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- Lundmark, Sebastian, 1986, et al.
(författare)
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The need for public opinion and survey methodology research to embrace preregistration and replication, exemplified by a team's failure to replicate their own findings on visual cues in grid-type questions
- 2023
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Ingår i: International journal of public opinion research. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0954-2892 .- 1471-6909. ; 35:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Survey researchers take great care to measure respondents' answers in an unbiased way; but, how successful are we as a field at remedying unintended and intended biases in our research? The validity of inferences drawn from studies has been found to be improved by the implementation of preregistration practices. Despite this, only 3 of the 83 published articles in POQ and IJPOR in 2020 feature explicitly stated preregistered hypotheses or analyses. This manuscript aims to show survey methodologists how preregistration and replication (where possible) are in service to the broader mission of survey methodology. To that end, we present a practical example of how unknown biases in analysis strategies without preregistration or replication inflate type I errors. In an initial data collection, our analysis showed that the visual layout of battery-type questions significantly decreased data quality. But after committing to replicating and preregistering the hypotheses and analysis plans, none of the results replicated successfully, despite keeping the procedure, sample provider, and analyses identical. This manuscript illustrates how preregistration and replication practices might, in the long term, likely help unburden the academic literature from follow-up publications relying on type I errors.
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| 2. |
- Weissenbilder, Marcus, 1992, et al.
(författare)
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In i värmen? Vinnare- och förlorareffekter och förtroendet för Valmyndigheten
- 2023
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Ingår i: Statsvetenskaplig Tidsskrift. - 0039-0747. ; 125:4, s. 1065-1089
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In from the cold? Winner-loser effects and confidence in the Election Authority Research on winner-loser effects has demonstrated the consequences voting for a winning or losing party have on evaluations of democracy: Voting for the winners makes voters more positive toward democracy and the electoral process while vot-ing for the losers makes them more negative. However, in the literature, less atten-tion has been devoted to a possible winner-loser effect on confidence in the insti-tutions responsible for the conduct of elections. In the following study, we bridge this gap by exploring how confidence in Sweden’s Election Authority changed among voters of winning and losing parties. The analyses indicated that, despite the high institutional trust and system support in Sweden, voters lost confidence in the Election Authority if their party lost and gained confidence if their party won. This effect was strongest among voters of the Sweden Democrats. Overall, Sweden Democratic voters gained the most confidence after the 2022 election, probably attributable to the Sweden Democrats shedding their pariah status and invited to real government influence in 2022.
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| 3. |
- Weissenbilder, Marcus, 1992, et al.
(författare)
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Nu när opinionen omfamnar EU – är det dags för ett Europas förenta stater?
- 2023
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Ingår i: Ovisshetens tid. - Göteborg : Göteborgs universitet. - 9789189673540 ; , s. 203-216
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Bokkapitel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Under flera år har det synts ett ökande stöd för Sveriges medlemskap i Europeiska unionen. Inte minst under 2022. I samband med Rysslands invasion av Ukraina ökade stödet betydligt och en klar majoritet av svenskarna är nu för medlemskapet. I ljuset av att EU allt mer ämnar utöka sina befogenheter på områden såsom miljö, ekonomi, invandring och militär väcks frågan om svenskarna vill fördjupa sin relation med EU. Det korta svaret på den frågan är nej. Svenska folkets inställning till EU kan sammantaget sägas vara ljum. De är varma anhängare av unionen idag, men kyligt inställda till en fördjupning. Detsamma gäller inställningen till att låta unionen växa genom att ta in ytterligare medlemsländer. Ett undantag finns dock. I skuggan av kriget i Europas östligaste delar kan en majoritet av svenskarna, oavsett partipolitisk tillhörighet, tänka sig att släppa in Ukraina i den Europeiska unionens gemenskap.
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