare risk among siblings with shared genetic or environmental risk factors. We aimed to investigate the association between antibiotic therapy and IBD in a large, population-based study.Methods: In this prospective case-control study, we identified people living in Sweden aged 16 years or older, with a diagnosis of IBD based on histology and at least one diagnosis code for IBD or its subtypes (ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease). We identified consecutive patients with incident IBD from the ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) study, cross-referenced with the Swedish Patient Register and the Prescribed Drug Register. We accrued data for cumulative antibiotic dispensations until 1 year before time of matching for patients and up to five general population controls per patient (matched on the basis of age, sex, county, and calendar year). We also included unaffected full siblings as a secondary control group. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% CIs for diagnosis of incident IBD.Findings: We identified 23 982 new patients with IBD (15 951 ulcerative colitis, 7898 Crohn's disease, 133 unclassified IBD) diagnosed between Jan 1, 2007, and Dec 31, 2016. 117 827 matched controls and 28 732 siblings were also identified. After adjusting for several risk factors, aOR in patients who had used antibiotics versus those who had never used antibiotics was 1.88 (95% CI 1.79-1.98) for diagnosis of incident IBD, 1.74 (1.64-1.85) for ulcerative colitis, and 2.27 (2.06-2.49) for Crohn's disease. aOR was higher in patients who had received one antibiotic dispensation (1.11, 1.07-1.15), two antibiotic dispensations (1.38, 1.32-1.44), and three or more antibiotic dispensations (1.55, 1.49-1.61) than patients who had none. Increased risk was noted for ulcerative colitis (aOR with three or more antibiotic dispensations 1.47, 95% CI 1.40-1.54) and Crohn's disease (1.64, 1.53-1.76) with higher estimates corresponding to broad-spectrum antibiotics. Similar but attenuated results were observed when siblings were used as the reference group, with an aOR of 1.35 (95% CI 1.28-1.43) for patients who had received three or more dispensations, compared with general population controls.Interpretation: Higher cumulative exposure to systemic antibiotic therapy, particularly treatments with greater spectrum of microbial coverage, may be associated with a greater risk of new-onset IBD and its subtypes. The association between antimicrobial treatment and IBD did not appear to differ when predisposed siblings were used as the reference controls. Our findings, if substantiated by longer-term prospective studies in humans or mechanistic preclinical investigations, suggest the need to further emphasise antibiotic stewardship to prevent the rise in dysbiosis-related chronic diseases, including IBD.
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| 3. |
- Örtqvist, Anne K, et al.
(författare)
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Association between travel time to delivery unit and unplanned out-of-hospital birth, infant morbidity and mortality : a population-based cohort study.
- 2021
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Ingår i: Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 0001-6349 .- 1600-0412. ; 100:8, s. 1478-1489
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- INTRODUCTION: Over the last decade, a number of delivery units have been closed in Sweden, justified by both economic incentives and patient safety issues. However, concentrating births to larger delivery units naturally increases travel time for some parturient women, which may lead to unintended negative consequences. We aimed to investigate the association between travel time to delivery unit and unplanned out-of-hospital birth, and subsequent infant morbidity and mortality.MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a population-based cohort study including 365 604 women in the Swedish Pregnancy Register, giving birth between 2014-2017. Modified Poisson regression was used to investigate the association between travel time from home address to actual delivery unit, based on geographical information system analysis, and risk of an unplanned out-of-hospital birth. Analyses were stratified by parity and urban/rural residence. Lastly, the associations between an unplanned out-of-hospital birth and severe infant morbidity, stillbirth, peripartum, perinatal and neonatal mortality were investigated.RESULTS: Of those with an unplanned out-of-hospital birth (n=2159), 65% had a travel time up to 30 minutes. A travel time between 31-60 minutes was associated with a doubled risk of unplanned out-of-hospital birth (adjusted Risk Ratio (RR) 1.96, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.74-2.22) and women with a travel time of more than 1 hour had an adjusted RR of 3.19 (95% CI 2.64-3.86), compared to those with a travel time of less than 30 minutes. No difference in results was seen when stratified for parity and urban/rural residence. No association was found between unplanned out-of-hospital birth and severe infant morbidity. Significant associations were found in crude analyses for stillbirth (RR 1.85, 95% CI 1.09-3.13), peripartum (RR 1.93, 95% CI 1.18-3.16), perinatal (RR 2.03, 95% CI 1.28-3.23) and neonatal mortality (RR 3.08, 95% CI 1.27-7.46), although neonatal mortality was very rare (2.3 per 1000 out-of-hospital births). Similar effect estimates were found in the adjusted analyses, though no longer significant.CONCLUSIONS: While the majority of unplanned out-of-hospital births occurred in the group of women with a travel time of 0-30 minutes, increasing travel time to a delivery unit is associated with unplanned out-of-hospital birth, which may increase the risk of mortality.
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