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The dry sky :
The dry sky : future scenarios for humanity's modification of the atmospheric water cycle
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Keys, Patrick W. (författare)
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- Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, 1985- (författare)
- Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
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- Moore, Michele-Lee, 1977- (författare)
- Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
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- Pranindita, Agnes, 1989- (författare)
- Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
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Stenzel, Fabian (författare)
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Varis, Olli (författare)
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Warrier, Rekha (författare)
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Wong, R. Bin (författare)
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D'Odorico, Paolo (författare)
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- Folke, Carl, 1955- (författare)
- Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre,Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, Sweden
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2024
- 2024
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Global Sustainability. - 2059-4798. ; 7
- Relaterad länk:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Non-Technical Summary. Human societies are changing where and how water flows through the atmosphere. However, these changes in the atmospheric water cycle are not being managed, nor is there any real sense of where these changes might be headed in the future. Thus, we develop a new economic theory of atmospheric water management, and explore this theory using creative story-based scenarios. These scenarios reveal surprising possibilities for the future of atmospheric water management, ranging from a stock market for transpiration to on-demand weather. We discuss these story-based futures in the context of research and policy priorities in the present day.Technical Summary. Humanity is modifying the atmospheric water cycle, via land use, climate change, air pollution, and weather modification. Historically, atmospheric water was implicitly considered a ‘public good’ since it was neither actively consumed nor controlled. However, given anthropogenic changes, atmospheric water can become a ‘common-pool’ good (consumable) or a ‘club’ good (controllable). Moreover, advancements in weather modification presage water becoming a ‘private’ good, meaning both consumable and controllable. Given the implications, we designed a theoretical framing of atmospheric water as an economic good and used a combination of methods in order to explore possible future scenarios based on human modifications of the atmospheric water cycle. First, a systematic literature search of scholarly abstracts was used in a computational text analysis. Second, the output of the text analysis was matched to different parts of an existing economic goods framework. Then, a group of global water experts were trained and developed story-based scenarios. The resultant scenarios serve as creative investigations of the future of human modification of the atmospheric water cycle. We discuss how the scenarios can enhance anticipatory capacity in the context of both future research frontiers and potential policy pathways including transboundary governance, finance, and resource management.Social Media Summary. Story-based scenarios reveal novel future pathways for the management of the atmospheric water cycle.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources (hsv//eng)
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Annan samhällsvetenskap -- Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Other Social Sciences -- Social Sciences Interdisciplinary (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Earth systems (land
- water and atmospheric)
- economics
- ecosystem services
- policies
- politics and governance
- water security
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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Till lärosätets databas
- Av författaren/redakt...
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Keys, Patrick W.
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Wang-Erlandsson, ...
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Moore, Michele-L ...
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Pranindita, Agne ...
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Stenzel, Fabian
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Varis, Olli
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visa fler...
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Warrier, Rekha
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Wong, R. Bin
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D'Odorico, Paolo
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Folke, Carl, 195 ...
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visa färre...
- Om ämnet
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- NATURVETENSKAP
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NATURVETENSKAP
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och Geovetenskap och ...
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och Miljövetenskap
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- NATURVETENSKAP
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NATURVETENSKAP
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och Geovetenskap och ...
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och Meteorologi och ...
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- NATURVETENSKAP
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NATURVETENSKAP
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och Geovetenskap och ...
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och Oceanografi hydr ...
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- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP
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SAMHÄLLSVETENSKA ...
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och Annan samhällsve ...
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och Tvärvetenskaplig ...
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Global Sustainab ...
- Av lärosätet
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Stockholms universitet