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Träfflista för sökning "WFRF:(Greenhalgh E. S.) srt2:(2015-2019)"

Sökning: WFRF:(Greenhalgh E. S.) > (2015-2019)

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  • Amaku, M, et al. (författare)
  • Magnitude and frequency variations of vector-borne infection outbreaks using the Ross-Macdonald model : explaining and predicting outbreaks of dengue fever
  • 2016
  • Ingår i: Epidemiology and Infection. - 0950-2688 .- 1469-4409. ; 144:16, s. 3435-3450
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The classical Ross-Macdonald model is often utilized to model vector-borne infections; however, this model fails on several fronts. First, using measured (or estimated) parameters, which values are accepted from the literature, the model predicts a much greater number of cases than what is usually observed. Second, the model predicts a single large outbreak that is followed by decades of much smaller outbreaks, which is not consistent with what is observed. Usually towns or cities report a number of recurrences for many years, even when environmental changes cannot explain the disappearance of the infection between the peaks. In this paper, we continue to examine the pitfalls in modelling this class of infections, and explain that, if properly used, the Ross-Macdonald model works and can be used to understand the patterns of epidemics and even, to some extent, be used to make predictions. We model several outbreaks of dengue fever and show that the variable pattern of yearly recurrence (or its absence) can be understood and explained by a simple Ross-Macdonald model modified to take into account human movement across a range of neighbourhoods within a city. In addition, we analyse the effect of seasonal variations in the parameters that determine the number, longevity and biting behaviour of mosquitoes. Based on the size of the first outbreak, we show that it is possible to estimate the proportion of the remaining susceptible individuals and to predict the likelihood and magnitude of the eventual subsequent outbreaks. This approach is described based on actual dengue outbreaks with different recurrence patterns from some Brazilian regions.
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  • Canturri, Carla, et al. (författare)
  • Fractographic study to characterise the interaction between intralaminar and interlaminar fracture from embedded defects under compression loading
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Composites Part A: Applied Science and Manufacturing. - : Elsevier BV. - 1359-835X. ; 125:October
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • This paper describes the fractographic observations from the study of embedded defects subject to compression. The fractographic observations aim to characterise the interaction between intralaminar and interlaminar fractures and to understand their role in the delamination growth and the delamination migration. The influence of the stacking sequence orientation on the damage modes is studied in eight different configurations. A detailed fractographic study led to the identification of the different failure modes and failure sequence. It was also possible to establish the stacking sequences more prone to delamination migration and the failure modes more critical for damage tolerance.
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