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- Manouchehrinia, A., et al.
(författare)
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A multiple sclerosis disease progression measure based on cumulative disability
- 2021
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Ingår i: Multiple Sclerosis Journal. - : SAGE Publications Ltd. - 1352-4585 .- 1477-0970. ; 27:12, s. 1875-1883
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Existing severity measurements in multiple sclerosis (MS) are often cross-sectional, making longitudinal comparisons of disease course between individuals difficult. Objective: The objective of this study is to create a severity metric that can reliably summarize a patient’s disease course. Methods: We developed the nARMSS – normalized ARMSS (age-related MS severity score) over follow-up, using the deviation of individual ARMSS scores from the expected value and integrated over the corresponding time period. The nARMSS scales from −5 to +5; a positive value indicates a more severe disease course for a patient when compared to other patients with similar disease timings. Results: Using Swedish MS registry data, the nARMSS was tested using data at 2 and 4 years of follow-up to predict the most severe quartile during the subsequent period up to 10 years total follow-up. The metric used was area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC). This resulted in measurements of 0.929 and 0.941. In an external Canadian validation cohort, the equivalent AUC-ROCs were 0.901 and 0.908. Conclusion: The nARMSS provides a reliable, generalizable and easily measurable metric which makes longitudinal comparison of disease course between individuals feasible.
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