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1.
  • Brandén, Maria, et al. (author)
  • Residential context and COVID-19 mortality among adults aged 70 years and older in Stockholm : a population-based, observational study using individual-level data
  • 2020
  • In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. - : Elsevier. - 2666-7568. ; 1:2, s. e80-e88
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background Housing characteristics and neighbourhood context are considered risk factors for COVID-19 mortality among older adults. The aim of this study was to investigate how individual-level housing and neighbourhood characteristics are associated with COVID-19 mortality in older adults.Methods For this population-based, observational study, we used data from the cause-of-death register held by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare to identify recorded COVID-19 mortality and mortality from other causes among individuals (aged ≥70 years) in Stockholm county, Sweden, between March 12 and May 8, 2020. This information was linked to population-register data from December, 2019, including socioeconomic, demographic, and residential characteristics. We ran Cox proportional hazards regressions for the risk of dying from COVID-19 and from all other causes. The independent variables were area (m2) per individual in the household, the age structure of the household, type of housing, confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the borough, and neighbourhood population density. All models were adjusted for individual age, sex, country of birth, income, and education.Findings Of 279 961 individuals identified to be aged 70 years or older on March 12, 2020, and residing in Stockholm in December, 2019, 274 712 met the eligibility criteria and were included in the study population. Between March 12 and May 8, 2020, 3386 deaths occurred, of which 1301 were reported as COVID-19 deaths. In fully adjusted models, household and neighbourhood characteristics were independently associated with COVID-19 mortality among older adults. Compared with living in a household with individuals aged 66 years or older, living with someone of working age (<66 years) was associated with increased COVID-19 mortality (hazard ratio 1·6; 95% CI 1·3–2·0). Living in a care home was associated with an increased risk of COVID-19 mortality (4·1; 3·5–4·9) compared with living in independent housing. Living in neighbourhoods with the highest population density (≥5000 individuals per km2) was associated with higher COVID-19 mortality (1·7; 1·1–2·4) compared with living in the least densely populated neighbourhoods (0 to <150 individuals per km2).Interpretation Close exposure to working-age household members and neighbours is associated with increased COVID-19 mortality among older adults. Similarly, living in a care home is associated with increased mortality, potentially through exposure to visitors and care workers, but also due to poor underlying health among care-home residents. These factors should be considered when developing strategies to protect this group.
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  • Coley, Nicola, et al. (author)
  • Plasma p-tau181 as an outcome and predictor of multidomain intervention effects: a secondary analysis of a randomised, controlled, dementia prevention trial
  • 2024
  • In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 5:2
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: It is unknown whether multidomain interventions, which might preserve late-life cognition, affect Alzheimer's disease pathology. Previous studies measured cerebrospinal fluid and imaging Alzheimer's disease biomarkers in small subsamples of multidomain trial participants. Newly developed assays enable the measurement of blood-based Alzheimer's disease biomarkers in larger samples. We aimed to assess whether plasma tau phosphorylated at threonine 181 (p-tau181) was able to detect or predict 3-year multidomain intervention effects. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of the randomised, controlled, Multidomain Alzheimer Prevention Trial (MAPT) testing a 3-year multidomain intervention, omega-3 fatty acid supplementation, or both versus placebo, in individuals aged 70 years and older in 13 memory centres in France and Monaco. Plasma p-tau181 was measured in stored blood samples in a subsample of 527 participants on an intention-to-treat basis. Changes in cognitive score were calculated as a composite measure using the average of Z scores for the following tests: Mini Mental State Examination orientation items, Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test (sum of free and total recall scores), category fluency, and Digit Symbol Substitution Test. Intervention effects on 3-year change in p-tau181 concentration were estimated by use of a linear mixed model with centre-specific random intercepts. Findings: Recruitment took place between May 30, 2008, and Feb 24, 2011. Median baseline plasma p-tau181 was 8·8 pg/mL (IQR 6·7–11·9) in the total sample, and significantly higher in older individuals, men, APOE ε4 carriers, and participants with renal dysfunction or a positive PET amyloid scan. During 3-year follow-up, individuals with raised baseline p-tau181 underwent greater cognitive decline (eg, mean difference in 3-year change on the composite cognitive score between control group participants with normal and abnormal baseline levels of p-tau was −0·34 [effect size −0·52; 95% CI −0·61 to 0·07] in the fully adjusted model using a 12·4 pg/mL cutoff for abnormal baseline p-tau181), but there were no intervention effects on change in p-tau181 either in this subgroup or the total population, and no effect on cognitive change in individuals with raised baseline p-tau181 (eg, in the fully adjusted model using the 12·4 pg/mL cutoff for p-tau181 abnormality, the mean difference [95% CI] in this subgroup in 3-year decline on the composite cognitive score between the control group and the multidomain + omega-3 group, the omega-3 group, and the multidomain intervention group, was, respectively: 0·13 [−0·21 to 0·47], 0·03 [−0·30 to 0·36], and 0·10 [−0·26 to 0·46]). Surprisingly, individuals with raised baseline p-tau181 showed a decrease in p-tau181 during follow-up (eg, unadjusted mean [95% CI] 3-year change was −3·01 pg/mL (−4·45 to −1·56) in control group subjects with abnormal baseline p-tau181 [using the 12·4 pg/mL abnormal p-tau cutoff]). Interpretation: Our results support the utility of p-tau181 as a prognostic biomarker, but it did not predict or detect intervention effects in this study. Further investigation of its usefulness as a prevention trial outcome measure is required.
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  • Feng, Hongliang, et al. (author)
  • Association between accelerometer-measured amplitude of rest-activity rhythm and future health risk : a prospective cohort study of the UK Biobank
  • 2023
  • In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 4:5, s. e200-e210
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • BACKGROUND: The health effects of rest-activity rhythm are of major interest to public health, but its associations with health outcomes remain elusive. We aimed to examine the associations between accelerometer-measured rest-activity rhythm amplitude and health risks among the general UK population.METHODS: We did a prospective cohort analysis of UK Biobank participants aged 43-79 years with valid wrist-worn accelerometer data. Low rest-activity rhythm amplitude was defined as the first quintile of relative amplitude; all other quintiles were classified as high rest-activity rhythm amplitude. Outcomes of interest were defined using International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes and consisted of incident cancer and cardiovascular, infectious, respiratory, and digestive diseases, and all-cause and disease-specific (cardiovascular, cancer, and respiratory) mortality. Participants with a current diagnosis of any outcome of interest were excluded. We assessed the associations between decreased rest-activity rhythm amplitude and outcomes using Cox proportional hazards models.FINDINGS: Between June 1, 2013, and Dec 23, 2015, 103 682 participants with available raw accelerometer data were enrolled. 92 614 participants (52 219 [56·4%] women and 40 395 [42·6%] men) with a median age of 64 years (IQR 56-69) were recruited. Median follow-up was 6·4 years (IQR 5·8-6·9). Decreased rest-activity rhythm amplitude was significantly associated with increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases (adjusted hazard ratio 1·11 [95% CI 1·05-1·16]), cancer (1·08 [1·01-1·16]), infectious diseases (1·31 [1·22-1·41]), respiratory diseases (1·26 [1·19-1·34]), and digestive diseases (1·08 [1·03-1·14]), as well as all-cause mortality (1·54 [1·40-1·70]) and disease-specific mortality (1·73 [1·34-2·22] for cardiovascular diseases, 1·32 [1·13-1·55] for cancer, and 1·62 [1·25-2·09] for respiratory diseases). Most of these associations were not modified by age older than 65 years or sex. Among 16 accelerometer-measured rest-activity parameters, low rest-activity rhythm amplitude had the strongest or second- strongest associations with nine health outcomes.INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that low rest-activity rhythm amplitude might contribute to major health outcomes and provide further evidence to promote risk-modifying strategies associated with rest-activity rhythm to improve health and longevity.
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  • Haapanen, Markus J., et al. (author)
  • Early growth, stress, and socioeconomic factors as predictors of the rate of multimorbidity accumulation across the life course : a longitudinal birth cohort study
  • 2024
  • In: Lancet healthy longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 5:1, s. e56-e65
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: Early growth, stress, and socioeconomic factors are associated with future risk of individual chronic diseases. It is uncertain whether they also affect the rate of multimorbidity accumulation later in life. This study aimed to explore whether early life factors are associated with the rate at which chronic diseases are accumulated across older age.Methods: In this national birth cohort study, we studied people born at Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland between Jan 1, 1934, and Dec 31, 1944, who attended child welfare clinics in the city, and were living in Finland in 1971. Individuals who had died or emigrated from Finland before 1987 were excluded, alongside participants without any registry data and who died before the end of the registry follow-up on Dec 31, 2017. Early anthropometry, growth, wartime parental separation, and socioeconomic factors were recorded from birth, child welfare clinic, or school health-care records, and Finnish National Archives. International Classification of Diseases codes of diagnoses for chronic diseases were obtained from the Care Register for Health Care starting from 1987 (when participants were aged 42-53 years) until 2017. Linear mixed models were used to study the association between early-life factors and the rate of change in the number of chronic diseases over 10-year periods.Findings: From Jan 1, 1934, to Dec 31, 2017, 11 689 people (6064 [51 center dot 9%] men and 5625 [48 center dot 1%] women) were included in the study. Individuals born to mothers younger than 25 years (beta 0 center dot 09; 95% CI 0 center dot 06-0 center dot 12), mothers with a BMI of 25-30 kg/m2 (0 center dot 08; 0 center dot 05-0 center dot 10), and mothers with a BMI more than 30 kg/m2 (0 center dot 26; 0 center dot 21-0 center dot 31) in late pregnancy accumulated chronic diseases faster than those born to older mothers (25-30 years) and those with a BMI of less than 25 kg/m2. Individuals with a birthweight less than 2 center dot 5 kg (0 center dot 17; 0 center dot 10-0 center dot 25) and those with a rapid growth in height and weight from birth until age 11 years accumulated chronic diseases faster during their life course. Additionally, paternal occupational class (manual workers vs upper-middle class 0 center dot 27; 0 center dot 23-0 center dot 30) and wartime parental separation (0 center dot 24; 0 center dot 19-0 center dot 29 for boys; 0 center dot 31; 0 center dot 25-0 center dot 36 for girls) were associated with a faster rate of chronic disease accumulation. Interpretation Our findings suggest that the foundation for accumulating chronic diseases is established early in life. Early interventions might be needed for vulnerable populations, including war evacuee children and children with lower socioeconomic status.
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  • Huynh, Jenny, et al. (author)
  • Sex and age differences in the incidence of acute myocardial infarction during the COVID-19 pandemic in a Swedish health-care region without lockdown : a retrospective cohort study
  • 2021
  • In: Lancet Healthy Longevity. - : Elsevier. - 2666-7568. ; 2:5, s. E283-E289
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background The incidence of acute myocardial infarction has decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, but sex and age differences in this change in incidence have not been tested. Thus, we aimed to compare the incidence of acute myocardial infarction in a health-care region in Sweden during the COVID-19 pandemic with previous years and to evaluate sex and age differences. Methods We did a retrospective, observational cohort study using data from a national registry of patients admitted to coronary care units in Sweden. All patients admitted to one of three hospitals in Region Jonkoping County with a diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction during the COVID-19 pandemic (March 1 to July 31, 2020) or reference period (March 1 to July 31, 2017-19) were included. The incidence of acute myocardial infarction (ST-elevation and non-ST-elevation) was calculated for both study periods. Participants were grouped according to sex and age (<70 years vs >= 70 years). The incidence and the incidence rate ratio (IRR) between the two study periods was calculated for each group and compared between groups using the Breslow-Day test. Findings The study included 1088 participants, 846 who were admitted for acute myocardial infarction during the reference period and 242 who were admitted during the COVID-19 pandemic period. The IRR of acute myocardial infarction for the COVID-19 period compared with the reference period was 0.85 (95% CI 0.73-0.98). The IRR for acute myocardial infarction was significantly lower among women aged 70 years or older (0.56 [0.40-0.78]) than among men aged 70 years or older (0.97 [0.77-1.23]; p=0.0074). Interpretation The incidence of acute myocardial infarction decreased predominantly among women aged 70 years or older during the COVID-19 pandemic. This highlights potential sex differences in health effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, which should be further elucidated. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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  • Janeva, Slavica, et al. (author)
  • Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival in women aged 70 years and older with triple-negative breast cancer: a Swedish population-based propensity score-matched analysis
  • 2020
  • In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 1:3
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive form of breast cancer associated with poor survival, in which adjuvant systemic treatments are limited to chemotherapy. Due to competing mortality risks and comorbidities, older patients with TNBC are often undertreated with adjuvant chemotherapy, and clinical trials on this problem are scarce, despite a growing patient population. This study aimed to assess outcomes for patients aged 70 years and older with TNBC with or without chemotherapy in a national population-based registry, to provide information that can assist in treatment decisions for these patients. Methods: In this population-based registry study, data on all patients aged 70 years and older diagnosed with primary early TNBC (larger than 5 mm in diameter and without distant metastasis) and surgically treated between Jan 1, 2009, and Dec 31, 2016, were retrieved from the Swedish National Breast Cancer Register, the Swedish Patient Register, and the Swedish Cause of Death Register. Patients with incomplete data (on oestrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status, surgical procedure in the breast, or information about chemotherapy) were excluded. A propensity score-matched (PSM) model was used to examine the outcomes of adjuvant chemotherapy on 5-year breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and 5-year overall survival (OS), adjusted for age, tumour size, tumour grade, nodal status, and comorbidities. Findings: Of 1130 women eligible for analysis, 368 (32·6%) received adjuvant chemotherapy, 45 (4·0%) received neoadjuvant treatment, and 717 (63·5%) did not receive chemotherapy. 5-year BCSS was significantly improved in patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy (85% [95% CI 81–89]) compared with patients who did not receive chemotherapy (68% [64–72]; p<0·0001). A similar benefit was observed in 5-year OS (79% [95% CI 75–84] vs 49% [45–53]; p<0·0001). In our PSM analysis, 5-year BCSS in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy was 83% (95% CI 78–89), versus 73% (67–80; p=0·014) in patients not treated with chemotherapy. 5-year OS in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy was 75% (95% CI 69–82), versus 63% (57–71; p=0·029) in patients who did not receive chemotherapy. Interpretation: In this PSM registry analysis of surgically treated female patients aged 70 years and older with TNBC without distant metastasis, we identified a significant benefit both in 5-year BCSS and 5-year OS with adjuvant chemotherapy versus no chemotherapy, which persisted when adjusting for age and comorbidities. These results underline the importance of considering adjuvant chemotherapy in older patients. Funding: Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, Assar Gabrielsson Foundation.
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  • Krogseth, M., et al. (author)
  • Delirium, neurofilament light chain, and progressive cognitive impairment: analysis of a prospective Norwegian population-based cohort
  • 2023
  • In: Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 4:8
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background Previous population-based, longitudinal studies have shown that delirium is associated with an increased risk of dementia and cognitive decline. However, the underlying biological mechanisms are largely unknown. We aimed to assess the effects of delirium on both cognitive trajectories and any neuronal injury, measured via neurofilament light chain (NfL). Methods In this analysis of a prospective, 2-year follow-up, cohort study of participants aged 65 years or older living in Sandefjord municipality, Norway, we included cohort participants who were receiving domiciliary care services at least once per week between May 12, 2015, and July 8, 2016. Individuals with a life expectancy of less than 1 week, with Lewy body dementia, with psychiatric illness (except dementia), or for whom substance misuse was the principal indication for domiciliary services were excluded. Participants had a comprehensive assessment at 6-month intervals for 2 years, which included the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and a blood sample for NfL to measure neuronal injury. All information on clinical diagnoses and medications were cross-referenced with medical records. During any acute change in mental status or hospitalisation (ie, admission to hospital), participants were assessed once per day for delirium with Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fifth edition criteria. We also measured NfL from blood samples taken from participants who were acutely hospitalised. Findings Between May 12, 2015, and July 8, 2016, 210 participants were eligible for inclusion and assessed at baseline (138 [66%] of whom were female and 72 [34%] of whom were male), 203 completed cognitive assessment, and 141 were followed up for 2 years. 160 (76%) of 210 had moderate or severe frailty and 112 (53%) were living with dementia. During the 2-year follow-up, 89 (42%) of 210 participants were diagnosed with one or more episodes of delirium. Incident delirium was independently associated with a decrease in MoCA score at the next 6-month follow-up, even after adjustment for age, sex, education, previous MoCA score, and frailty (adjusted mean difference -1.5, 95% CI -2.9 to -0.1). We found an interaction between previous MoCA score and delirium (beta -0.254, 95% CI -0.441 to -0.066, p=0.010), with the largest decline being observed in people with better baseline cognition. Participants with delirium and good previous cognitive function and participants with a high peak concentration of NfL during any hospitalisation had increased NfL at the next 6-month follow-up. Mediation analyses showed independent pathways from previous MoCA score to follow-up MoCA score with contributions from incident delirium (-1.7, 95% CI -2.8 to -0.6) and from previous NfL to follow-up MoCA score with contributions from acute NfL concentrations (-1.8, -2.5 to -1.1). Delirium was directly linked with a predicted value of 1.2 pg/mL (95% CI 1.02 to 1.40, p=0.029) increase in NfL. Interpretation In people aged 65 years or older, an episode of delirium was associated with a decline in MoCA score. Greater neuronal injury during acute illness and delirium, measured by NfL, was associated with greater cognitive decline. For clinicians, our finding of delirium associated with both signs of acute neuronal injury, measured via NfL, and cognitive decline is important regarding the risk of long-term cognitive deterioration and to acknowledge that delirium is harmful for the brain. Copyright (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.
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  • Liu, Shengxin, et al. (author)
  • Age-related physical health of older autistic adults in Sweden : a longitudinal, retrospective, population-based cohort study
  • 2023
  • In: The lancet. Healthy longevity. - : Elsevier. - 2666-7568. ; 4:7, s. e307-e315
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • BACKGROUND: Research of health outcomes in older autistic adults (≥45 years) is concerningly scarce, and little is known about whether intellectual disability and sex affect the health outcomes of this population. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between autism and physical health conditions in older adults and to examine these associations by intellectual disability and sex.METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal, retrospective, population-based cohort study of the Swedish population born between Jan 1, 1932, and Dec 31, 1967, using linked data from the nationwide Total Population Register and the National Patient Register. We excluded individuals who died or emigrated before the age of 45 years, or with any chromosomal abnormalities. Follow-up started at age 45 years for all individuals, and ended at emigration, death, or Dec 31, 2013 (the latest date of available follow-up), whichever was soonest. Diagnoses of autism, intellectual disability, 39 age-related physical conditions, and five types of injury (outcomes) were obtained from the National Patient Register. For each outcome, we calculated 25-year cumulative incidence and used Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). All analyses were repeated separately by intellectual disability and sex.FINDINGS: Of 4 200 887 older adults (2 063 718 women [49·1%] and 2 137 169 men [50·9%]) in the study cohort, 5291 (0·1%) had a diagnosis of autism recorded in the National Patient Register. Older autistic adults (median follow-up 8·4 years [IQR 4·2-14·6]) had higher cumulative incidence and HRs of various physical conditions and injuries than their non-autistic counterparts (median follow-up 16·4 years [8·2-24·4]). In autistic individuals, the highest cumulative incidence was observed for bodily injuries (50·0% [95% CI 47·6-52·4]). Conditions that autistic adults were at higher risk of than were non-autistic adults included heart failure (HR 1·89 [95% CI 1·61-2·22]), cystitis (2·03 [1·66-2·49]), glucose dysregulation (2·96 [2·04-4·29]), iron deficiency anaemia (3·12 [2·65-3·68]), poisoning (4·63 [4·13-5·18]), and self-harm (7·08 [6·24-8·03]). These increased risks mainly persisted regardless of intellectual disability or sex.INTERPRETATION: Our data indicate that older autistic adults are at substantially increased risk of age-related physical conditions and injuries compared with non-autistic adults. These findings highlight the need for collaborative efforts from researchers, health services, and policy makers to provide older autistic individuals with the necessary support to attain healthy longevity and a high quality of life.
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  • Lopez-Jaramillo, P., et al. (author)
  • Association of the triglyceride glucose index as a measure of insulin resistance with mortality and cardiovascular disease in populations from five continents (PURE study): a prospective cohort study
  • 2023
  • In: Lancet Healthy Longevity. - : Elsevier BV. - 2666-7568. ; 4:1
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is an easily accessible surrogate marker of insulin resistance, an important pathway in the development of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. However, the association of the TyG index with cardiovascular diseases and mortality has mainly been investigated in Asia, with few data available from other regions of the world. We assessed the association of insulin resistance (as determined by the TyG index) with mortality and cardiovascular diseases in individuals from five continents at different levels of economic development, living in urban or rural areas. We also examined whether the associations differed according to the country's economical development. Methods We used the TyG index as a surrogate measure for insulin resistance. Fasting triglycerides and fasting plasma glucose were measured at the baseline visit in 141 243 individuals aged 35-70 years from 22 countries in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study. The TyG index was calculated as Ln (fasting triglycerides [mg/dL] x fasting plasma glucose [mg/dL]/2). We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) using a multivariable Cox frailty model with random effects to test the associations between the TyG index and risk of cardiovascular diseases and mortality. The primary outcome of this analysis was the composite of mortality or major cardiovascular events (defined as death from cardiovascular causes, and non-fatal myocardial infarction, or stroke). Secondary outcomes were non-cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular mortality, all myocardial infarctions, stroke, and incident diabetes. We also did subgroup analyses to examine the magnitude of associations between insulin resistance (ie, the TyG index) and outcome events according to the income level of the countries. Findings During a median follow-up of 13 center dot 2 years (IQR 11 center dot 9-14 center dot 6), we recorded 6345 composite cardiovascular diseases events, 2030 cardiovascular deaths, 3038 cases of myocardial infarction, 3291 cases of stroke, and 5191 incident cases of type 2 diabetes. After adjusting for all other variables, the risk of developing cardiovascular diseases increased across tertiles of the baseline TyG index. Compared with the lowest tertile of the TyG index, the highest tertile (tertile 3) was associated with a greater incidence of the composite outcome (HR 1 center dot 21; 95% CI 1 center dot 13-1 center dot 30), myocardial infarction (1 center dot 24; 1 center dot 12-1 center dot 38), stroke (1 center dot 16; 1 center dot 05-1 center dot 28), and incident type 2 diabetes (1 center dot 99; 1 center dot 82-2 center dot 16). No significant association of the TyG index was seen with non-cardiovascular mortality. In low-income countries (LICs) and middle-income countries (MICs), the highest tertile of the TyG index was associated with increased hazards for the composite outcome (LICs: HR 1 center dot 31; 95% CI 1 center dot 12-1 center dot 54; MICs: 1 center dot 20; 1 center dot 11-1 center dot 31; p(interaction)=0 center dot 01), cardiovascular mortality (LICs: 1 center dot 44; 1 center dot 15-1 center dot 80; p(interaction)=0 center dot 01), myocardial infarction (LICs: 1 center dot 29; 1 center dot 06-1 center dot 56; MICs: 1 center dot 26; 1 center dot 10-1 center dot 45; p(interaction)=0 center dot 08), stroke (LICs: 1 center dot 35; 1 center dot 02-1 center dot 78; MICs: 1 center dot 17; 1 center dot 05-1 center dot 30; p interaction=0 center dot 19), and incident diabetes (LICs: 1 center dot 64; 1 center dot 38-1 center dot 94; MICs: 2 center dot 68; 2 center dot 40-2 center dot 99; p(interaction) <0 center dot 0001). In contrast, in high-income countries, higher TyG index tertiles were only associated with an increased hazard of incident diabetes (2 center dot 95; 2 center dot 25-3 center dot 87; p(interaction)<0 center dot 0001), but not of cardiovascular diseases or mortality. Interpretation The TyG index is significantly associated with future cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, and type 2 diabetes, suggesting that insulin resistance plays a promoting role in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular and metabolic diseases. Potentially, the association between the TyG index and the higher risk of cardiovascular diseases and type 2 diabetes in LICs and MICs might be explained by an increased vulnerability of these populations to the presence of insulin resistance. Copyright (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.
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  • Samtani, S., et al. (author)
  • Associations between social connections and cognition: a global collaborative individual participant data meta-analysis
  • 2022
  • In: The Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 3:11
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: Poor social connections (eg, small networks, infrequent interactions, and loneliness) are modifiable risk factors for cognitive decline. Existing meta-analyses are limited by reporting aggregate responses, a focus on global cognition, and combining social measures into single constructs. We aimed to investigate the association between social connection markers and the rate of annual change in cognition (ie, global and domain-specific), as well as sex differences, using an individual participant data meta-analysis. Methods: We harmonised data from 13 longitudinal cohort studies of ageing in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. Studies were eligible for inclusion if they had baseline data for social connection markers and at least two waves of cognitive scores. Follow-up periods ranged from 0 years to 15 years across cohorts. We included participants with cognitive data for at least two waves and social connection data for at least one wave. We then identified and excluded people with dementia at baseline. Primary outcomes were annual rates of change in global cognition and cognitive domain scores over time until final follow-up within each cohort study analysed by use of an individual participant data meta-analysis. Linear mixed models within cohorts used baseline social connection markers as predictors of the primary outcomes. Effects were pooled in two stages using random-effects meta-analyses. We assessed the primary outcomes in the main (partially adjusted) and fully adjusted models. Partially adjusted models controlled for age, sex, and education; fully adjusted models additionally controlled for diabetes, hypertension, smoking, cardiovascular risk, and depression. Findings: Of the 40 006 participants in the 13 cohort studies, we excluded 1392 people with dementia at baseline. 38 614 individual participants were included in our analyses. For the main models, being in a relationship or married predicted slower global cognitive decline (b=0·010, 95% CI 0·000–0·019) than did being single or never married; living with others predicted slower global cognitive (b=0·007, 0·002–0·012), memory (b=0·017, 0·006–0·028), and language (b=0·008, 0·000–0·015) decline than did living alone; and weekly interactions with family and friends (b=0·016, 0·006–0·026) and weekly community group engagement (b=0·030, 0·007–0·052) predicted slower memory decline than did no interactions and no engagement. Never feeling lonely predicted slower global cognitive (b=0·047, 95% CI 0·018–0·075) and executive function (b=0·047, 0·017–0·077) decline than did often feeling lonely. Degree of social support, having a confidante, and relationship satisfaction did not predict cognitive decline across global cognition or cognitive domains. Heterogeneity was low (I2=0·00–15·11%) for all but two of the significant findings (association between slower memory decline and living with others [I2=58·33%] and community group engagement, I2=37·54–72·19%), suggesting robust results across studies. Interpretation: Good social connections (ie, living with others, weekly community group engagement, interacting weekly with family and friends, and never feeling lonely) are associated with slower cognitive decline.
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  • Tristao-Pereira, C., et al. (author)
  • Longitudinal interplay between subclinical atherosclerosis, cardiovascular risk factors, and cerebral glucose metabolism in midlife: results from the PESA prospective cohort study
  • 2023
  • In: Lancet Healthy Longevity. - 2666-7568. ; 4:9
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background Cardiovascular disease and dementia often coexist at advanced stages. Yet, longitudinal studies examining the interplay between atherosclerosis and its risk factors on brain health in midlife are scarce. We aimed to characterise the longitudinal associations between cerebral glucose metabolism, subclinical atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular risk factors in middle-aged asymptomatic individuals. Methods The Progression of Early Subclinical Atherosclerosis (PESA) study is a Spanish longitudinal observational cohort study of 4184 asymptomatic individuals aged 40-54 years (NCT01410318). Participants with subclinical atherosclerosis underwent longitudinal cerebral [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F]FDG)-PET, and annual percentage change in [18F]FDG uptake was assessed (primary outcome). Cardiovascular risk was quantified with SCORE2 and subclinical atherosclerosis with three-dimensional vascular ultrasound (exposures). Multivariate regression and linear mixed effects models were used to assess associations between outcomes and exposures. Additionally, blood based biomarkers of neuropathology were quantified and mediation analyses were performed. Secondary analyses were corrected for multiple comparisons using the false discovery rate (FDR) approach. Findings This longitudinal study included a PESA subcohort of 370 participants (median age at baseline 49 & BULL;8 years [IQR 46 & BULL;1-52 & BULL;2]; 309 [84%] men, 61 [16%] women; median follow-up 4 & BULL;7 years [IQR 4 & BULL;2-5 & BULL;2]). Baseline scans took place between March 6, 2013, and Jan 21, 2015, and follow-up scans between Nov 24, 2017, and Aug 7, 2019. Persistent high risk of cardiovascular disease was associated with an accelerated decline of cortical [18F]FDG uptake compared with low risk (& beta;=-0 & BULL;008 [95% CI -0 & BULL;013 to -0 & BULL;002]; pFDR=0 & BULL;040), with plasma neurofilament light chain, a marker of neurodegeneration, mediating this association by 20% (& beta;=0 & BULL;198 [0 & BULL;008 to 0 & BULL;740]; pFDR=0 & BULL;050). Moreover, progression of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis was associated with an additional decline in [18F]FDG uptake in Alzheimer's disease brain regions, not explained by cardiovascular risk (& beta;=-0 & BULL;269 [95% CI -0 & BULL;509 to -0 & BULL;027]; p=0 & BULL;029). Interpretation Middle-aged asymptomatic individuals with persistent high risk of cardiovascular disease and subclinical carotid atherosclerosis already present brain metabolic decline, suggesting that maintenance of cardiovascular health during midlife could contribute to reductions in neurodegenerative disease burden later in life.
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