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- Bryazka, D., et al.
(author)
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Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020
- 2022
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In: Lancet. - 0140-6736. ; 400:10347, s. 185-235
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. Methods For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to estimate the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) and non-drinker equivalence (NDE), the consumption level at which the health risk is equivalent to that of a non-drinker, using disease rates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020 for 21 regions, including 204 countries and territories, by 5-year age group, sex, and year for individuals aged 15-95 years and older from 1990 to 2020. Based on the NDE, we quantified the population consuming harmful amounts of alcohol. Findings The burden-weighted relative risk curves for alcohol use varied by region and age. Among individuals aged 15-39 years in 2020, the TMREL varied between 0 (95% uncertainty interval 0-0) and 0.603 (0.400-1.00) standard drinks per day, and the NDE varied between 0.002 (0-0) and 1.75 (0.698-4.30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals aged 40 years and older, the burden-weighted relative risk curve was J-shaped for all regions, with a 2020 TMREL that ranged from 0.114 (0-0.403) to 1.87 (0.500-3.30) standard drinks per day and an NDE that ranged between 0.193 (0-0.900) and 6.94 (3.40-8.30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals consuming harmful amounts of alcohol in 2020, 59.1% (54.3-65.4) were aged 15-39 years and 76.9% (7.0-81.3) were male. Interpretation There is strong evidence to support recommendations on alcohol consumption varying by age and location. Stronger interventions, particularly those tailored towards younger individuals, are needed to reduce the substantial global health loss attributable to alcohol. Copyright (C) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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| 4. |
- Mineo, C., et al.
(author)
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Mapping Monthly Rainfall Erosivity for the Lazio Region (Italy)
- 2020
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In: International conference on numerical analysis and applied mathematics ICNAAM 2019. - : AIP Publishing. - 9780735440258
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Conference paper (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Erosion is an exogenous phenomenon, antagonistic to the constructive forces both of an endogenous nature (i.e. orogeny) and of a biological nature (i.e. coral reef), leading to the dismantling of the earth's surface and filling, with the clastic material produced, sedimentary basins and depressions in order to level differences in altitude [1]. It is estimated that, in Europe, 25 million hectares of soil are subject to "accelerated erosion processes" [2] and that, in several areas, the magnitude of soil loss is around a few tens of tons per year. Approximately 77% of Italy is at risk of accelerated erosion [3], also due to the lack of conservative measures for soil (hydraulic-agrarian measures, drainage, grassing, etc.). The phenomenon takes on particular importance in cultivated areas, where drastic changes have been imposed in soil use and sometimes, instead of natural and stable land cover, bare soil is subject to erosive agents. In this paper, the erosivity density approach introduced in Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation 2 (RUSLE2 [4]), will be used to develop monthly erosivity maps for the Lazio region (in central Italy). This was achieved through a full investigation carried out on the monthly (P-md), daily (P-24h) and sub-daily (15-minute time-scale, P-15) precipitation amounts available from rain gauges deployed across the study area.
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| 5. |
- Mineo, C., et al.
(author)
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On the reliability of gamma distributed dsds for modelling kinetic energy of rainfall(dagger)
- 2020
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In: Irrigation and Drainage. - : WILEY. - 1531-0353 .- 1531-0361. ; 69:5, s. 1176-1191
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- To retrieve the gamma drop size distribution (DSD) parameters from observed drop spectra, the most common approach is the method of moments (MM). However, the goodness of this method is still disputed. To assess its reliability, the aims of this paper are: (i) estimation of empirical values of rainfall rate (I) and kinetic energy (KE) from DSD measurements collected by a laser-optical disdrometer; (ii) estimation of gamma DSD parameters by MM and another widespread method, i.e. maximum likelihood (ML); (iii) evaluation of theoretical values of rainfall rate and KE and comparison between these values and measured ones. The novelty of this work is the assessment of both MM and ML using the rainfall intensity measured by the disdrometer as a benchmark, rather than the KE or a statistical test as done in common practice. The assessment of the goodness of the estimates was performed on variables most investigated in soil erosion studies (i.e.Iand KE). Results show that smaller error values are associated with ML and that MM does not provide reliable estimations ofI.On the other hand, both methods substantially underestimate KE with increasing rainfall intensity. (c) 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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