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- Hanly, John G., et al.
(author)
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A Longitudinal Analysis of Outcomes of Lupus Nephritis in an International Inception Cohort Using a Multistate Model Approach
- 2016
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In: Arthritis & Rheumatology. - : Wiley. - 2326-5191 .- 2326-5205. ; 68:8, s. 1932-1944
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Objective: To study bidirectional change and predictors of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and proteinuria in lupus nephritis (LN) using a multistate modeling approach. Methods: Patients in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics inception cohort were classified annually into estimated GFR state 1 (>60 ml/minute), state 2 (30–60 ml/minute), or state 3 (3.0 gm/day), or end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or death. Using multistate modeling, relative transition rates between states indicated improvement and deterioration. Results: Of 1,826 lupus patients, 700 (38.3%) developed LN. During a mean ± SD follow-up of 5.2 ± 3.5 years, the likelihood of improvement in estimated GFR and estimated proteinuria was greater than the likelihood of deterioration. After 5 years, 62% of patients initially in estimated GFR state 3 and 11% of patients initially in estimated proteinuria state 3 transitioned to ESRD. The probability of remaining in the initial states 1, 2, and 3 was 85%, 11%, and 3%, respectively, for estimated GFR and 62%, 29%, and 4%, respectively, for estimated proteinuria. Male sex predicted improvement in estimated GFR states; older age, race/ethnicity, higher estimated proteinuria state, and higher renal biopsy chronicity scores predicted deterioration. For estimated proteinuria, race/ethnicity, earlier calendar years, damage scores without renal variables, and higher renal biopsy chronicity scores predicted deterioration; male sex, presence of lupus anticoagulant, class V nephritis, and mycophenolic acid use predicted less improvement. Conclusion: In LN, the expected improvement or deterioration in renal outcomes can be estimated by multistate modeling and is preceded by identifiable risk factors. New therapeutic interventions for LN should meet or exceed these expectations.
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- Johansson, C. M., et al.
(author)
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Characterization of a susceptibility locus for SLE, SLEB5, on chromosome 4p14-13
- 2006
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In: Scandinavian Journal of Immunology. - : Wiley. - 0300-9475 .- 1365-3083. ; 64:3, s. 308-313
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Systemic lupus erythematosus is a systemic autoimmune disorder of unknown aetiology but is most likely caused by an interaction between several genetic factors and the environment. In a previously published genome scan we presented linkage to a marker on chromosome 4p13 in Icelandic families. Fine mapping of the region has been performed using 10 multicase families from Iceland and the maximum two-point LOD score was given by marker D4S2974 (Z = 3.57, alpha = 1). Multipoint analyses of the markers in the region suggest a putative disease gene to be located between markers D4S405 and D4S2381. The maximum multipoint LOD score (Z = 3.76) was given for marker D4S2974 in combination with the novel repeat GT4C2. A family-specific haplotype was segregating with the disease in each of eight families although a founder haplotype could not be identified. Analysis of recombination events in the patients delimited the susceptibility locus to approximately 3 cM. The susceptibility locus identified probably contains a mutation that has been enriched in the Icelandic population but is less common in other populations. We also show that this region is not identical to a susceptibility locus for SLE located on 4p16 where we detect no linkage.
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