Sökning: onr:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:su-186418" > Bending the curve o...
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000 | 05971naa a2200985 4500 | |
001 | oai:DiVA.org:su-186418 | |
003 | SwePub | |
008 | 201104s2020 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-1864182 URI |
024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y2 DOI |
040 | a (SwePub)su | |
041 | a engb eng | |
042 | 9 SwePub | |
072 | 7 | a ref2 swepub-contenttype |
072 | 7 | a art2 swepub-publicationtype |
100 | 1 | a Leclere, David4 aut |
245 | 1 0 | a Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy |
264 | c 2020-09-10 | |
264 | 1 | b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2020 |
338 | a print2 rdacarrier | |
520 | a Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it provides(1,2). Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity(3); however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge(4). Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether-and how-humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodiversity caused by habitat conversion, which is a major threat to biodiversity(5). We show that immediate efforts, consistent with the broader sustainability agenda but of unprecedented ambition and coordination, could enable the provision of food for the growing human population while reversing the global terrestrial biodiversity trends caused by habitat conversion. If we decide to increase the extent of land under conservation management, restore degraded land and generalize landscape-level conservation planning, biodiversity trends from habitat conversion could become positive by the mid-twenty-first century on average across models (confidence interval, 2042-2061), but this was not the case for all models. Food prices could increase and, on average across models, almost half (confidence interval, 34-50%) of the future biodiversity losses could not be avoided. However, additionally tackling the drivers of land-use change could avoid conflict with affordable food provision and reduces the environmental effects of the food-provision system. Through further sustainable intensification and trade, reduced food waste and more plant-based human diets, more than two thirds of future biodiversity losses are avoided and the biodiversity trends from habitat conversion are reversed by 2050 for almost all of the models. Although limiting further loss will remain challenging in several biodiversity-rich regions, and other threats-such as climate change-must be addressed to truly reverse the declines in biodiversity, our results show that ambitious conservation efforts and food system transformation are central to an effective post-2020 biodiversity strategy. To promote the recovery of the currently declining global trends in terrestrial biodiversity, increases in both the extent of land under conservation management and the sustainability of the global food system from farm to fork are required. | |
650 | 7 | a NATURVETENSKAPx Biologi0 (SwePub)1062 hsv//swe |
650 | 7 | a NATURAL SCIENCESx Biological Sciences0 (SwePub)1062 hsv//eng |
700 | 1 | a Obersteiner, Michael4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Barrett, Mike4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Butchart, Stuart H. M.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Chaudhary, Abhishek4 aut |
700 | 1 | a De Palma, Adriana4 aut |
700 | 1 | a DeClerck, Fabrice A. J.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Di Marco, Moreno4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Doelman, Jonathan C.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Duerauer, Martina4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Freeman, Robin4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Harfoot, Michael4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hasegawa, Tomoko4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hellweg, Stefanie4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hilbers, Jelle P.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hill, Samantha L. L.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Humpenoeder, Florian4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Jennings, Nancy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Krisztin, Tamas4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Mace, Georgina M.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Ohashi, Haruka4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Popp, Alexander4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Purvis, Andy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Schipper, Aafke M.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Tabeau, Andrzej4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Valin, Hugo4 aut |
700 | 1 | a van Meijl, Hans4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Van Zeist, Willem-Jan4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Visconti, Piero4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Alkemade, Rob4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Almond, Rosamunde4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Bunting, Gill4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Burgess, Neil D.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Cornell, Sarah E.u Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre4 aut0 (Swepub:su)scorn |
700 | 1 | a Di Fulvio, Fulvio4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Ferrier, Simon4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Fritz, Steffen4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Fujimori, Shinichiro4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Grooten, Monique4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Harwood, Thomas4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Havlik, Petr4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Herrero, Mario4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hoskins, Andrew J.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Jung, Martin4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Kram, Tom4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Lotze-Campen, Hermann4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Matsui, Tetsuya4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Meyer, Carsten4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Nel, Deonu Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre,WWF International, Switzerland4 aut0 (Swepub:su)dene1796 |
700 | 1 | a Newbold, Tim4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Schmidt-Traub, Guido4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Stehfest, Elke4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Strassburg, Bernardo B. N.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a van Vuuren, Detlef P.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Ware, Chris4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Watson, James E. M.4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Wu, Wenchao4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Young, Lucy4 aut |
710 | 2 | a Stockholms universitetb Stockholm Resilience Centre4 org |
773 | 0 | t Natured : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 585:7826, s. 551-556q 585:7826<551-556x 0028-0836x 1476-4687 |
856 | 4 | u http://dspace.library.uu.nl/bitstream/1874/408907/1/s41586_020_2705_y.pdf |
856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-186418 |
856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y |
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