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Forecast reconcilia...
Forecast reconciliation : A review
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- Athanasopoulos, George (författare)
- Monash University, VIC 3145, Australia
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- Hyndman, Rob J. (författare)
- Monash University, VIC 3800, Australia
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- Kourentzes, Nikolaos (författare)
- Högskolan i Skövde,Institutionen för informationsteknologi,Forskningsmiljön Informationsteknologi,Skövde Artificial Intelligence Lab (SAIL)
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- Panagiotelis, Anastasios (författare)
- The University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier, 2024
- 2024
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: International Journal of Forecasting. - : Elsevier. - 0169-2070 .- 1872-8200. ; 40:2, s. 430-456
- Relaterad länk:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://his.diva-por... (primary) (Raw object)
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Collections of time series formed via aggregation are prevalent in many fields. These are commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally across different variables, temporally by aggregating a single series at different frequencies, or even generalised beyond aggregation as time series that respect linear constraints. When forecasting such time series, a desirable condition is for forecasts to be coherent: to respect the constraints. The past decades have seen substantial growth in this field with the development of reconciliation methods that ensure coherent forecasts and improve forecast accuracy. This paper serves as a comprehensive review of forecast reconciliation and an entry point for researchers and practitioners dealing with hierarchical time series. The scope of the article includes perspectives on forecast reconciliation from machine learning, Bayesian statistics and probabilistic forecasting, as well as applications in economics, energy, tourism, retail demand and demography.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Beräkningsmatematik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Computational Mathematics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Aggregation
- Coherence
- Cross-temporal
- Grouped time series
- Hierarchical time series
- Temporal aggregation
- Skövde Artificial Intelligence Lab (SAIL)
- Skövde Artificial Intelligence Lab (SAIL)
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- for (ämneskategori)
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