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Global consequences...
Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators
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- Krause, Andreas (författare)
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
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- Pughl, Thomas A.M. (författare)
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology,University of Birmingham
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- Bayer, Anita D. (författare)
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
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- Doelman, Jonathan C. (författare)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency; Bilthoven
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- Humpenöder, Florian (författare)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Anthoni, Peter (författare)
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
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- Olin, Stefan (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,Faculty of Science
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- Bodirsky, Benjamin L. (författare)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Popp, Alexander (författare)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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- Stehfest, Elke (författare)
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency; Bilthoven
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- Arneth, Almut (författare)
- Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2017-11-03
- 2017
- Engelska 22 s.
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Ingår i: Biogeosciences. - : Copernicus GmbH. - 1726-4170 .- 1726-4189. ; 14:21, s. 4829-4850
- Relaterad länk:
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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https://bg.copernicu...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.5...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Land management for carbon storage is discussed as being indispensable for climate change mitigation because of its large potential to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, and to avoid further emissions from deforestation. However, the acceptance and feasibility of land-based mitigation projects depends on potential side effects on other important ecosystem functions and their services. Here, we use projections of future land use and land cover for different land-based mitigation options from two land-use models (IMAGE and MAgPIE) and evaluate their effects with a global dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS). In the landuse models, carbon removal was achieved either via growth of bioenergy crops combined with carbon capture and storage, via avoided deforestation and afforestation, or via a combination of both. We compare these scenarios to a reference scenario without land-based mitigation and analyse the LPJ-GUESS simulations with the aim of assessing synergies and trade-offs across a range of ecosystem service indicators: Carbon storage, surface albedo, evapotranspiration, water runoff, crop production, nitrogen loss, and emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds. In our mitigation simulations cumulative carbon storage by year 2099 ranged between 55 and 89 GtC. Other ecosystem service indicators were influenced heterogeneously both positively and negatively, with large variability across regions and land-use scenarios. Avoided deforestation and afforestation led to an increase in evapotranspiration and enhanced emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds, and to a decrease in albedo, runoff, and nitrogen loss. Crop production could also decrease in the afforestation scenarios as a result of reduced crop area, especially for MAgPIE land-use patterns, if assumed increases in crop yields cannot be realized. Bioenergy-based climate change mitigation was projected to affect less area globally than in the forest expansion scenarios, and resulted in less pronounced changes in most ecosystem service indicators than forest-based mitigation, but included a possible decrease in nitrogen loss, crop production, and biogenic volatile organic compounds emissions.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
- LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER -- Annan lantbruksvetenskap -- Miljö- och naturvårdsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES -- Other Agricultural Sciences -- Environmental Sciences related to Agriculture and Land-use (hsv//eng)
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Till lärosätets databas
- Av författaren/redakt...
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Krause, Andreas
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Pughl, Thomas A. ...
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Bayer, Anita D.
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Doelman, Jonatha ...
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Humpenöder, Flor ...
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Anthoni, Peter
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visa fler...
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Olin, Stefan
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Bodirsky, Benjam ...
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Popp, Alexander
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Stehfest, Elke
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Arneth, Almut
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visa färre...
- Om ämnet
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- NATURVETENSKAP
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NATURVETENSKAP
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och Geovetenskap och ...
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och Klimatforskning
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- LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER
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LANTBRUKSVETENSK ...
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och Annan lantbruksv ...
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och Miljö och naturv ...
- Artiklar i publikationen
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Biogeosciences
- Av lärosätet
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Lunds universitet