| 1. |
- Bernard, Jérémy, 1989, et al.
(författare)
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URock 2023a: an open-source GIS-based wind model for complex urban settings
- 2023
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Ingår i: Geoscientific Model Development. - 1991-959X .- 1991-9603. ; 16:20, s. 5703-5727
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- URock 2023a is an open-source diagnostic model dedicated to wind field calculation in urban settings. It is based on a quick method initially proposed by and already implemented in the proprietary software QUIC-URB. First, the model method is described as well as its implementation in the free and open-source geographic information system called QGIS. Then it is evaluated against wind tunnel measurements and QUIC-URB simulations for four different building layouts plus one case with an isolated tree. The correlation between URock and QUIC-URB is high, and URock reproduces the spatial variation of the wind speed observed in the wind tunnel experiments quite well, even in complex settings. However, sources of improvements, which are applicable for both URock and QUIC-URB, are highlighted. URock and QUIC-URB overestimate the wind speed downstream of the upwind edges of wide buildings and also downstream of isolated tree crowns. URock 2023a is available via the Urban Multiscale Environment Predictor (UMEP), a city-based climate service tool designed for researchers and service providers presented as a plug-in for QGIS. The model, data, and scripts used to write this paper can be freely accessed at 10.5281/zenodo.7681245 .
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| 2. |
- Bäcklin, Oskar, 1991, et al.
(författare)
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Outdoor heat stress at preschools during an extreme summer in Gothenburg, Sweden - Preschool teachers’ experiences contextualized by radiation modelling
- 2021
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Ingår i: Sustainable Cities and Society. - : Elsevier BV. - 2210-6707. ; 75
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Using a mixed-method approach consisting of interviews with preschool teachers and modelling of the outdoor thermal conditions using the mean radiant temperature as an indicator of heat stress, the occurrence of heat stress in Gothenburg preschools during the summer of 2018 and its effects have been studied. One third of 440 preschool yards modelled have more than 50% of the preschool yard-area exposed to strong heat stress during a warm and sunny summer day, implying children in many preschools have considerably less play area than current guidelines deem sufficient. Shade, where present, was mostly from trees within the preschool yards themselves rather from objects in surrounding areas, provided effective heat mitigation. Interviews confirmed that excessive heat conditions at preschool yards resulted in tired, drowsy and overheated children as well as forcing the preschool to prioritise care over pedagogical activities. The results demonstrated that heat stress occurs at Gothenburg preschools, with difficulties in ensuring the well-being of children at many preschools as a consequence. Many preschools need more shade, preferably from trees to provide healthy and secure environments for preschool children. Finally, the study highlights the need for more research on how weather and outdoor environments affect children's activity and well-being.
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| 3. |
- Bäcklin, Oskar, 1991, et al.
(författare)
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Outdoor heat stress at preschools during an extreme summer in Gothenburg, Sweden - Preschool teachers’ experiences contextualized by radiation modelling
- 2022
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Ingår i: Multiple Nordic Geographies 9th Nordic Geographers Meeting 19th - 22nd of June 2022 Joensuu, Finland.
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Konferensbidrag (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- With increasing urbanisation and climate change, heat stress issues are becoming increasingly important to consider in order to create sustainable urban environments worldwide. Heat affects all groups in society, although small children are especially vulnerable due to physiological factors as well as limitations in their everyday mobility. Therefore, it is crucial to ensure that outdoor areas used by children, such as preschools provide healthy safe thermal conditions. Trees are proven effective heat mitigating objects, as well as highly appreciated features of preschool yards for their aesthetic and pedagogical aspects. However, there is a large variation in the amount of trees at preschool yards which can prove to be problematic regarding thermal comfort and well-being for both children and preschool teachers today and in the future. Using a mixed-method approach consisting of 19 interviews with preschool teachers, and modelling outdoor thermal conditions on 440 preschool yards, the occurrence of heat stress in Gothenburg preschools during the heat wave of 2018 and its effects on preschools has been studied. One third of modelled preschool yards were found to have more than 50% of the preschool yard area exposed to strong heat stress during a warm and sunny summer days, implying children in many preschools have significantly less play area than current guidelines deem sufficient. Shading, which was found mainly provided by trees within preschool yards rather than from objects in surrounding areas, provide effective heat mitigation. Shading devices such as shade-sails were found prone to breakage and not providing sufficient shading. Thus, shading devices are not suggested as a long-term solution for heat mitigation at preschool yards. Interviews confirmed that excessive heat conditions at preschool yards cause tired, drowsy and overheated children as well as forcing the preschool to prioritise care over pedagogical activities. The results demonstrated that heat stress is a problem at many Gothenburg preschools, with difficulties in ensuring the well-being of children at many preschools as a consequence. The strong correlation found between amount of trees at preschool yards and less heat stress highlight the importance of trees for heat mitigation.
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| 4. |
- Khorram-Manesh, Amir, 1958, et al.
(författare)
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Profiling Collapsing Half Marathon Runners-Emerging Risk Factors : Results from Gothenburg Half Marathon
- 2020
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Ingår i: Sports. - : MDPI. - 2075-4663. ; 8:1, s. 1-11
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Among several serious medical conditions, arrhythmia and heat stroke are two important causes of death during endurance races. Clinically, collapsing might be the first sign of these serious conditions and may mimic the more common and benign exercise-associated collapse. Several risk factors have been reported in the literature. We aimed to conduct a qualitative study to find a perceived risk profile among runners who collapsed and who were transported by ambulances to the nearest hospital during Gothenburg's half marathon (2010-2017). Collapsing runners seem to lack the ability to make a decision to withdraw from the contest despite being exhausted. They feel the pain, but are unable to put meaning to their feeling, to adjust their pacing, and to handle other influences. Consequently, they do not overcome the problem or assess the situation. These individual mental characteristics may indicate a unique profile for collapsing runners. Pre-race health control and educational initiatives aiming at mental preparedness and information before endurance races might be a necessary step to avoid life-threatening complications.
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| 5. |
- Konarska, Janina, 1986, et al.
(författare)
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Applications of dual-wavelength hemispherical photography in urban climatology and urban forestry
- 2021
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Ingår i: Urban Forestry & Urban Greening. - : Elsevier BV. - 1618-8667 .- 1610-8167. ; 58
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Digital hemispherical photography (DHP) is widely used to measure the radiative environment and estimate sky view factors (SVF) in urban areas and leaf area index (LAI) in forests. However, a limitation is the difficulty to distinguish trees from buildings, or leaves from stems and branches. In this study, we collected and processed dual-wavelength photographs recording visible and near-infrared (NIR) light in order to classify pixels into sky, green and woody plant elements, and buildings. Three applications of the method are presented: calculation of partial SVFs accounting for the obstruction of sky by buildings and vegetation separately, the modelling of mean radiant temperature (Tmrt), and the correction of LAI estimates for light intercepted by woody elements and buildings. The obtained partial SVFs were in good agreement with values modelled based on digital surface models. Distinguishing between buildings and vegetation in the modelling of long-wave radiation fluxes in the SOLWEIG model resulted in differences in modelled Tmrt by up to 3 °C. The bias of LAI estimates in urban parks caused by the light interception by woody elements and buildings was found to be relatively small (3–4 %). However, the presented method shows a high potential for estimates of LAI of urban vegetation in densely built-up areas.
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| 6. |
- Lindberg, Fredrik, 1974, et al.
(författare)
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Observations and modelling of mosquito prevalence within urban areas – A case study from Uppsala, Sweden
- 2024
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Ingår i: Urban Ecosystems. - 1083-8155 .- 1573-1642.
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Urban green–blue infrastructure (GBI) can provide important benefits to urban residents but may also affect mosquito abundance, with associated negative nuisance and infection transmission impacts. This study addresses important knowledge and quantification gaps for the relationships between mosquito prevalence and GBI features within cities. This is done for the city of Uppsala in Sweden as an urban case example, where mosquitos were captured and ambient air temperature and humidity were observed at seven different locations in the summer of 2022. A weighted multi-critera analysis (WMCA) model was developed based on relevant open data and open tools for resolving the mosquito (Culex pipiens) variations based on geographical variables, such as land cover/use, leaf area index, and building and green (vegetation) area fractions, within the city. The results show a clear relationship between mosquito prevalence and green-area fraction (of grass and trees), indicating that urban GBI extension can enhance mosquito prevalence, with possible associated negative impacts. This relationship is supported directly by data, showing significantly higher mosquito prevalence with higher ambient humidity, which in turn is related to larger green-area fraction. The developed WMCA model emerges as a promising tool, e.g., for urban development planning that needs to account for and seek relevant trade-off balances between positive and negative effects of urban GBI changes.
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| 7. |
- Lindberg, Fredrik, 1974, et al.
(författare)
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Urban storage heat flux variability explored using satellite, meteorological and geodata
- 2020
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Ingår i: Theoretical and Applied Climatology. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0177-798X .- 1434-4483. ; 141, s. 271-184
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The storage heat flux (Delta Q(S)) is the net flow of heat stored within a volume that may include the air, trees, buildings and ground. Given the difficulty of measurement of this important and large flux in urban areas, we explore the use of Earth Observation (EO) data. EO surface temperatures are used with ground-based meteorological forcing, urban morphology, land cover and land use information to estimate spatial variations of Delta Q(S) in urban areas using the Element Surface Temperature Method (ESTM). First, we evaluate ESTM for four "simpler" surfaces. These have good agreement with observed values. ESTM coupled to SUEWS (an urban land surface model) is applied to three European cities (Basel, Heraklion, London), allowing EO data to enhance the exploration of the spatial variability in Delta Q(S). The impervious surfaces (paved and buildings) contribute most to Delta Q(S). Building wall area seems to explain variation of Delta Q(S) most consistently. As the paved fraction increases up to 0.4, there is a clear increase in Delta Q(S). With a larger paved fraction, the fraction of buildings and wall area is lower which reduces the high values of Delta Q(S).
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| 8. |
- Olvmo, Mats, 1956, et al.
(författare)
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Sub-arctic palsa degradation and the role of climatic drivers in the largest coherent palsa mire complex in Sweden (Vissatvuopmi), 1955-2016
- 2020
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Ingår i: Scientific Reports. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2045-2322. ; 10:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Substantial palsa degradation has occurred in Fennoscandia, which is considered to be driven by global climate change. Deeper understanding of the role of different climatic drivers on palsa decay, however, is lacking. We use meteorological data and aerial photographs from 1955 to 2016 to statistically identify the most important climatic drivers affecting changes in lateral-temporal palsa decay rates in the largest coherent palsa complex in Sweden, Vissatvuopmi. We show that wetter, warmer and shorter winters are the main causes of large and rapid changes in lateral-palsa extent since the mid-1950s. By analyzing meteorological data from the 1880s to present, we show that average annual temperature conditions have been unfavourable for palsas for more than a century and average annual precipitation conditions have been unfavourable since the 1940s. The decay rates have likely been amplified over the past 50-60 years, and in particular over the most recent decades, due to the combined effect of adverse air temperature and precipitation conditions. Palsa loss is expected to continue, most likely at a higher rate than today, with serious ecological impacts as a consequence.
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| 9. |
- Piehl, F., et al.
(författare)
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Efficacy and Safety of Rituximab for New-Onset Generalized Myasthenia Gravis The RINOMAX Randomized Clinical Trial
- 2022
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Ingår i: Jama Neurology. - : American Medical Association (AMA). - 2168-6149 .- 2168-6157.
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- IMPORTANCE Rituximab is a third-line option for refractory generalized myasthenia gravis (MG) based on empirical evidence, but its effect in new-onset disease is unknown. OBJECTIVE To investigate the efficacy and safety of rituximab compared with placebo as an add-on to standard of care for MG. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study took place throughout 48 weeks at 7 regional clinics in Sweden. Key inclusion criteria were age older than 18 years, onset of generalized symptoms within 12 months or less, and a Quantitative Myasthenia Gravis (QMG) score of 6 or more. Patients were screened from October 20, 2016, to March 2, 2020. Key exclusion criteria included pure ocular MG, suspected thymoma, previous thymectomy, and prior noncorticosteroid immunosuppressants or high doses of corticosteroids. INTERVENTIONS Participants were randomized 1:1 without stratification to a single intravenous infusion of 500 mg of rituximab or matching placebo. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Minimal disease manifestations at 16 weeks defined as a QMG score of 4 or less with prednisolone, 10 mg or less daily, and no rescue treatment. RESULTS Of 87 potentially eligible patients, 25 were randomized to rituximab (mean [SD] age, 67.4 [13.4] years; 7 [28%] female) and 22 to placebo (mean [SD] age, 58 [18.6] years; 7 [32%] female). Compared with placebo, a greater proportion with rituximab met the primary end point; 71% (17 of 24) in the rituximab group vs 29% (6 of 21) in the placebo group (Fisher exact test P = .007; probability ratio, 2.48 [95% CI, 1.20-5.11]). Secondary end points, comparing changes in Myasthenia Gravis Activities of Daily Living and Myasthenia Gravis Quality of Life at 16 weeks with QMG at 24 weeks did not differ between groups with censoring for rescue treatment (per-protocol analysis) but were in favor of active treatment when rescue treatment was taken into account by worst rank imputation (post hoc analysis). Rescue treatments were also more frequent in the placebo arm (rituximab: 1 [4%]; placebo, 8 [36%]). One patient in the placebo arm had a myocardial infarction with cardiac arrest and 1 patient in the active arm experienced a fatal cardiac event. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE A single dose of 500 mg of rituximab was associated with greater probability of minimal MG manifestations and reduced need of rescue medications compared with placebo. Further studies are needed to address long-term benefit-risk balance with this treatment.
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| 10. |
- Thorsson, Sofia, 1972, et al.
(författare)
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Is Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) a superior screening tool for heat stress risk than Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) index? : Eight years of data from the Gothenburg half marathon
- 2021
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Ingår i: British Journal of Sports Medicine. - : BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. - 0306-3674 .- 1473-0480. ; 55:15, s. 825-830
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: The Wet-Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) index is a common tool to screen for heat stress for sporting events. However, the index has a number of limitations. Rational indices, such as the physiological equivalent temperature (PET) and Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), are potential alternatives. Aim: To identify the thermal index that best predicts ambulance-required assistances and collapses during a city half marathon. Methods: Eight years (2010-2017) of meteorological and ambulance transport data, including medical records, from Gothenburg's half-marathon were used to analyse associations between WBGT, PET and UTCI and the rates of ambulance-required assistances and collapses. All associations were evaluated by Monte-Carlo simulations and leave-one-out-cross-validation. Results: The PET index showed the strongest correlation with both the rate of ambulance-required assistances (R2=0.72, p=0.008) and collapses (R2=0.71, p=0.008), followed by the UTCI (R2=0.64, p=0.017; R2=0.64, p=0.017) whereas the WBGT index showed substantially poorer correlations (R2=0.56, p=0.031; R2=0.56, p=0.033). PET stages of stress, match the rates of collapses better that the WBGT flag colour warning. Compared with the PET, the WBGT underestimates heat stress, especially at high radiant heat load. The rate of collapses increases with increasing heat stress; large increase from the day before the race seems to have an impact of the rate of collapses. Conclusion: We contend that the PET is a better predictor of collapses during a half marathon than the WBGT. We call for further investigation of PET as a screening tool alongside WBGT.
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