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- Follmann, D, et al.
(författare)
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Assessing Durability of Vaccine Effect Following Blinded Crossover in COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy Trials
- 2020
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Ingår i: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences. - : Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
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Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- BackgroundSeveral candidate vaccines to prevent COVID-19 disease have entered large-scale phase 3 placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials and some have demonstrated substantial short-term efficacy. Efficacious vaccines should, at some point, be offered to placebo participants, which will occur before long-term efficacy and safety are known.MethodsFollowing vaccination of the placebo group, we show that placebo-controlled vaccine efficacy can be derived by assuming the benefit of vaccination over time has the same profile for the original vaccine recipients and the placebo crossovers. This reconstruction allows estimation of both vaccine durability and potential vaccine-associated enhanced disease.ResultsPost-crossover estimates of vaccine efficacy can provide insights about durability, identify waning efficacy, and identify late enhancement of disease, but are less reliable estimates than those obtained by a standard trial where the placebo cohort is maintained. As vaccine efficacy estimates for post-crossover periods depend on prior vaccine efficacy estimates, longer pre-crossover periods with higher case counts provide better estimates of late vaccine efficacy. Further, open-label crossover may lead to riskier behavior in the immediate crossover period for the unblinded vaccine arm, confounding vaccine efficacy estimates for all post-crossover periods.ConclusionsWe advocate blinded crossover and continued follow-up of trial participants to best assess vaccine durability and potential delayed enhancement of disease. This approach allows placebo recipients timely access to the vaccine when it would no longer be proper to maintain participants on placebo, yet still allows important insights about immunological and clinical effectiveness over time.
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| 3. |
- Bolton, Corey J, et al.
(författare)
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Sex and Education Modify the Association Between Subjective Cognitive Decline and Amyloid Pathology.
- 2023
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Ingår i: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences.
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Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) may be an early risk factor for dementia, particularly in highly educated individuals and women. This study examined the effect of education and sex on the association between SCD and Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers in non-demented older adults.Vanderbilt Memory and Aging Project participants free of clinical dementia or stroke (n=156, 72±6 years, 37% mild cognitive impairment, 33% female) completed fasting lumbar puncture, SCD assessment, and Wide Range Achievement Test-III Reading subtest to assess reading level at baseline as a a proxy for educational quality. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers for AD (β-amyloid 42 (Aβ42), Aβ42/40 ratio, phosphorylated tau (p-tau), tau, and neurofilament light (NfL)) were analyzed in batch. Linear mixed effects models related SCD to CSF AD biomarkers and follow-up models assessed SCD x sex, SCD x reading level , and SCD x education interactions on AD biomarkers.In main effect models, higher SCD was associated with lower Aβ42 and Aβ42/40 ratio (p-values<0.004). SCD was not associated with tau, p-tau, or NfL levels ( p- values>0.38). SCD score interacted with sex on Aβ42/40 ratio ( p =0.03) but no other biomarkers ( p -values>0.10). In stratified models, higher SCD was associated with lower Aβ42/40 ratio in men ( p =0.0003) but not in women ( p =0.48). SCD score interacted with education on Aβ42 ( p =0.005) and Aβ42/40 ratio ( p =0.001) such that higher education was associated with a stronger negative association between SCD and amyloid levels. No SCD score x reading level interaction was found (p-values> 0.51) though significant associations between SCD and amyloid markers were seen in the higher reading level group (p-values<0.004) but not the lower reading level group (p-values>0.12) when stratified by a median split in reading level.Among community-dwelling older adults free of clinical dementia, higher SCD was associated with greater cerebral amyloid accumulation, one of the earliest pathological AD changes. SCD appears most useful in detecting early AD-related brain changes in men and individuals with higher quantity and quality of education. SCD was not associated with CSF markers of tau pathology or neurodegeneration. These findings suggest that considering sex and education is important when assessing SCD in older adults.
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