Sökning: onr:"swepub:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b622" > Palaeoclimate const...
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000 | 07205naa a2200961 4500 | |
001 | oai:lup.lub.lu.se:9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b622 | |
003 | SwePub | |
008 | 180704s2018 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
024 | 7 | a https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b6222 URI |
024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-02 DOI |
040 | a (SwePub)lu | |
041 | a engb eng | |
042 | 9 SwePub | |
072 | 7 | a art2 swepub-publicationtype |
072 | 7 | a ref2 swepub-contenttype |
100 | 1 | a Fischer, Hubertusu University of Bern4 aut |
245 | 1 0 | a Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond |
264 | c 2018-06-25 | |
264 | 1 | b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2018 |
520 | a Over the past 3.5 million years, there have been several intervals when climate conditions were warmer than during the pre-industrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming were forced differently than future anthropogenic change, such periods can provide insights into potential future climate impacts and ecosystem feedbacks, especially over centennial-to-millennial timescales that are often not covered by climate model simulations. Our observation-based synthesis of the understanding of past intervals with temperatures within the range of projected future warming suggests that there is a low risk of runaway greenhouse gas feedbacks for global warming of no more than 2 °C. However, substantial regional environmental impacts can occur. A global average warming of 1–2 °C with strong polar amplification has, in the past, been accompanied by significant shifts in climate zones and the spatial distribution of land and ocean ecosystems. Sustained warming at this level has also led to substantial reductions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, with sea-level increases of at least several metres on millennial timescales. Comparison of palaeo observations with climate model results suggests that, due to the lack of certain feedback processes, model-based climate projections may underestimate long-term warming in response to future radiative forcing by as much as a factor of two, and thus may also underestimate centennial-to-millennial-scale sea-level rise. | |
650 | 7 | a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Klimatforskning0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//swe |
650 | 7 | a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Climate Research0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//eng |
650 | 7 | a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Geologi0 (SwePub)105042 hsv//swe |
650 | 7 | a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Geology0 (SwePub)105042 hsv//eng |
700 | 1 | a Meissner, Katrin J.u University of New South Wales4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Mix, Alan C.u Oregon State University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Abram, Nerilie J.u Australian National University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Austermann, Jacquelineu University of Cambridge4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Brovkin, Victoru Max Planck Institute for Meteorology4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Capron, Emilieu University of Copenhagen,British Antarctic Survey4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Colombaroli, Danieleu Royal Holloway University of London,University of Bern,Ghent University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Daniau, Anne Laureu University of Bordeaux4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Dyez, Kelsey A.u Columbia University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Felis, Thomasu University of Bremen4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Finkelstein, Sarah A.u University of Toronto4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Jaccard, Samuel L.u University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a McClymont, Erin L.u Durham University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Rovere, Alessiou Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Ecology,University of Bremen4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Sutter, Johannesu Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Wolff, Eric W.u University of Cambridge4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Affolter, Stéphaneu University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Bakker, Pepijnu University of Bremen4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Ballesteros-Cánovas, Juan Antoniou University of Geneva4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Barbante, Carlou University of Venice,CNR Institute for the Dynamics of Environmental Processes (CNR-IDPA)4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Caley, Thibautu University of Bordeaux4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Carlson, Anders E.u Oregon State University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Churakova (Sidorova), Olgau University of Geneva,Siberian Federal University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Cortese, Giuseppeu GNS Science4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Cumming, Brian F.u Queen's University at Kingston4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Davis, Basil A.S.u University of Lausanne4 aut |
700 | 1 | a de Vernal, Anneu University Of Quebec In Montreal4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Emile-Geay, Julienu University of Southern California4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Fritz, Sherilyn C.u University of Nebraska - Lincoln4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)sh4732fr |
700 | 1 | a Gierz, Paulu Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Gottschalk, Juliau University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Holloway, Max D.u British Antarctic Survey4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Joos, Fortunatu University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Kucera, Michalu University of Bremen4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Loutre, Marie Franceu PAGES (Past Global Changes)4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Lunt, Daniel J.u University of Bristol4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Marcisz, Katarzynau University of Bern,Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Marlon, Jennifer R.u Yale University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Martinez, Philippeu University of Bordeaux4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Masson-Delmotte, Valerieu University of Paris-Saclay4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Nehrbass-Ahles, Christophu University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.u National Center for Atmospheric Research4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Raible, Christoph C.u University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Risebrobakken, Bjørgu Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Sánchez Goñi, María F.u University of Bordeaux,École Pratiques des Hautes Ètudes, Paris4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Arrigo, Jennifer Saleemu U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Sarnthein, Michaelu University of Kiel4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Sjolte, Jesperu Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kvartärgeologi,Geologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Quaternary Sciences,Department of Geology,Faculty of Science4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)geol-jes |
700 | 1 | a Stocker, Thomas F.u University of Bern4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Yan, Qingu Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Yu, Zichengu Lehigh University,Northeast Normal University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Ziegler, Martinu ETH Zürich,Utrecht University4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Zhou, Lipingu Peking University4 aut |
710 | 2 | a University of Bernb University of New South Wales4 org |
773 | 0 | t Nature Geoscienced : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 11:7, s. 474-485q 11:7<474-485x 1752-0894x 1752-0908 |
856 | 4 | u http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0y FULLTEXT |
856 | 4 | u https://hal-cea.archives-ouvertes.fr/cea-01883055/file/Fis.pdf |
856 | 4 8 | u https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b622 |
856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0 |
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