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The effect of time ...
The effect of time distribution shape on a complex epidemic model
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Camitz, Martin (författare)
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- Svensson, Åke, 1946- (författare)
- Stockholms universitet,Matematiska institutionen
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2009-05-28
- 2009
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0092-8240 .- 1522-9602. ; 71:8, s. 1902-1913
- Relaterad länk:
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- In elaborating a model of the progress of an epidemic, it is necessary to make assumptions about the distributions of latency times and infectious times. In many models, the often implicit assumption is that these times are independent and exponentially distributed. We explore the effects of altering the distribution of latency and infectious times in a complex epidemic model with regional divisions connected by a travel intensity matrix. We show a delay in spread with more realistic latency times. More realistic infectiousness times lead to faster epidemics. The effects are similar but accentuated when compared to a purely homogeneous mixing model.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Prevention and control
- Stochastic process
- Epidemiology
- Infectious time
- Latency time
- Epidemic model
- Mathematical statistics
- Matematisk statistik
- Mathematical Statistics
- matematisk statistik
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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