| 1. |
- Blauhut, Veit, et al.
(författare)
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Lessons from the 2018-2019 European droughts : a collective need for unifying drought risk management
- 2022
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Ingår i: Natural hazards and earth system sciences. - : Copernicus Publications. - 1561-8633 .- 1684-9981. ; 22:6, s. 2201-2217
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Drought events and their impacts vary spatially and temporally due to diverse pedo-climatic and hydrologic conditions, as well as variations in exposure and vulnerability, such as demographics and response actions. While hazard severity and frequency of past drought events have been studied in detail, little is known about the effect of drought management strategies on the actual impacts and how the hazard is perceived by relevant stakeholders. In a continental study, we characterised and assessed the impacts and the perceptions of two recent drought events (2018 and 2019) in Europe and examined the relationship between management strategies and drought perception, hazard, and impact. The study was based on a pan-European survey involving national representatives from 28 countries and relevant stakeholders responding to a standard questionnaire. The survey focused on collecting information on stakeholders' perceptions of drought, impacts on water resources and beyond, water availability, and current drought management strategies on national and regional scales. The survey results were compared with the actual drought hazard information registered by the European Drought Observatory (EDO) for 2018 and 2019. The results highlighted high diversity in drought perception across different countries and in values of the implemented drought management strategies to alleviate impacts by increasing national and sub-national awareness and resilience. The study identifies an urgent need to further reduce drought impacts by constructing and implementing a European macro-level drought governance approach, such as a directive, which would strengthen national drought management and mitigate damage to human and natural assets.
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| 2. |
- Blauhut, Veit, et al.
(författare)
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Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: A collective need for unifying drought risk management
- 2021
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Ingår i: Natural hazards and earth system sciences. - : Copernicus Publications. - 1561-8633 .- 1684-9981.
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Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Drought events and their impacts vary spatially and temporally due to diverse pedo-climatic and hydrologic conditions, as well as variations in exposure and vulnerability, such as demographics and response actions. While hazardous severity and frequency of past drought events have been studied in detail, little is known about the effect of drought management strategies on the actual impacts, and how the hazard is perceived by relevant stakeholders for inducing action. In a continental study, we characterised and assessed the impacts and the perceptions of two recent drought events (2018 and 2019) in Europe and examined the relationship between management strategies and drought perception, hazard and impacts. The study was based on a pan-European survey involving national representatives from 28 countries and relevant stakeholders responding to a standard questionnaire. The survey focused on collecting information on stakeholders’ perceptions of drought, impacts on water resources and beyond, water availability and current drought management strategies at national and regional scales. The survey results were compared with the actual drought hazard information registered by the European Drought Observatory (EDO) for 2018 and 2019. The results highlighted high diversity in drought perceptions across different countries and in values of implemented drought management strategies to alleviate impacts by increasing national and sub-national awareness and resilience. The study concludes with an urgent need to further reduce drought impacts by constructing and implementing a European macro-level drought governance approach, such as a directive, which would strengthen national drought management and lessen harm to human and natural potentials.
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| 3. |
- Breznau, Nate, et al.
(författare)
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Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty
- 2022
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Ingår i: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. - : National Academy of Sciences. - 0027-8424 .- 1091-6490. ; 119:44
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This study explores how researchers analytical choices affect the reliability of scientific findings. Most discussions of reliability problems in science focus on systematic biases. We broaden the lens to emphasize the idiosyncrasy of conscious and unconscious decisions that researchers make during data analysis. We coordinated 161 researchers in 73 research teams and observed their research decisions as they used the same data to independently test the same prominent social science hypothesis: that greater immigration reduces support for social policies among the public. In this typical case of social science research, research teams reported both widely diverging numerical findings and substantive conclusions despite identical start conditions. Researchers expertise, prior beliefs, and expectations barely predict the wide variation in research outcomes. More than 95% of the total variance in numerical results remains unexplained even after qualitative coding of all identifiable decisions in each teams workflow. This reveals a universe of uncertainty that remains hidden when considering a single study in isolation. The idiosyncratic nature of how researchers results and conclusions varied is a previously underappreciated explanation for why many scientific hypotheses remain contested. These results call for greater epistemic humility and clarity in reporting scientific findings.
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| 4. |
- Heiskanen, Jouni, et al.
(författare)
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The Integrated Carbon Observation System in Europe
- 2022
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Ingår i: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. - 0003-0007. ; 103:3, s. 855-872
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Since 1750, land-use change and fossil fuel combustion has led to a 46% increase in the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, causing global warming with substantial societal consequences. The Paris Agreement aims to limit global temperature increases to well below 2C above preindustrial levels. Increasing levels of CO2 and other greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), in the atmosphere are the primary cause of climate change. Approximately half of the carbon emissions to the atmosphere are sequestered by ocean and land sinks, leading to ocean acidification but also slowing the rate of global warming. However, there are significant uncertainties in the future global warming scenarios due to uncertainties in the size, nature, and stability of these sinks. Quantifying and monitoring the size and timing of natural sinks and the impact of climate change on ecosystems are important information to guide policy-makers' decisions and strategies on reductions in emissions. Continuous, long-term observations are required to quantify GHG emissions, sinks, and their impacts on Earth systems. The Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS) was designed as the European in situ observation and information system to support science and society in their efforts to mitigate climate change. It provides standardized and open data currently from over 140 measurement stations across 12 European countries. The stations observe GHG concentrations in the atmosphere and carbon and GHG fluxes between the atmosphere, land surface, and the oceans. This article describes how ICOS fulfills its mission to harmonize these observations, ensure the related long-term financial commitments, provide easy access to well-documented and reproducible high-quality data and related protocols and tools for scientific studies, and deliver information and GHG-related products to stakeholders in society and policy.
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| 5. |
- Papale, Dario, et al.
(författare)
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Standards and Open Access are the ICOS Pillars Reply to "Comments on 'The Integrated Carbon Observation System in Europe'"
- 2023
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Ingår i: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. - 0003-0007. ; 104:12, s. 953-955
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In his comment (Kowalski 2023) on our recent publication (Heiskanen et al. 2022) where we present the Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS) research infrastructure, Andrew Kowalski introduces three important and, in our opinion, different potential issues in the definition, collection, and availability of field measurements made by the ICOS network, and he proposes possible solutions to these issues.
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| 6. |
- Wollenhaupt, Julia, et al.
(författare)
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Pro-oxidative priming but maintained cardiac function in a broad spectrum of murine models of chronic kidney disease
- 2022
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Ingår i: Redox Biology. - : Elsevier BV. - 2213-2317. ; 56
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aims: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have an increased risk of cardiovascular events and exhibit myocardial changes including left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and fibrosis, overall referred to as 'uremic cardiomyopathy'. Although different CKD animal models have been studied for cardiac effects, lack of consistent reporting on cardiac function and pathology complicates clear comparison of these models. Therefore, this study aimed at a systematic and comprehensive comparison of cardiac function and cardiac pathophysiological characteristics in eight different CKD models and mouse strains, with a main focus on adenine-induced CKD. Methods and results: CKD of different severity and duration was induced by subtotal nephrectomy or adenine-rich diet in various strains (C57BL/6J, C57BL/6 N, hyperlipidemic C57BL/6J ApoE(-/-), 129/Sv), followed by the analysis of kidney function and morphology, blood pressure, cardiac function, cardiac hypertrophy, fibrosis, myocardial calcification and inflammation using functional, histological and molecular techniques, including cardiac gene expression profiling supplemented by oxidative stress analysis. Intriguingly, despite uremia of variable degree, neither cardiac dysfunction, hypertrophy nor interstitial fibrosis were observed. However, already moderate CKD altered cardiac oxidative stress responses and enhanced oxidative stress markers in each mouse strain, with cardiac RNA sequencing revealing activation of oxidative stress signaling as well as anti-inflammatory feedback responses. Conclusion: This study considerably expands the knowledge on strain-and protocol-specific differences in the field of cardiorenal research and reveals that several weeks of at least moderate experimental CKD increase oxidative stress responses in the heart in a broad spectrum of mouse models. However, this was insufficient to induce relevant systolic or diastolic dysfunction, suggesting that additional "hits " are required to induce uremic cardiomyopathy. Translational perspective: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have an increased risk of cardiovascular adverse events and exhibit myocardial changes, overall referred to as 'uremic cardiomyopathy'. We revealed that CKD increases cardiac oxidative stress responses in the heart. Nonetheless, several weeks of at least moderate experimental CKD do not necessarily trigger cardiac dysfunction and remodeling, suggesting that additional "hits " are required to induce uremic cardiomyopathy in the clinical setting. Whether the altered cardiac oxidative stress balance in CKD may increase the risk and extent of cardiovascular damage upon additional cardiovascular risk factors and/or events will be addressed in future studies.
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