1. |
- Andersson, Jonathan, et al.
(author)
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Density-Dependent Feedback in Age-Structured Populations
- 2019
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In: Journal of Mathematical Sciences. - : Springer Berlin/Heidelberg. - 1072-3374 .- 1573-8795. ; 242:1, s. 2-24
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The population size has far-reaching effects on the fitness of the population, that, in its turn influences the population extinction or persistence. Understanding the density- and age-dependent factors will facilitate more accurate predictions about the population dynamics and its asymptotic behaviour. In this paper, we develop a rigourous mathematical analysis to study positive and negative effects of increased population density in the classical nonlinear age-structured population model introduced by Gurtin \& MacCamy in the late 1970s. One of our main results expresses the global stability of the system in terms of the newborn function only. We also derive the existence of a threshold population size implying the population extinction, which is well-known in population dynamics as an Allee effect.
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2. |
- Kozlov, Vladimir, 1954-, et al.
(author)
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Global stability of an age-structured population model on several temporally variable patches
- 2021
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In: Journal of Mathematical Biology. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0303-6812 .- 1432-1416. ; 83:6-7
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- We consider an age-structured density-dependent population model on several temporally variable patches. There are two key assumptions on which we base model setup and analysis. First, intraspecific competition is limited to competition between individuals of the same age (pure intra-cohort competition) and it affects density-dependent mortality. Second, dispersal between patches ensures that each patch can be reached from every other patch, directly or through several intermediary patches, within individual reproductive age. Using strong monotonicity we prove existence and uniqueness of solution and analyze its large-time behavior in cases of constant, periodically variable and irregularly variable environment. In analogy to the next generation operator, we introduce the net reproductive operator and the basic reproduction number R0R0 for time-independent and periodical models and establish the permanence dichotomy: if R0≤1R0≤1, extinction on all patches is imminent, and if R0>1R0>1, permanence on all patches is guaranteed. We show that a solution for the general time-dependent problem can be bounded by above and below by solutions to the associated periodic problems. Using two-side estimates, we establish uniform boundedness and uniform persistence of a solution for the general time-dependent problem and describe its asymptotic behaviour.
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3. |
- Kozlov, Vladimir, et al.
(author)
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Persistence analysis of the age-structured population model on several patches
- 2016
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In: Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, July 4-8, Rota, Cadiz, Spain, Vol. III. - : Universidad de Cádiz. - 9788460860822 ; , s. 717-727
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Book chapter (peer-reviewed)abstract
- We consider a system of nonlinear partial differential equations that describes an age-structured population living in changing environment on $N$ patches. We prove existence and uniqueness of solution and analyze large time behavior of the system in time-independent case and for periodically changing environment. Under the assumption that every patch can be reached from every other patch, directly or through several intermediary patches, and that net reproductive operator has spectral radius larger than one, we prove that population is persistent on all patches. If the spectral radius is less or equal one, extinction on all patches is imminent.
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4. |
- Hendriksen, Rene S., et al.
(author)
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Global monitoring of antimicrobial resistance based on metagenomics analyses of urban sewage
- 2019
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In: Nature Communications. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2041-1723. ; 10:1
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- © 2019, The Author(s). Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a serious threat to global public health, but obtaining representative data on AMR for healthy human populations is difficult. Here, we use metagenomic analysis of untreated sewage to characterize the bacterial resistome from 79 sites in 60 countries. We find systematic differences in abundance and diversity of AMR genes between Europe/North-America/Oceania and Africa/Asia/South-America. Antimicrobial use data and bacterial taxonomy only explains a minor part of the AMR variation that we observe. We find no evidence for cross-selection between antimicrobial classes, or for effect of air travel between sites. However, AMR gene abundance strongly correlates with socio-economic, health and environmental factors, which we use to predict AMR gene abundances in all countries in the world. Our findings suggest that global AMR gene diversity and abundance vary by region, and that improving sanitation and health could potentially limit the global burden of AMR. We propose metagenomic analysis of sewage as an ethically acceptable and economically feasible approach for continuous global surveillance and prediction of AMR.
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5. |
- Kozlov, Vladimir, et al.
(author)
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Estimating effective boundaries of population growth in a variable environment
- 2016
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In: Boundary Value Problems. - : SpringerOpen. - 1687-2762 .- 1687-2770. ; , s. 1-28
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- We study the impact of age-structure and temporal environmental variability on the persistence of populations. We use a linear age-structured model with time-dependent vital rates. It is the same as the one presented by Chipot in (Arch. Ration. Mech. Anal. 82(1):13-25, 1983), but the assumptions on the vital rates are slightly different. Our main interest is in describing the large-time behavior of a population provided that we know its initial distribution and transient vital rates. Using upper and lower solutions for the characteristic equation, we define time-dependent upper and lower boundaries for a solution in a constant environment. Moreover, we estimate solutions for the general time-dependent case and also for a special case when the environment is changing periodically.
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6. |
- Kozlov, Vladimir, et al.
(author)
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Large time behavior of the logistic age-structured population model in a changing environment
- 2017
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In: Asymptotic Analysis. - : IOS Press. - 0921-7134 .- 1875-8576. ; 102:1-2, s. 21-54
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Population growth is governed by many external and internal factors. In order to study their effects on population dynamics, we develop an age-structured time-dependent population model with logistic-type nonlinearity. We prove existence of a unique nonnegative bounded solution. Our main concern is to study asymptotic behavior of a solution in the general case, and especially for a periodic environment. We use the method of lower and upper solutions known in the theory of integral equations to formulate lower and upper boundaries of population density. In the periodic case, we discover a connection between the period of oscillation and its effect on population growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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7. |
- Nieuwenhuijse, David F., et al.
(author)
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Setting a baseline for global urban virome surveillance in sewage
- 2020
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In: Scientific Reports. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2045-2322. ; 10
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- © 2020, The Author(s). The rapid development of megacities, and their growing connectedness across the world is becoming a distinct driver for emerging disease outbreaks. Early detection of unusual disease emergence and spread should therefore include such cities as part of risk-based surveillance. A catch-all metagenomic sequencing approach of urban sewage could potentially provide an unbiased insight into the dynamics of viral pathogens circulating in a community irrespective of access to care, a potential which already has been proven for the surveillance of poliovirus. Here, we present a detailed characterization of sewage viromes from a snapshot of 81 high density urban areas across the globe, including in-depth assessment of potential biases, as a proof of concept for catch-all viral pathogen surveillance. We show the ability to detect a wide range of viruses and geographical and seasonal differences for specific viral groups. Our findings offer a cross-sectional baseline for further research in viral surveillance from urban sewage samples and place previous studies in a global perspective.
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8. |
- Radosavljevic, Sonja, 1979-
(author)
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Pairs of projections on a Hilbert space:properties and generalized invertibility
- 2012
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Licentiate thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- This thesis is concerned with the problem of characterizing sums, differences, and products of two projections on a separable Hilbert space. Other objective is characterizing the Moore-Penrose and the Drazin inverse for pairs of operators. We use reasoning similar to one presented in the famous P. Halmos’ two projection theorem: using matrix representation of two orthogonal projection depending on the relations between their ranges and null-spaces gives us simpler form of their matrices and allows us to involve matrix theory in solving problems. We extend research to idempotents, generalized and hypergeneralized projections and their combinations.
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9. |
- Radosavljevic, Sonja
(author)
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Permanence of age-structured populations in a spatio-temporal variable environment
- 2016
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Doctoral thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- It is widely recognized that various biotic and abiotic factors cause changes in the size of a population and its age distribution. Population structure, intra-specific competition, temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity are identified as the most important factors that, alone or in combination, influence population dynamics. Despite being well-known, these factors are difficult to study, both theoretically and empirically. However, in an increasingly variable world, permanence of a growing number of species is threatened by climate changes, habitat fragmentation or reduced habitat quality. For purposes of conservation of species and land management, it is crucially important to have a good analysis of population dynamics, which will increase our theoretical knowledge and provide practical guidelines.One way to address the problem of population dynamics is to use mathematical models. The choice of a model depends on what we want to study or what we aim to achieve. For an extensive theoretical study of population processes and for obtaining qualitative results about population growth or decline, analytical models with various level of complexity are used. The competing interests of realism and solvability of the model are always present. This means that, on one hand, we always aim to make a model that will truthfully reflect reality, while on the other hand, we need to keep the model mathematically solvable. This prompts us to carefully choose the most prominent ecological factors relevant to the problem at hand and to incorporate them into a model. Ideally, the results give new insights into population processes and complex interactions between the mentioned factors and population dynamics.The objective of the thesis is to formulate, analyze, and apply various mathematical models of population dynamics. We begin with a classical linear age-structured model and gradually add temporal variability, intra-specific competition and spatial heterogeneity. In this way, every subsequent model is more realistic and complex than the previous one. We prove existence and uniqueness of a nonnegative solution to each boundary-initial problem, and continue with investigation of the large time behavior of the solution.In the ecological terms, we are establishing conditions under which a population can persist in a certain environment. Since our aim is a qualitative analysis of a solution, we often examine upper and lower bounds of a solution. Their importance is in the fact that they are obtained analytically and parameters in their expression have biological meaning. Thus, instead of analyzing an exact solution (which often proves to be difficult), we analyze the corresponding upper and lower solutions.We apply our models to demonstrate the influence of seasonal changes (or some other periodic temporal variation) and spatial structure of the habitat on population persistence. This is particularly important in explaining behavior of migratory birds or populations that inhabits several patches, some of which are of low quality. Our results extend the previously obtained results in some aspects and point out that all factors (age structure, density dependence, spatio-temporal variability) need to be considered when setting up a population model and predicting population growth.
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