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- Islam, Md. Rafikul, et al.
(författare)
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Integrated Assessment of Climate Change and Forest Management Impacts on Carbon Fluxes and Biomass in a Southern Boreal Forest
- 2024
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Konferensbidrag (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Boreal forests play a crucial role in global carbon sequestration and storage, yet their vulnerability to climate change remains a significant concern. We present results from simulations with the process-based dynamic global vegetation model LPJ-GUESS of the combined effects of climate change and forest management on the carbon sink capacity of a boreal forest in southern Sweden. We compared two future climate change scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) along with four forest management options against a baseline scenario without management interventions. Our findings indicate that projected temperature increases (+2 to +4°C) in the late 21st century will diminish the net carbon sink strength, particularly in old-growth forests. Clear-cut and subsequent reforestation resulted in a substantial decline (57-67%) in vegetation carbon during 2022-2100. The carbon compensation point (CCP) was reached 12-16 years after the clear-cut, indicating a period of carbon debt before the ecosystems resumed acting as a net carbon sink. Specific reforestation strategies, such as pine plantations, enhanced the overall net carbon sink by 7-20% relative to the baseline during 2022-2100. The carbon parity point, without considering harvested carbon, was reached 56-73 years after the clear-cut, highlighting the extended period required for the reforestation to achieve a carbon stock equivalent to the uncut baseline. These findings highlight the substantial influence of forest management on the net carbon budget, surpassing that of climate change alone. The adoption of relevant reforestation strategies could enhance carbon uptake, simultaneously improving forest productivity and ensuring the forest's vital role in carbon sequestration and storage amid a changing climate.
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- Islam, Md Rafikul, et al.
(författare)
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Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest
- 2024
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Ingår i: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. - 0168-1923. ; 349
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Boreal forests are key to global carbon (C) sequestration and storage. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these forests could be profound. Nearly 70 % of the European boreal forests are intensively managed, but our understanding of the combined effects of forest management and climate change on the forest's integral role as a C sink is still limited. In this study, we aim to fill this gap with simulations of the process-based dynamic global vegetation model LPJ-GUESS. We evaluated the effects of four forest management options under two different climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), at a southern boreal forest stand in Sweden. These options were compared against a baseline without clear-cut or management interventions. We found that the projected increase in temperatures (+2 to +4 °C) during the latter part of the 21st century will reduce the net C sink strength, particularly in the unmanaged forest. The standing biomass C for reforestations was projected to be 57–67 % lower in 2100 than in the old forest in 2022. The study also revealed that the C sequestration potential of replanted pine forests may surpass that of 200-years old forests in the far future (2076–2100). The study did not detect statistically significant differences in overall net C exchange between the clear-cut with subsequent reforestation options and the baseline, even though specific reforestation strategies, such as pine plantations, enhanced the overall net C sink by 7–20 % relative to the baseline during 2022–2100. These findings underscore the profound influence of forest management on the net C budget, surpassing that of climate change scenarios alone. By adopting pertinent reforestation strategies, C uptake could be augmented, with concurrently improved forest productivity, resulting in favourable outcomes for the forest's critical role in C sequestration and storage amidst a changing climate.
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- Kelly, Julia, et al.
(författare)
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Wildfire impacts on the carbon budget of a managed Nordic boreal forest
- 2024
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Ingår i: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. - 0168-1923. ; 351
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Wildfire is one of the most important disturbances affecting boreal forests. Most previous research on boreal forest fires has occurred in North American forests which have different fire regimes, tree species and are less intensively managed than their Eurasian counterparts. Recent extreme fire years have highlighted the vulnerability of the Nordic boreal forest to climatic shifts that are increasing forest fire frequency and severity. The Ljusdal fire (2018) was one of the largest wildfires in recorded history in Sweden. We established eddy covariance flux towers to track the impacts of this fire on the carbon balance of two Pinus sylvestris sites subject to different fire severities and forest management strategies 1–4 years post-fire. The ‘SLM’ site was a mature stand that experienced low-severity fire (trees survived) followed by salvage-logging and reseeding, whilst the ‘HY’ site was 10 years old when it experienced high-severity fire (all trees killed) then was replanted with seedlings. During the study period, both sites were net carbon sources at the annual scale. It took up to 4 years after the fire until the first day of net CO2 uptake was recorded at each site. We estimated that it will take 13 years (8, 21; mean ± 95 % confidence intervals) after the fire until the sites reach a neutral annual carbon balance. It will take up to 32 years (19, 53) at HY and 46 years (31, 70) at SLM to offset the carbon lost during and after the fire and salvage-logging. In addition, our measurements showed that more carbon was emitted in the first 4 years after the fire compared to the carbon lost from combustion during the fire. Quantifying carbon fluxes during the initial years after fire is therefore crucial for estimating the net impact of wildfire on the carbon budget of boreal forests.
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