| 1. |
- Zucchelli, Alberto, et al.
(författare)
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Using a genetic algorithm to derive a highly predictive and context-specific frailty index
- 2020
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Ingår i: Aging. - : Impact Journals, LLC. - 1945-4589. ; 12:8, s. 7561-7575
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The frailty index (FI) is one of the most widespread tools used to predict poor, health-related outcomes in older persons. The selection of clinical and functional deficits to include in a FI is mostly based on the users' clinical experience. However, this approach may not be sufficiently accurate to predict health outcomes in particular subgroups of individuals. In this study, we implemented an optimization algorithm, the genetic algorithm, to create a highly performant (FI) based on our prediction goals, rather than on a predetermined clinical selection of deficits, using data from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K) and 109 potential deficits identified in the dataset. The algorithm was personalized to obtain a FI with high discrimination ability in the prediction of mortality. The resulting FI included 40 deficits and showed areas under the curve consistently higher than 0.80 (range 0.81-0.90) in the prediction of 3-year and 6-year mortality in the whole sample and in sex and age subgroups. This methodology represents a promising opportunity to optimize the exploitation of medical and administrative databases in the construction of clinically relevant frailty indices.
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| 2. |
- Akugizibwe, Roselyne, et al.
(författare)
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Multimorbidity Patterns and Unplanned Hospitalisation in a Cohort of Older Adults
- 2020
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Ingår i: Journal of Clinical Medicine. - : MDPI AG. - 2077-0383. ; 9:12
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The presence of multiple chronic conditions (i.e., multimorbidity) increases the risk of hospitalisation in older adults. We aimed to examine the association between different multimorbidity patterns and unplanned hospitalisations over 5 years. To that end, 2,250 community-dwelling individuals aged 60 years and older from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K) were studied. Participants were grouped into six multimorbidity patterns using a fuzzy c-means cluster analysis. The associations between patterns and outcomes were tested using Cox models and negative binomial models. After 5 years, 937 (41.6%) participants experienced at least one unplanned hospitalisation. Compared to participants in the unspecific multimorbidity pattern, those in the cardiovascular diseases, anaemia and dementia pattern, the psychiatric disorders pattern and the metabolic and sleep disorders pattern presented with a higher hazard of first unplanned hospitalisation (hazard ratio range: 1.49-2.05; p < 0.05 for all), number of unplanned hospitalisations (incidence rate ratio (IRR) range: 1.89-2.44; p < 0.05 for all), in-hospital days (IRR range: 1.91-3.61; p < 0.05 for all), and 30-day unplanned readmissions (IRR range: 2.94-3.65; p < 0.05 for all). Different multimorbidity patterns displayed a differential association with unplanned hospital care utilisation. These findings call for a careful primary care follow-up of older adults with complex multimorbidity patterns.
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| 3. |
- Marengoni, Alessandra, et al.
(författare)
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Heart failure, frailty, and pre-frailty : A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies
- 2020
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Ingår i: International Journal of Cardiology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0167-5273 .- 1874-1754. ; 316, s. 161-171
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Frailty is a syndrome characterized by reduced physiological reserves, increased vulnerability to stressors and adverse health outcomes. Frailty can change the prognosis and treatment approach of several chronic diseases, including heart failure (HF). The aim of this study was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the association of HF with frailty and pre-frailty. We employed PRISMA guidelines for reporting the results. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase from 01/01/2002 to 29/11/2019.The quality of the studies was evaluated with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale. Pooled estimates were obtained through random-effect models and Mantel-Haenszel weighting. Homogeneity (I2) and publication bias were assessed. We selected 54 studies (52 cross-sectional, one longitudinal, and one with both designs). The pooled prevalence of pre-frailty in individuals with HF was 46% (95% CI = 38–53; I2 = 93.1%) and 40% (95% CI = 31–48; I2 = 97%) for frailty. The proportion of pre-frail individuals with HF was 20% (95%CI = 15–25; I2 = 99.2%) and the proportion of frail individuals with HF was 31% (95% CI = 17–45; I2 = 98.7%). Two studies using the same frailty definition reported estimates for the association between frailty and HF (pooled OR = 3.44; 95% CI = 0.75–15.73; I2 = 95.8%). In conclusion, frailty and pre-frailty are frequent in people with HF. Persons with HF have 3.4-fold increased odds of frailty. Longitudinal studies examining bidirectional pathophysiological pathways between HF and frailty are needed to further clarify this relationship and to assess if specific treatment for HF may prevent or delay the onset of frailty and vice versa.
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| 4. |
- Marengoni, Alessandra, et al.
(författare)
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The impact of delirium on outcomes for older adults hospitalised with COVID--19
- 2020
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Ingår i: Age and Ageing. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0002-0729 .- 1468-2834. ; 49:6, s. 923-926
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Introduction: Delirium is a frequent condition in hospitalized older patients and it usually has a negative prognostic value. A direct effect of SARS-COV-2 on the central nervous system (CNS) has been hypothesized.Objective: To evaluate the presence of delirium in older patients admitted for a suspected diagnosis of COVID-19 and its impact on in-hospital mortality.Setting and subjects: 91 patients, aged 70-years and older, admitted to an acute geriatric ward in Northern Italy from March 8th to April 17th, 2020.Methods: COVID-19 cases were confirmed by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assay for SARS-Cov-2 RNA from nasal and pharyngeal swabs. Delirium was diagnosed by two geriatricians according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders V (DMS V) criteria. The number of chronic diseases was calculated among a pre-defined list of 60. The pre-disease Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) was assessed at hospital admission.Results: Of the total sample, 39 patients died, 49 were discharged and 3 were transferred to ICU. Twenty-five patients (27.5%) had delirium. Seventy-two percent of patients with delirium died during hospitalization compared to 31.8% of those without delirium. In a multivariate logistic regression model adjusted for potential confounders, patients with delirium were four times more likely to die during hospital stay compared to those without delirium (OR= 3.98;95%CI = 1.05-17.28; p = 0.047).Conclusions: Delirium is common in older patients with COVID-19 and strongly associated with in-hospital mortality. Regardless of causation, either due to a direct effect of SARS-COV-2 on the CNS or to a multifactorial cause, delirium should be interpreted as an alarming prognostic indicator in older people.
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| 5. |
- Vetrano, Davide L., et al.
(författare)
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Patterns of oral corticosteroids use in primary care patients with severe asthma
- 2020
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Ingår i: Respiratory Medicine. - : Elsevier BV. - 0954-6111 .- 1532-3064. ; 166
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aim: To assess the pattern of use of oral corticosteroids (OC) in primary care patients with severe asthma.Methods: Data derived from the Health Search Database (HSD) gathering information on 700 Italian general practitioners. A cohort of severe asthma patients was identified between 2013 and 2017 and followed-up for one year. The association between candidate predictors and the incident escalation to OC was tested through a multivariate Cox regression model.Results: Among patients with asthma (N = 55,075), 284 were diagnosed with severe asthma. Among them, the proportion of OC users decreased from 82.2% in 2013 to 75.3% in 2017. For what concerns the determinants of OC prescriptions, among 284 patients being defined at baseline (2013-2016) as those suffering from severe asthma, 216 (76.1%) were first-ever prescribed with OC at least once during one year of follow-up. The presence of gastroesophageal reflux disease (HR 1.37; 95% CI 1.02-1.85), osteoarthritis (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.12-2.12) and moderate asthma exacerbations (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1-02-2.93) was significantly associated with the outcome.Conclusions: The optimization of asthma treatment and the management of comorbidities may be potential leverages to reduce the inappropriate use of OC in patients with severe asthma.
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