| 1. |
- King, James A., et al.
(author)
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Trends in hospitalisation rates for inflammatory bowel disease in western versus newly industrialised countries : a population-based study of countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
- 2019
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In: The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. - : Elsevier. - 2468-1253. ; 4:4, s. 287-295
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Hospitalisation rates for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) vary across the world. We aimed to investigate temporal patterns of hospitalisation for IBD in member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).Methods: From the OECD database, we assessed IBD-related hospitalisation rates (expressed as annual rates per 100 000 inhabitants) for 34 countries from 1990 to 2016. We calculated mean hospitalisation rates for the period 2010-15 and used joinpoint regression models to calculate average annual percentage changes with 95% CIs.Findings: Mean hospitalisation rates for IBD from 2010 to 2015 were highest in North America (eg, 33.9 per 100 000 in the USA), Europe (eg, 72.9 per 100 000 in Austria), and Oceania (eg, 31.5 per 100 000 in Australia). Hospitalisation rates for IBD were stabilising or decreasing over time in many countries in these regions but increasing in others. Countries in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean had the lowest IBD-related hospitalisation rates but the greatest increases in rates over time. For example, Turkey had an annual hospitalisation rate of 10.8 per 100 000 inhabitants and an average annual percentage change of 10.4% (95% CI 5.2-15.9). Similarly, Chile had an annual hospitalisation rate of 9.0 per 100 000 inhabitants and an average annual percentage change of 5.9% (4.9-7.0).Interpretation: Hospitalisation rates for IBD are high in western countries but are typically stabilising or decreasing, whereas rates in many newly industrialised countries are rapidly increasing, which reflects the known increase in IBD prevalence in these countries. Potential explanations for these trends include changes in the epidemiology of IBD, health-care delivery, and infrastructure in these countries, as well as overall country-specific patterns in hospitalisations and differences between countries in data collection methods.
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| 2. |
- Tsolakis, Apostolos V., et al.
(author)
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Clinical prediction rule to determine the need for repeat ERCP after endoscopic treatment of postsurgical bile leaks
- 2017
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In: Gastrointestinal Endoscopy. - : MOSBY-ELSEVIER. - 0016-5107 .- 1097-6779. ; 85:5, s. 1047-1056
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background and Aims: In patients who have undergone ERCP with biliary stenting for postsurgical bile leaks, the optimal method (ERCP or gastroscopy) and timing of stent removal is controversial. We developed a clinical prediction rule to identify cases in which a repeat ERCP is unnecessary.Methods: Population-based study of all patients who underwent ERCP for management of surgically induced bile leaks between 2000 and 2012. Multivariate and binary recursive partitioning analyses were performed to generate a rule predicting the absence of biliary pathology on repeat endoscopic evaluation.Results: A total of 259 patients were included. On multivariate analysis, postsurgical normal alkaline phosphatase (ALP; OR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.03-4.99), time from surgery to first ERCP < 8 days (OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.15-5.31), and minor leak with no other pathology on initial ERCP (OR, 6.74; 95% CI, 1.75-25.89) were independently associated with the absence of persistent bile leak and other pathology on repeat ERCP. The derived rule included laparoscopic cholecystectomy, normal postsurgical ALP, minor leak with no other pathology on initial ERCP, and an interval from initial to repeat ERCP between 4 and 8 weeks. When all 4 criteria were met, the rule had a sensitivity of 94% (95% CI, 83%-99%) and a negative predictive value of 93% (95% CI, 81%-99%). Optimism-adjusted sensitivity and negative predictive value were 88% (95% CI, 76%-96%) and 86% (95% CI, 73%-96%), respectively.Conclusions: This clinical decision rule identifies patients who can have their biliary stents removed via gastroscopy, which may improve patient safety and healthcare utilization.
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| 3. |
- Bergman, David, et al.
(author)
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Two waves of coeliac disease incidence in Sweden : a nationwide population-based cohort study from 1990 to 2015
- 2022
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In: Gut. - : BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. - 0017-5749 .- 1468-3288. ; 71:6, s. 1088-1094
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Objectives: To assess the incidence of biopsy-verified coeliac disease (CD) in Sweden and examine the incidence of duodenal/jejunal biopsies with normal mucosa over time as a proxy for CD awareness and investigation.Design: Nationwide population-based cohort study 1990-2015 based on biopsy reports indicating villous atrophy (VA) or normal mucosa in the duodenum/jejunum.Results: We identified 44 771 individuals (63% females) with a biopsy report specifying VA and 412 279 (62% females) with a biopsy report indicating normal mucosa (without a prior biopsy indicating VA). The median age at diagnosis of CD was 28 years. The mean age-standardised incidence rate during the study period was 19.0 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 17.3 to 20.8). The incidence reached a peak in 1994 for both sexes and a second higher peak in 2002-2003 for females and in 2006 for males. The lifetime risk of developing CD was 1.8% (2.3% in females and 1.4% in males). Prior to 2015, there was a parallel rise in rates for biopsies showing normal duodenal/jejunal mucosa.Conclusions: In Sweden, the incidence of CD increased until 2002-2003 in females and until 2006 in males. Since then, the incidence of CD has declined despite increasing duodenal/jejunal biopsies, suggesting that increased awareness and investigation are unlikely to elevate the incidence of the disease in Sweden. Across a lifetime, 1 in 44 females and 1 in 72 males are expected to be diagnosed with CD in Sweden, indicating a relatively high societal burden of disease.
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| 4. |
- Forss, Anders, et al.
(author)
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A nationwide cohort study of the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease in Sweden from 1990 to 2014
- 2022
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In: Alimentary Pharmacology and Therapeutics. - : Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Inc.. - 0269-2813 .- 1365-2036. ; 55:6, s. 691-699
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have shown inconsistent incidence rates (IRs) for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).AIM: To assess the incidence and temporal trends of IBD in Sweden.METHODS: Nationwide cohort study based on diagnostic codes for IBD and biopsy reports registered through the ESPRESSO cohort in 1990-2014. Age-specific and age-standardised IRs and cumulative incidence were calculated.RESULTS: Overall, we identified 65 908 cases of incident IBD: ulcerative colitis (UC, n = 38 261, 58%), Crohn's disease (CD, n = 18 577, 28%) and IBD-U (n = 9070, 14%). During 1990-2014, the overall IRs per 100 000 person-years were 29.0 (95% CI: 27.3-30.7) for IBD, 16.9 (15.9-17.9) for UC, and 8.1 (7.7-8.6) for CD. For IBD-U, the IR was 5.2 (4.9-5.6) in 2002-2014. The annual incidence of IBD, UC and CD increased by approximately 7% per year between 1990 and 2001 (P < 0.001) and then decreased by 1%-2% per year from 2002 onwards (P < 0.001). IRs for IBD, UC and IBD-U were higher in males while the IR for CD was higher in females. The lifetime risk of IBD was about 2.5% for both sexes.CONCLUSIONS: In Sweden, the incidence of IBD in all subtypes increased in 1990-2001 but has since declined. One in 40 individuals is expected to be diagnosed with IBD during their lifetime.
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| 5. |
- King, James A., et al.
(author)
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Incidence of Celiac Disease Is Increasing Over Time : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
- 2020
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In: American Journal of Gastroenterology. - : Blackwell Publishing. - 0002-9270 .- 1572-0241. ; 115:4, s. 507-525
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Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
- OBJECTIVES: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis that defines the worldwide incidence of celiac disease (CD) and examines temporal trends.METHODS: MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched for population-based studies reporting the incidence of CD in the overall population, children, or adults. No limits were placed on year or language of publication. Studies solely examining at-risk populations (e.g., patients with type 1 diabetes) were excluded. Random-effects models were performed to meta-analyze sex- and age-specific incidence in the 21st century. Temporal trend analyses assessed the average annual percent change in CD incidence over time.RESULTS: Of 11,189 citations, 86 eligible studies were identified for inclusion, of which 50 were deemed suitable for analyses. In the 21st century, the pooled female incidence of CD was 17.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 13.7, 21.1) (I-2= 99.5%) per 100,000 person-years, compared with 7.8 (95% CI: 6.3, 9.2) (I-2= 98.6%) in males. Child-specific incidence was 21.3 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 15.9, 26.7) (I-2= 99.7%) compared with 12.9 (95% CI: 7.6, 18.2) (I-2= 99.9%) in adults. Pooling average annual percent changes showed the incidence of CD to be increasing by 7.5% (95% CI: 5.8, 9.3) (I-2= 79.6%) per year over the past several decades.DISCUSSION: Incidence of CD is highest in females and children. Overall, the incidence has been significantly rising in the latter half of the 20th century and into the 21st century throughout the Western world. Population-based studies in Africa, Asia, and Latin America are needed to provide a comprehensive picture of the global incidence of CD.
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