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Impacts of Forecast...
Impacts of Forecasting Errors in Centralized and Decentralized Electricity Markets
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- Pihl, Hjalmar (författare)
- RISE
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- Brolin, Magnus (författare)
- RISE,Mätteknik
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(creator_code:org_t)
- IEEE Computer Society, 2020
- 2020
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM. - : IEEE Computer Society. - 9781728169194
- Relaterad länk:
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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visa fler...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
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- A decentralization of electricity markets, with an introduction of smaller local marketplaces, is sometimes suggested as a suitable development when a growing share electricity generation comes from distributed sources. This paper presents a stylized model for comparing market outcomes between a decentralized and a centralized market structure, focusing on the effect that forecasting errors have on market outcomes. Using Monte Carlo simulations, it is shown that forecasting errors propagate into somewhat larger scheduling errors under a decentralized market structure.
Nyckelord
- Errors
- Monte Carlo methods
- Power markets
- Centralized market
- Decentralized electricity
- Distributed sources
- Electricity generation
- Forecasting error
- Market outcomes
- Market structures
- Forecasting
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- kon (ämneskategori)
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