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- Dahal, Prabin, et al.
(author)
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Competing risk events in antimalarial drug trials in uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria : a WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network individual participant data meta-analysis
- 2019
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In: Malaria Journal. - : BMC. - 1475-2875. ; 18
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Therapeutic efficacy studies in uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria are confounded by new infections, which constitute competing risk events since they can potentially preclude/pre-empt the detection of subsequent recrudescence of persistent, sub-microscopic primary infections.Methods: Antimalarial studies typically report the risk of recrudescence derived using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method, which considers new infections acquired during the follow-up period as censored. Cumulative Incidence Function (CIF) provides an alternative approach for handling new infections, which accounts for them as a competing risk event. The complement of the estimate derived using the K-M method (1 minus K-M), and the CIF were used to derive the risk of recrudescence at the end of the follow-up period using data from studies collated in the WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network data repository. Absolute differences in the failure estimates derived using these two methods were quantified. In comparative studies, the equality of two K-M curves was assessed using the log-rank test, and the equality of CIFs using Gray's k-sample test (both at 5% level of significance). Two different regression modelling strategies for recrudescence were considered: cause-specific Cox model and Fine and Gray's sub-distributional hazard model.Results: Data were available from 92 studies (233 treatment arms, 31,379 patients) conducted between 1996 and 2014. At the end of follow-up, the median absolute overestimation in the estimated risk of cumulative recrudescence by using 1 minus K-M approach was 0.04% (interquartile range (IQR): 0.00-0.27%, Range: 0.00-3.60%). The overestimation was correlated positively with the proportion of patients with recrudescence [Pearson's correlation coefficient (rho): 0.38, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.30-0.46] or new infection [rho: 0.43; 95% CI 0.35-0.54]. In three study arms, the point estimates of failure were greater than 10% (the WHO threshold for withdrawing antimalarials) when the K-M method was used, but remained below 10% when using the CIF approach, but the 95% confidence interval included this threshold.Conclusions: The 1 minus K-M method resulted in a marginal overestimation of recrudescence that became increasingly pronounced as antimalarial efficacy declined, particularly when the observed proportion of new infection was high. The CIF approach provides an alternative approach for derivation of failure estimates in antimalarial trials, particularly in high transmission settings.
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- Sawa, Hezekiah B., et al.
(author)
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Enhanced performance of Cu2ZnSnS4 based bifacial solar cells with FTO and W/FTO back contacts through absorber air annealing and Na incorporation
- 2024
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In: Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells. - : Elsevier. - 0927-0248 .- 1879-3398. ; 264
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- This study reports on the influence of air annealing and Na incorporation into the absorber on the performance of Cu2ZnSnS4 (CZTS) bifacial solar cells with FTO and W/FTO back contacts. Na was incorporated by depositing similar to 12 nm thick NaF on the CZTS precursors prior to the sulfurization process via thermal evaporation. After sulfurization, some of the samples were annealed in air at 300 degrees C for 90 s and subsequently at 200 degrees C for 600 s. Transmission electron microscopy confirmed sulfurization of the W interlayer to form WS2 which improves the FTO ohmicity. Na incorporation improved grain size of the absorber as revealed by scanning electron microscopy. Non-annealed samples had the unwanted SnS2 phase while the air annealed samples, particularly those with both W interlayer and Na incorporation, were exempt from SnS2 phase, as was confirmed through grazing incident X-ray diffraction and Raman spectroscopy. These results suggest that absorber air annealing and Na incorporation enhance absorber crystal growth which is advantageous in reducing bulk carrier recombination. As a result, the efficiency was significantly improved from 3.0% for solar cells fabricated directly on FTO to 5.2% for those whose absorbers were air annealed, incorporated with Na and made on W/FTO. The latter also exhibits the highest external quantum efficiency response and calculated short circuit current density for both sides illumination. This indicates that the air annealing, Na incorporation and W interlayer are enhancing the performance of bifacial CZTS solar cells with FTO back contact for both back side and front side illumination.
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- Stepniewska, Kasia, et al.
(author)
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Efficacy of single dose primaquine with artemisinin combination therapy on P. falciparum gametocytes and transmission : A WWARN individual patient meta-analysis.
- 2020
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In: Journal of Infectious Diseases. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0022-1899 .- 1537-6613. ; 225:7, s. 1215-1226
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Since the World Health Organization recommended single low-dose (0.25mg/kg) primaquine (PQ) in combination with artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) in areas of low transmission or artemisinin-resistant P. falciparum, several single-site studies have been conducted to assess its efficacy.METHODS: An individual patient meta-analysis to assess the gametocytocidal and transmission-blocking efficacy of PQ used in combination with different ACTs was conducted. Random effects logistic regression was used to quantify PQ effect on (i) gametocyte carriage in the first two weeks post-treatment; (ii) the probability of infecting at least one mosquito or of a mosquito becoming infected.RESULTS: In 2,574 participants from fourteen studies, PQ reduced PCR-determined gametocyte carriage on days 7 and 14, most apparently in patients presenting with gametocytaemia on day 0 (Odds Ratio (OR)=0.22; 95%CI 0.17-0.28 and OR=0.12; 95%CI 0.08-0.16, respectively). The rate of decline in gametocyte carriage was faster when PQ was combined with artemether-lumefantrine (AL) compared to dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) (p=0.010 for day 7). Addition of 0.25mg/kg PQ was associated with near complete prevention of transmission to mosquitoes.CONCLUSION: Primaquine's transmission-blocking effects are achieved with 0.25 mg/kg PQ. Gametocyte persistence and infectivity are lower when PQ is combined with AL compared to DP.
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