| 1. |
- Abedini, Sadollah, et al.
(author)
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Asymmetrical dimethylarginine is associated with renal and cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality in renal transplant recipients
- 2010
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In: Kidney International. - : Elsevier BV. - 0085-2538 .- 1523-1755. ; 77:1, s. 44-50
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Increased plasma levels of asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) are associated with endothelial dysfunction and predict the progression to dialysis and death in patients with chronic kidney disease. The effects of these increased ADMA levels in renal transplant recipients, however, are unknown. We used the data from ALERT, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of the effect of fluvastatin on cardiovascular and renal outcomes in 2102 renal transplant recipients with stable graft function on enrollment. Patients who were initially randomized to fluvastatin or placebo in the 5- to 6-year trial were offered open-label fluvastatin in a 2-year extension of the original study. After adjustment for baseline values for established factors in this post hoc analysis, ADMA was found to be a significant risk factor for graft failure or doubling of serum creatinine (hazard ratio 2.78), major cardiac events (hazard ratio 2.61), cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio 6.63), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 4.87). In this trial extension, the number of end points increased with increasing quartiles of plasma ADMA levels. All end points were significantly increased in the fourth compared to the first quartile. Our study shows that elevated plasma levels of ADMA are associated with increased morbidity, mortality, and the deterioration of graft function in renal transplant recipients.
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| 2. |
- Abedini, Sadollah, et al.
(author)
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Cerebrovascular events in renal transplant recipients
- 2009
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In: Transplantation. - 0041-1337 .- 1534-6080. ; 87:1, s. 112-7
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: The incidence of stroke and risk factors for different subtypes of cerebrovascular (CBV) events in renal transplant recipients have not been examined in any large prospective controlled trial. METHODS: The Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplantation was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of the effect of fluvastatin (40-80 mg) daily on cardiovascular, and renal outcomes in renal transplant recipients. Patients initially randomized to fluvastatin or placebo in the 5 to 6 year trial was offered open-label fluvastatin in a 2-year extension to the original study. We investigated the incidence of stroke and risk factors for ischemic and hemorrhagic CBV events in 2102 renal graft recipients participating in the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplantation core and extension trial with a mean follow-up of 6.7 years. RESULTS: The incidence and type of CBV events did not differ between the lipid lowering arm and the placebo arm. A total of 184 (8.8%, 95% confidence interval 4.6-12.9) of 2102 patients experienced a CBV event during follow-up, corresponding to an incidence of 1.3% CBV event per year. The mortality for patients experiencing a hemorrhagic stroke was 48% (13 of 27), whereas the mortality for ischemic strokes was 6.0% (8 of 133). Diabetes mellitus, previous CBV event, age, and serum creatinine were independent risk factors for cerebral ischemic events. The risk of a hemorrhagic cerebral event was increased by diabetes mellitus, polycystic kidney disease, left ventricular hypertrophy, and systolic blood pressure. INTERPRETATION: Risk factors for CBV events in renal transplant recipients differ according to subtype.
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| 3. |
- Abedini, Sadollah, et al.
(author)
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Inflammation in renal transplantation
- 2009
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In: Journal of the American Society of Nephrology. - 1046-6673 .- 1533-3450. ; 4:7, s. 1246-1254
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Renal transplant recipients experience premature cardiovascular disease and death. The association of inflammation, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular events in renal transplant recipients has not been examined in a large prospective controlled trial. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: ALERT was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of the effect of fluvastatin on cardiovascular and renal outcomes in 2102 renal transplant recipients. Patients initially randomized to fluvastatin or placebo in the 5- to 6-yr trial were offered open-label fluvastatin in a 2-yr extension to the original study. The association between inflammation markers, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and IL-6 on cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality was investigated. RESULTS: The baseline IL-6 value was 2.9 +/- 1.9 pg/ml (n = 1751) and that of hsCRP was 3.8 +/- 6.7 mg/L (n = 1910). After adjustment for baseline values for established risk factors, the hazard ratios for a major cardiac event and all-cause mortality for IL-6 were 1.08 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01 to 1.15, P = 0.018] and 1.11 (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.18, P < 0.001), respectively. The adjusted hazard ratio for hsCRP for a cardiovascular event was 1.10 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.20, P = 0.027) and for all-cause mortality was 1.15 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.1.25, P = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: The inflammation markers IL-6 and hsCRP are independently associated with major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in renal transplant recipients.
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| 4. |
- Bugge, Anna, et al.
(author)
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Effects of a 3-year intervention: The Copenhagen School Child Intervention Study.
- 2012
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In: Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise. - 1530-0315. ; 44:7, s. 1310-1317
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- INTRODUCTION: This study assessed short and long term effects of a 3-year controlled school-based physical activity (PA) intervention on fatness, cardiorespiratory fitness (VO2peak) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in children. METHODS: The study involved 18 schools (10 intervention and 8 controls) and included a follow-up 4 years after the end of intervention. The analyses included 696, 6-7 yrs old children at baseline, 612 at post-intervention (age 9.5 yrs) and 441 at follow-up (age 13.4 yrs). The intervention consisted of a doubling of the amount of physical education (from 90 to 180 min/week), training of PE-teachers, and upgrading of physical education and playing facilities. Anthropometrics and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were measured. VO2peak was directly measured and PA assessed using accelerometry. Fasting blood samples were analyzed for CVD risk factors. A composite risk score was computed from z-scores of SBP, triglycerides, ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoproteins cholesterol, homeostatic model assessment (HOMA-score), skinfolds, and inverse VO2peak. RESULTS: The HOMA-score of intervention group boys had a smaller increase from baseline to post-intervention compared to control boys (p = 0.004). From baseline to follow-up intervention group boys had a smaller increase in SBP compared to control boys (p=0.010). There were no other significant differences between groups. CONCLUSION: This 3-years school-based PA intervention caused positive changes in SBP and HOMA-score in boys, but not in PA, VO2peak, fatness and the other measured CVD risk factors. Our results indicate that a doubling of physical education and providing training and equipment may not be sufficient to induce mayor improvements in CVD risk factors in a normal population.
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| 5. |
- Dahle, Dag Olav, et al.
(author)
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Inflammation-associated graft loss in renal transplant recipients
- 2011
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In: Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1460-2385 .- 0931-0509. ; 26:11, s. 3756-3761
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background. Although short-term graft survival has improved substantially in renal transplant recipients, long-term graft survival has not improved over the last decades. The lack of knowledge of specific causes and risk factors has hampered improvements in long-term allograft survival. There is an uncertainty if inflammation is associated with late graft loss. Methods. We examined, in a large prospective trial, the inflammation markers high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) and their association with chronic graft dysfunction. We collected data from the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplant trial, which recruited 2102 maintenance renal transplant recipients. Results. Baseline values were hsCRP 3.8 +/- 6.7 mg/L and IL-6 2.9 +/- 1.9 pg/mL. Adjusted for traditional risk factors, hsCRP and IL-6 were independently associated with death-censored graft loss, the composite end points graft loss or death and doubling of serum creatinine, graft loss or death. Conclusion. The inflammation markers hsCRP and IL-6 are associated with long-term graft outcomes in renal transplant recipients.
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| 6. |
- Dahle, Dag Olav, et al.
(author)
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Uric acid and clinical correlates of endothelial function in kidney transplant recipients
- 2014
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In: Clinical Transplantation. - : Wiley. - 0902-0063 .- 1399-0012. ; 28:10, s. 1167-1176
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Uric acid is associated with increased mortality in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), but it is uncertain if this involves endothelial dysfunction. We hypothesized, first, that there was an association between uric acid and endothelial function, and second, that there were associations between endothelial function and cardiac and mortality risk scores.METHODS: One hundred and fifty-two patients were examined 10 wk after kidney transplantation by two measures of endothelial function, the brachial artery flow-mediated dilatation (FMD) expressed as percent dilatation (FMD%), and fingertip peripheral arterial tone (PAT) expressed as log-reactive hyperemia index (LnRHI). Risk scores were calculated from a recently validated formula. Other clinical correlates of endothelial function were described in stepwise linear regression models.RESULTS: Uric acid was associated negatively with FMD% in an age- and gender-adjusted model, while not in the multivariable model. No association was shown between uric acid and LnRHI. FMD% was associated negatively with risk scores in both crude and age- and gender-adjusted models (p < 0.01). LnRHI was associated negatively with risk scores in the latter model only (p < 0.05).CONCLUSIONS: Uric acid was neither associated with FMD% nor LnRHI in KTRs. There were significant associations between endothelial function indices and cardiac and mortality risk scores.
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| 7. |
- Faergeman, Ole, et al.
(author)
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Plasma Triglycerides and Cardiovascular Events in the Treating to New Targets and Incremental Decrease in End-Points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering Trials of Statins in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease
- 2009
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In: AMERICAN JOURNAL OF CARDIOLOGY. - : Elsevier BV. - 0002-9149. ; 104:4, s. 459-463
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- We determined the ability of in-trial measurements of triglycerides (TGs) to predict new cardiovascular events (CVEs) using data from the Incremental Decrease in End Points through Aggressive Lipid Lowering (IDEAL) and Treating to New Targets (TNT) trials. The trials compared atorvastatin 80 mg/day with moderate-dose statin therapy (simvastatin 20 to 40 mg/day in IDEAL and atorvastatin 10 mg/day in TNT) in patients with clinically evident coronary heart disease or a history of myocardial infarction. The outcome measurement in the present research was CVE occurring after the first year of the trial. After adjusting for age, gender, and study, risk of CVEs increased with increasing TGs (p andlt;0.001 for trend across quintiles of TGs). Patients in the highest quintile had a 63% higher rate of CVEs than patients in the lowest quintile (hazard ratio 1.63, 95% confidence interval 1.46 to 1.81) and the relation of TGs to risk was apparent even within the normal range of TGs. The ability of TG measurements to predict risk decreased when high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and apolipoprotein B:apolipoprotein A-I were included in the statistical analysis, and it was abolished with inclusion of further variables (diabetes, body mass index, glucose, hypertension, and smoking; (p = 0.044 and 0.621, respectively, for trend across quintiles of TGs). Similar results were obtained in patients in whom low-density lipoprotein cholesterol had been lowered to guideline-recommended levels. In conclusion, even slightly increased TG levels are associated with higher risk of recurrence of CVEs in statin-treated patients and should be considered a useful marker of risk.
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| 8. |
- Fellström, Bengt, et al.
(author)
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Effect of fluvastatin on renal end points in the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplant (ALERT) trial
- 2004
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In: Kidney International. - : Elsevier BV. - 0085-2538 .- 1523-1755. ; 66:4, s. 1549-1555
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Hyperlipidemia is a risk factor for long-term renal transplant dysfunction, but no prospective clinical trials have investigated the effects of statin treatment on graft function in renal transplant recipients. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the effect of fluvastatin on long-term renal transplant function and development of chronic allograft nephropathy in the ALERT (Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplantation) study. METHODS: ALERT was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of the effect of fluvastatin, 40 mg and 80 mg daily, in renal transplant recipients. Patients were randomized to receive either fluvastatin (N= 1050) or placebo (N= 1052) and followed for five to six years. Renal end points included graft loss or doubling of serum creatinine or death; glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was also measured during follow-up in a subset of patients (N= 439). RESULTS: There were 283 patients (13.5%) with graft loss, mainly due to chronic rejection (82%), yielding an annual rate of 2.4%. Fluvastatin treatment significantly lowered mean low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol levels by 32% (95% CI -33 to -30) compared with placebo, but had no significant effect on the incidence of renal graft loss or doubling of serum creatinine, or decline in GFR throughout follow-up in the whole study population. Neither was any treatment effect by fluvastatin found in any of the subgroups analyzed. CONCLUSION: Fluvastatin treatment significantly improves lipid values in renal transplant recipients but has no effect on graft loss or doubling of serum creatinine.
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| 9. |
- Gerdts, Eva, et al.
(author)
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Impact of baseline severity of aortic valve stenosis on effect of intensive lipid lowering therapy (from the SEAS study)
- 2010
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In: American Journal of Cardiology. - : Elsevier. - 0002-9149 .- 1879-1913. ; 106:11, s. 1634-1639
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Retrospective studies have suggested a beneficial effect of lipid-lowering treatment on the progression of aortic stenosis (AS) in milder stages of the disease. In the randomized, placebo-controlled Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis (SEAS) study, 4.3 years of combined treatment with simvastatin 40 mg and ezetimibe 10 mg did not reduce aortic valve events (AVEs), while ischemic cardiovascular events (ICEs) were significantly reduced in the overall study population. However, the impact of baseline AS severity on treatment effect has not been reported. Baseline and outcomes data in 1,763 SEAS patients (mean age 67 years, 39% women) were used. The study population was divided into tertiles of baseline peak aortic jet velocity (tertile 1: <= 2.8 m/s; tertile 2: >2.8 to 3.3 m/s; tertile 3: >3.3 m/s). Treatment effect and interaction were tested in Cox regression analyses. The rates of AVEs and ICEs increased with increasing baseline severity of AS. In Cox regression analyses, higher baseline peak aortic jet velocity predicted higher rates of AVEs and ICEs in all tertiles (all p values <0.05) and in the total study population (p <0.001). Simvastatin-ezetimibe treatment was not associated with a statistically significant reduction in AVEs in any individual tertile. A significant quantitative interaction between the severity of AS and simvastatin-ezetimibe treatment effect was demonstrated for ICEs (p <0.05) but not for AVEs (p = 0.10). In conclusion, the SEAS study results demonstrate a strong relation between baseline the severity of AS and the rate of cardiovascular events but no significant effect of lipid-lowering treatment on AVEs, even in the group with the mildest AS.
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| 10. |
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| 11. |
- Hasvold, Pal, et al.
(author)
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Association Between Paradoxical HDL Cholesterol Decrease and Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients Initiated on Statin Treatment in a Primary Care Setting
- 2016
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In: Clinical drug investigation. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1173-2563 .- 1179-1918. ; 36:3, s. 225-233
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background and Objectives Statin-induced changes in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) are unrelated. Many patients initiated on statins experience a paradoxical decrease in HDL-C. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between a decrease in HDL-C and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods Data from 15,357 primary care patients initiated on statins during 2004-2009 were linked with data from mandatory national hospital, drug-dispensing, and cause-of-death registers, and were grouped according to HDL-C change: decreased >= 0.1 mmol/L, unchanged +/- 0.1 or >= 0.1 mmol/L increased. To evaluate the association between decrease in HDL-C and risk of MACE, a sample of propensity score-matched patients from the decreased and unchanged groups was created, using the latter group as reference. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, ischaemic stroke, or cardiovascular mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative risks. Results HDL-C decreased in 20 %, was unchanged in 58%, and increased in 22 % of patients initiated on statin treatment (96 % treated with simvastatin). The propensity score-matched sample comprised 5950 patients with mean baseline HDL-C and LDL-C of 1.69 and 4.53 mmol/L, respectively. HDL-C decrease was associated with 56 % higher MACE risk (hazard ratio 1.56; 95 % confidence interval 1.12-2.16; p < 0.01) compared with the unchanged HDL-C group. Conclusions Paradoxical statin-induced reduction in HDL-C was relatively common and was associated with increased risk of MACE.
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| 12. |
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| 13. |
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| 14. |
- Holdaas, Hallvard, et al.
(author)
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Rosuvastatin in Diabetic Hemodialysis Patients
- 2011
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In: Journal of the American Society of Nephrology. - 1046-6673 .- 1533-3450. ; 22:7, s. 1335-1341
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- A randomized, placebo-controlled trial in diabetic patients receiving hemodialysis showed no effect of atorvastatin on a composite cardiovascular endpoint, but analysis of the component cardiac endpoints suggested that atorvastatin may significantly reduce risk. Because the AURORA (A Study to Evaluate the Use of Rosuvastatin in Subjects on Regular Hemodialysis: An Assessment of Survival and Cardiovascular Events) trial included patients with and without diabetes, we conducted a post hoc analysis to determine whether rosuvastatin might reduce the risk of cardiac events in diabetic patients receiving hemodialysis. Among the 7:31 participants with diabetes, traditional risk factors such as LDL-C, smoking, and BP did not associate with cardiac events (cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction). At baseline, only age and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were independent risk factors for cardiac events. Assignment to rosuvastatin associated with a nonsignificant 16.2% reduction in risk for the AURORA trial's composite primary endpoint of cardiac death, nonfatal MI, or fatal or nonfatal stroke (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.65 to 1.07). There was no difference in overall stroke, but the rosuvastatin group had more hemorrhagic strokes than the placebo group (12 versus two strokes, respectively; HR, 5.21; 95% CI 1.17 to 23.27). Rosuvastatin treatment significantly reduced the rates of cardiac events by 32% among patients with diabetes (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.90). In conclusion, among hemodialysis patients with diabetes mellitus, rosuvastatin might reduce the risk of fatal and nonfatal cardiac events.
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| 15. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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A risk score for predicting mortality in patients with asymptomatic mild to moderate aortic stenosis
- 2012
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In: Heart. - : BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Cardiovascular Society. - 1355-6037 .- 1468-201X. ; 98:5, s. 377-383
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background Prognostic information for asymptomatic patients with aortic stenosis (AS) from prospective studies is scarce and there is no risk score available to assess mortality. Objectives To develop an easily calculable score, from which clinicians could stratify patients into high and lower risk of mortality, using data from the Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis (SEAS) study. Method A search for significant prognostic factors (p < 0.01) among SEAS patients was made by a combined judgemental and statistical elimination procedure to derive a set of three factors (age, gender and smoking) that were forced into the model, and four additional factors captured by the data: left-ventricular mass index, bilirubin, heart rate and natural logarithm of C reactive protein. Calibration was done by comparing observed with calculated number of deaths by tenths of calculated risk using coefficients from the simvastatin + ezetimibe group on placebo group patients. Results Discrimination was good with ROC area of 0.76 for all patients. Estimated probabilities of death were categorised into thirds. An optimised split point of estimated 5-year risk was about 15% (close to the upper 14% tertile split point), with risk 4 times as high in the upper compared to the two lower thirds. The SEAS score performed better than another established high risk score developed for other purposes. Conclusion A new seven factor model for risk stratification of patients with mild to moderate asymptomatic AS identified a high risk group for total mortality with good discrimination properties. Trial registration number ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT 00092677.
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| 16. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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Adherence-adjusted efficacy with intensive versus standard statin therapy in patients with acute myocardial infarction in the IDEAL study
- 2009
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In: EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR PREVENTION and REHABILITATION. - 1741-8267. ; 16:3, s. 315-320
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background The Incremental Decrease in End Points through Aggressive Lipid Lowering trial showed that the primary endpoint major coronary event was reduced by 11% (0.78-1.01) using atorvastatin 80 mg versus simvastatin 20-40 mg in patients with coronary heart disease (P=0.07). Adherence was high in both treatment groups but significantly higher in patients treated with simvastatin. Design The Incremental Decrease in End Points through Aggressive Lipid Lowering was a prescription trial with a prospective randomized open label endpoint evaluation. Methods and results Adherence was calculated as exposure time on prescribed drugs divided by total follow-up time until death or end of follow-up and was a potential confounder. Adjusting for categorical adherence below or above 80% by two methods revealed that the relative risk reduction of the primary endpoint was more in the region of 15% (P=0.02) than 11% as found unadjusted. Censoring at the first occurrence of a cardiovascular event rather than at death increased this estimate to 17% (P=0.02). Noncardiovascular mortality was reduced on atorvastatin treatment by 21% (1-37%) after adjustment for adherence, whereas such reduction was not observed for cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion This study found that the difference in adherence between treatment groups may have underestimated the true effect of the treatment differential. Usage of prospective randomized open label endpoint evaluation design should be carefully considered when well-known treatments are compared with rather new ones and especially in segments where patients could be more vulnerable, as in the elderly. Nonadherers in a clinical trial may be at especially high risk of fatal and nonfatal endpoints from various diseases and should be carefully monitored.
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| 17. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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Comparison of predictive ability of lipoprotein components to that of traditional risk factors of coronary events in renal transplant recipients
- 2010
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In: Atherosclerosis. - : Elsevier BV. - 0021-9150 .- 1879-1484. ; 208:1, s. 234-239
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- OBJECTIVE: Risk factors for major adverse coronary events (MACE) in renal transplant recipients are often different from those of non-transplanted populations. We compared the predictive power of lipoprotein components (LC) to that of more traditional risk factors such as serum creatinine, diabetes and inflammation measured by C-reactive protein (CRP) in the assessment of lescol in renal transplantation (ALERT) trial population. METHODS: From the 2102 randomized patients in ALERT we selected 1734 patients with a complete set of risk and adjustment factors used in the study. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate relationships between baseline values of risk factors and first occurrence of MACE. Chi square statistics, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to compare the information value of different risk factors. RESULTS: Atherogenic LC and especially non-high density cholesterol (nHDL-C) were as predictive as creatinine and nHDL-C was about as predictive as diabetes. CRP, body mass index, hypertension and glucose had less prediction ability than nHDL-C. The rank order of prediction was the same in the two treatment groups. By regression modelling the actual MACE risk reduction from 6 weeks onwards was well predicted from the difference in LC at 6 week. CONCLUSION: LC and especially nHDL-C predicted MACE at least as good as creatinine. Diabetes was about equally good as nHDL-C to predict MACE occurrence. Inflammation had less prediction ability than the other factors. Treated levels of atherogenic LC predicted MACE risk reduction well.
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| 18. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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Congestive heart failure is associated with lipoprotein components in statin-treated patients with coronary heart disease Insights from the Incremental Decrease in End points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering Trial (IDEAL)
- 2009
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In: ATHEROSCLEROSIS. - : Elsevier BV. - 0021-9150. ; 205:2, s. 522-527
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Very few, if any, studies have assessed the ability of apolipoproteins to predict new-onset of congestive heart failure (HF) in statin-treated patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). Aims: To employ the Incremental Decrease in End points Through Aggressive Lipid Lowering Trial (IDEAL) study database to assess the association of on-treatment lipoprotein components with prediction of HF events and to compare their predictive value with that of established risk factors such as hypertension and diabetes. Methods: We used Cox regression models to study the relationships between on-treatment levels of apolipoproteins A1 and B to subsequent HE Chi square information value from the log likelihood was used to compare the predictive value of lipoprotein components with established risk factors of HF. Findings: In the IDEAL study, on-treatment apolipoproteins proved to be associated with the occurrence of new-onset HE Variables related to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) carried less predictive information than those related to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and apoA-1 was the single variable most strongly associated with HF. LDL-C was less predictive than both non-HDL-C (total cholesterol minus HDL-C) and apoB. The ratio of apoB to apoA-1 was most strongly related to HF after adjustment for potential confounders, among which diabetes had a stronger correlation with HF than did hypertension. ApoB/apoA-1 carried approximately 2.2 times more of the statistical information value than that of diabetes. Calculation of the net reclassification improvement index revealed that about 3.7% of the patients had to be reclassified into more correct categories of risk once apoB/apoA-1 was added to the adjustment factors. The reduction in risk by intensive lipid-lowering treatment as compared to usual-dose simvastatin was well predicted by the difference in apoB/apoA-1 on-treatment levels. Interpretation: The on-treatment ratio of apoB/apoA-1 was the strongest predictor of HF in CHD patients of both IDEAL treatment arms combined, mostly driven by the strong association with apoA-1, whereas LDL-C and non-HDL-C were less able to predict HF outcome. The predictive information value contained within apoB/apoA-1 was about 2.2 times more than that of diabetes. Between-treatment group differences in HF were to a significant extent explained by on-treatment differences in apoB/apoA-1, mostly through the changes in apoB. We argue therefore, on-treatment lipoprotein components contribute to the overall future risk of HF in statin-treated patients with CHD.
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| 19. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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Model Comparisons of Competing Risk and Recurrent Events for Graft Failure in Renal Transplant Recipients
- 2013
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In: American Society of Nephrology. Clinical Journal. - 1555-9041 .- 1555-905X. ; 8:2, s. 241-247
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background and objectives Risk factor analysis of long-term graft survival in kidney transplant recipients is usually based on Cox regression models of time to first occurrence of doubling of serum creatinine or graft loss (DSCGL). However, death is a competing cause of failure, and censoring patients who die could bias estimates. We therefore compared estimates of time to first event versus estimates that included death as a competing risk and recurrent events. Design, setting, participants, & measurements A Cox regression analysis of 1997-2002 data from the Assessment of Lescol in Renal Transplant (ALERT) trial population identified an eight-factor risk model, by analyzing time to first occurrence of DSCGL. The same factors were re-analyzed, allowing for death as competing. The probability of survival free of DSCGL was estimated; and two recurrent models (marginal and conditional) were used for time to events. Results Creatinine, systolic BP, and HLA-DR mismatches lost 33%-46% of their strength of association with DSCGL when death was included as a competing risk. Small changes were observed if recurrent events were analyzed in the marginal model. Conclusion The relationship between serum creatinine and DSCGL was attenuated when death was considered as a competing risk; inclusion of recurrent events had little effect. These findings have important implications for analysis and trial design in populations at high mortality risk.
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| 20. |
- Holme, Ingar, et al.
(author)
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Observed and predicted reduction of ischemic cardiovascular events in the Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis trial.
- 2010
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In: American Journal of Cardiology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0002-9149 .- 1879-1913. ; 105:12, s. 1802-1808
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- In the Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis (SEAS) trial, combined ezetimibe (10 mg) and simvastatin (40 mg) decreased low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels by 50% and ischemic cardiovascular event (ICE) risk by 22% compared to placebo. A larger decrease in ICE risk might have been expected for the degree of lipid-lowering observed. This analysis investigated relations between changes in lipoprotein components (LCs), and ICE risk decrease in the SEAS trial in all patients, by severity of aortic stenosis (AS), and compared to results of other clinical trials. A total of 1,570 patients with baseline aortic jet velocity (JV) data, baseline and 1-year low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B, and no ICEs during the first year were included in the analysis. Relations between on-treatment measurements of 1-year LCs and time-to-ICE occurrence were assessed in all patients and in JV tertiles (<2.8, 2.8 to 3.3, and >3.3 m/s). Observed and predicted ICE risk decreases were compared by Cox model. Decreases in LCs after 1 year of ezetimibe plus simvastatin were associated with decreased ICE risk in all patients and in the 2 lower JV tertiles (p <0.05 to <0.001) but not in tertile 3. In JV tertiles 1 and 2, ICE risk decreased by 47% and 36%, respectively, was reasonably well predicted by all LCs, and was consistent with findings from meta-regression analyses in other populations. In conclusion, the degree of lipid lowering by ezetimibe plus simvastatin may predict the extent of ICE risk decrease in patients with mild AS, but ICE risk prediction in patients with more severe AS is confounded by AS-associated cardiovascular events and a shorter interval of exposure to lipid lowering.
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| 21. |
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| 22. |
- Jander, Nikolaus, et al.
(author)
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Outcome of Patients With Low-Gradient "Severe" Aortic Stenosis and Preserved Ejection Fraction
- 2011
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In: Circulation. - 1524-4539 .- 0009-7322. ; 123:8, s. 887-895
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background-Retrospective studies have suggested that patients with a low transvalvular gradient in the presence of an aortic valve area <1.0 cm(2) and normal ejection fraction may represent a subgroup with an advanced stage of aortic valve disease, reduced stroke volume, and poor prognosis requiring early surgery. We therefore evaluated the outcome of patients with low-gradient "severe" stenosis (defined as aortic valve area < 1.0 cm(2) and mean gradient <= 40 mm Hg) in the prospective Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis (SEAS) study. Methods and Results-Outcome in patients with low-gradient "severe" aortic stenosis was compared with outcome in patients with moderate stenosis (aortic valve area 1.0 to 1.5 cm(2); mean gradient 25 to 40 mm Hg). The primary end point of aortic valve events included death from cardiovascular causes, aortic valve replacement, and heart failure due to aortic stenosis. Secondary end points were major cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death. In 1525 asymptomatic patients (mean age, 67 +/- 10 years; ejection fraction, >= 55%), baseline echocardiography revealed low-gradient severe stenosis in 435 patients (29%) and moderate stenosis in 184 (12%). Left ventricular mass was lower in patients with low-gradient severe stenosis than in those with moderate stenosis (182 +/- 64 versus 212 +/- 68 g; P < 0.01). During 46 months of follow-up, aortic valve events occurred in 48.5% versus 44.6%, respectively (P=0.37; major cardiovascular events, 50.9% versus 48.5%, P=0.58; cardiovascular death, 7.8% versus 4.9%, P=0.19). Low-gradient severe stenosis patients with reduced stroke volume index (<= 35 mL/m(2); n=223) had aortic valve events comparable to those in patients with normal stroke volume index (46.2% versus 50.9%; P=0.53). Conclusions-Patients with low-gradient "severe" aortic stenosis and normal ejection fraction have an outcome similar to that in patients with moderate stenosis. (Circulation. 2011;123:887-895.)
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- Jardine, Alan G., et al.
(author)
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Fluvastatin prevents cardiac death and myocardial infarction in renal transplant recipients : post-hoc subgroup analyses of the ALERT Study
- 2004
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In: American Journal of Transplantation. - : Elsevier BV. - 1600-6135 .- 1600-6143. ; 4:6, s. 988-995
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Renal transplant recipients have a greatly increased risk of premature cardiovascular disease. The ALERT study was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of fluvastatin (40-80 mg/day) in 2102 renal transplant recipients followed for 5-6 years. The main study used a composite cardiac end-point including myocardial infarction, cardiac death and cardiac interventions. Although reduced by fluvastatin, this primary end-point failed to achieve statistical significance thus precluding analysis of predefined subgroups. Therefore, in the present survival analysis, we used an alternative primary end-point of cardiac death or definite nonfatal myocardial infarction (as used in other cardiac outcome trials) which was significantly reduced by Fluvastatin therapy and permits subgroup analysis. Fluvastatin reduced LDL-cholesterol by 1 mmol/L compared with placebo, and the incidence of cardiac death or definite myocardial infarction was reduced from 104 to 70 events (RR 0.65; 95% CI 0.48, 0.88; p = 0.005). Fluvastatin use was associated with reduction in cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction, which achieved statistical significance in many subgroups. The subgroups included patients at lower cardiovascular risk, who were younger, nondiabetic, nonsmokers and without pre-existing CVD. These data support the early introduction of statins following renal transplantation.
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