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Famines and mortali...
Famines and mortality crises in 18th to 19th century southern Sweden
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- Bengtsson, Tommy (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Centrum för ekonomisk demografi,Ekonomihögskolan,Centre for Economic Demography,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM
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- Broström, Göran (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Umeå universitet,Statistiska institutionen,Centrum för befolkningsstudier (CBS),ALC,Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen,Ekonomihögskolan,Department of Economic History,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Rome : Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza, 2011
- 2011
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Genus: Journal of Population Sciences. - Rome : Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza. - 2035-5556. ; 67:2, s. 119-139
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Causality is an important but complicated issue, not only within social sciences in general but also within economic and historical demography. Here we are dealing with two different, but related, problems of causality. The first is to what extent the impact of food prices on mortality is biased when selecting on years with mortality crises. The second concerns the problem of mixing factors that directly and indirectly have an impact on mortality. Dealing with the first problem, we compare the effects of food prices on child and adult mortality when selecting on mortality crises with a standard approach without selection. When dealing with the second problem we use the additive hazards model, in combination with dynamic path analysis, which allows for investigating the mediating effect of intermediate covariates in a causal framework. We use individual level data from the Scanian Economic Demographic Database for five rural parishes for the period 1766 to 1865. Data on food prices refers to the local area of these parishes. The statistical analyses are performed in the R statistical computing environment, especially with the aid of the package eha. The main findings are that selecting on mortality crises created a large bias in the direction of overestimating the impact of food prices and that that the direct effects of food prices are dominating.
Ämnesord
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Annan samhällsvetenskap -- Övrig annan samhällsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Other Social Sciences -- Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified (hsv//eng)
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Ekonomi och näringsliv -- Ekonomisk historia (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Economics and Business -- Economic History (hsv//eng)
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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