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Impacts of anthropo...
Impacts of anthropogenic warming and uneven regional socio-economic development on global river flood risk
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Gu, X. (författare)
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Zhang, Q. (författare)
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Li, J. (författare)
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- Chen, Deliang, 1961 (författare)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för geovetenskaper,Department of Earth Sciences
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Singh, V. P. (författare)
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Zhang, Y. (författare)
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Liu, J. (författare)
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Shen, Z. (författare)
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Yu, H. (författare)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier BV, 2020
- 2020
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Journal of Hydrology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0022-1694. ; 590
- Relaterad länk:
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https://gup.ub.gu.se...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Employing a multi-model framework, we estimate the impacts of contrasting warming levels and uneven regional socio-economic development on area, population and gross domestic product (GDP) exposures to flood magnitude and variability in global Flood-Affected Regions (FARs). These exposures to flood variability show persistent increases in FARs, but to flood magnitude only in East and South Asia. Globally, the increases in these exposures are not projected in moderate but extreme floods. Specifically, the areal exposure would be decreased (increased) by 1.8%/°C (1.9%/°C) for moderate (extreme) floods; the reduced population exposure to extreme floods can be three times higher than that to moderate floods when limiting 2 °C to 1.5 °C warming. Rapid regional economic growth of East and South Asia (whose GDP accounts for 9.8% of FARs in year 2000 to 18.5% in year 2025) would shift global GDP exposure from a decrease of 2.5%/°C to an increase of 1.7%/°C. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Flood exposures
- Global warming
- Multi-model framework
- Socio-economic development
- Economic and social effects
- Economics
- Regional planning
- Anthropogenic warming
- Extreme flood
- Flood magnitudes
- Gross domestic products
- Population exposure
- Regional economic growths
- River floods
- Floods
- anthropogenic aspects and related phenomena
- economic growth
- extreme event
- flood
- global perspective
- risk assessment
- socioeconomic conditions
- Far East
- South Asia
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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- Av författaren/redakt...
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Gu, X.
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Zhang, Q.
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Li, J.
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Chen, Deliang, 1 ...
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Singh, V. P.
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Zhang, Y.
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visa fler...
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Liu, J.
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Shen, Z.
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Yu, H.
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visa färre...
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