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Experience with a S...
Experience with a System Dynamics model in a prospective study on the future impact of ICT on environmental sustainability
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- Wäger, Patrick A. (author)
- Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology
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- Hilty, Lorenz M. (author)
- Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology
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- Arnfalk, Peter (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Internationella miljöinstitutet,Universitetets särskilda verksamheter,The International Institute for Industrial Environmental Economics,University Specialised Centres
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- Erdmann, Lorenz (author)
- Institute for Futures Studies and Technology Assessment
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- Goodman, James (author)
- Forum for the Future
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2006
- 2006
- English.
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In: Proceedings of the iEMSs 3rd Biennial Meeting,Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software. - 1424308526 - 9781424308521
- Related links:
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
Abstract
Subject headings
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- To assess the potential impact of ICT on environmental sustainability in the European Union within a time horizon until 2020, we developed a System Dynamics model. In our contribution we make a critical, retrospective evaluation of the model with regard to the requirements and expectations of the project commissioners and of experts involved in the modeling and simulation process. The issues addressed are problem adequacy, validity, transparency, communicability and receptivity of the model. We conclude that modeling approaches that better support a modular model design than System Dynamics does would lead to better results regarding these requirements, and that a modeling language based on a more domain-specific ontology than System Dynamics would be needed to create models that are communicable and have an adequate epistemic connectivity to the scientific and political discourse.
Subject headings
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Annan samhällsvetenskap -- Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Other Social Sciences -- Social Sciences Interdisciplinary (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Environmental modeling
- Information and communication technologies
- Prospective studies
- Socio-economic modeling
- Sustainable development
- System Dynamics
Publication and Content Type
- kon (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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