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Forecasting near-su...
Forecasting near-surface ocean winds with Kalman filter techniques
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- Malmberg, Anders (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Matematisk statistik,Matematikcentrum,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Mathematical Statistics,Centre for Mathematical Sciences,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH
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- Holst, Ulla (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Matematisk statistik,Matematikcentrum,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Mathematical Statistics,Centre for Mathematical Sciences,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH
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- Holst, Jan (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Matematisk statistik,Matematikcentrum,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,Mathematical Statistics,Centre for Mathematical Sciences,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier BV, 2005
- 2005
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Ocean Engineering. - : Elsevier BV. - 1873-5258 .- 0029-8018. ; 32:3-4, s. 273-291
- Relaterad länk:
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http://dx.doi.org/10...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- In this paper a statistical forecasting model designed for bounded areas of near-surface ocean wind speeds is implemented. Dimension reduction is achieved by decomposing the covariance structure into one large-scale and one small-scale component using empirical orthogonal functions. The large-scale component is modelled with an AR process and forecasts are calculated by applying a Kalman filter. The model is suited for stable weather situations as for unsteady situations it requires more frequent wind information. From the prediction variance fields it is possible to identify where unexpected weather usually enters the area.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- near-surface
- ocean winds
- forecasting
- filtering
- space-time Kalman
- dimension reduction
- principal components
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- art (ämneskategori)
- ref (ämneskategori)
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