1. |
- Kennedy, Beatrice, 1982-, et al.
(author)
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App-based COVID-19 syndromic surveillance and prediction of hospital admissions in COVID Symptom Study Sweden
- 2022
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In: Nature Communications. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2041-1723. ; 13:1
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The app-based COVID Symptom Study was launched in Sweden in April 2020 to contribute to real-time COVID-19 surveillance. We enrolled 143,531 study participants (≥18 years) who contributed 10.6 million daily symptom reports between April 29, 2020 and February 10, 2021. Here, we include data from 19,161 self-reported PCR tests to create a symptom-based model to estimate the individual probability of symptomatic COVID-19, with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.74-0.83) in an external dataset. These individual probabilities are employed to estimate daily regional COVID-19 prevalence, which are in turn used together with current hospital data to predict next week COVID-19 hospital admissions. We show that this hospital prediction model demonstrates a lower median absolute percentage error (MdAPE: 25.9%) across the five most populated regions in Sweden during the first pandemic wave than a model based on case notifications (MdAPE: 30.3%). During the second wave, the error rates are similar. When we apply the same model to an English dataset, not including local COVID-19 test data, we observe MdAPEs of 22.3% and 19.0% during the first and second pandemic waves, respectively, highlighting the transferability of the prediction model.
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2. |
- Davidsson, Sabina, 1972-, et al.
(author)
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Androgen deprivation therapy in men with prostate cancer is not associated with COVID-2019 infection
- 2023
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In: The Prostate. - : Alan R. Liss Inc.. - 0270-4137 .- 1097-0045. ; 83:6, s. 555-562
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Androgens may play a role in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and host responses as the virus is dependent on the androgen-regulated protein transmembrane serine protease 2 for cell entry. Studies have indicated that prostate cancer patients receiving androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) are at reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and serious complications compared with patients without ADT, but data are inconsistent.METHODS: A total of 655 prostate cancer patients who were under surveillance at two urology departments in Sweden on April 1, 2020 were included in the study as well as 240 patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). At follow-up early in 2021, the participants completed a questionnaire containing information about symptoms compatible with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Blood samples were also collected for the assessment of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies (SARS-CoV-2 Total; Siemens). We used multivariable logistic regression models to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between ADT and the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection.RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was 13.4% among patients receiving ADT and 10.4% among patients without ADT. After adjusting for potential confounders, we observed no differences in symptoms or risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection between patients with and without ADT (OR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.52-1.85). Higher body mass index, Type 1 diabetes, and prostate cancer severity, defined by high Gleason score (8-10; OR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.04-4.09) or elevated levels of prostate-specific antigen (>20 µg/l; OR: 2.15; 95% CI: 1.13-4.07) were associated with increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Overall, the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection was not higher among men with prostate cancer than among men with BPH.CONCLUSIONS: Our results do not support the hypothesis that ADT use in prostate cancer patients reduces the risk or symptom severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection or that prostate cancer patients are at increased risk of COVID-19 compared with men without prostate cancer.
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3. |
- Udumyan, Ruzan, 1971-, et al.
(author)
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Beta-adrenergic receptor blockers and liver cancer mortality in a national cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients
- 2020
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In: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology. - : Taylor & Francis. - 0036-5521 .- 1502-7708. ; 55:5, s. 597-605
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: β-adrenergic signaling has been implicated in the pathology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the evidence from clinical studies is limited. In this national population-based cohort study, we investigated the possible association of β-adrenergic receptor blockers and cancer-specific mortality among patients with primary HCC diagnosed in Sweden between 2006 and 2014.Methods: Patients were identified from the Swedish Cancer Register (n = 2104) and followed until 31 December 2015. We used Cox regression to evaluate the association of β-blockers dispensed within 90 days prior to cancer diagnosis, ascertained from the national Prescribed Drug Register, with liver cancer mortality identified from the Cause of Death Register, while controlling for socio-demographic factors, tumor characteristics, comorbidity, other medications and treatment procedures.Results: Over a median follow-up of 9.9 months, 1601 patients died (of whom 1309 from liver cancer). Compared with non-use, β-blocker use at cancer diagnosis [n = 714 (predominantly prevalent use, 93%)] was associated with lower liver cancer mortality [0.82 (0.72-0.94); p = .005]. Statistically significant associations were observed for non-selective [0.71 (0.55-0.91); p = .006], β1-receptor selective [0.86 [0.75-1.00); p = .049] and lipophilic [0.78 (0.67-0.90); p = .001] β-blockers. No association was observed for hydrophilic β-blockers [1.01 (0.80-1.28); p = .906] or other antihypertensive medications. Further analysis suggested that the observed lower liver cancer mortality rate was limited to patients with localized disease at diagnosis [0.82 (0.67-1.01); p = .062].Conclusion: β-blocker use was associated with lower liver cancer mortality rate in this national cohort of patients with HCC. A higher-magnitude inverse association was observed in relation to non-selective β-blocker use.
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4. |
- Udumyan, Ruzan, 1971-, et al.
(author)
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Beta-blocker use and urothelial bladder cancer survival : a Swedish register-based cohort study
- 2022
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In: Acta Oncologica. - : Taylor & Francis Group. - 0284-186X .- 1651-226X. ; 61:8, s. 922-930
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Recent observational studies linked beta-adrenergic receptor blocker use with improved survival in patients with several cancer types, but there is no information on the potential effects of beta-blockers in patients with bladder cancer. Literature from pre-clinical studies is also limited, but urothelial cancer can exhibit significant overexpression of beta-adrenergic receptors relative to normal urothelial tissue, suggesting that urothelial cancer may benefit from beta-blockade therapy. We thus aimed to explore the possible association between beta-blocker use and bladder cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) among patients with urothelial bladder cancer.Material and methods: Patients diagnosed during 2006-2014 and identified from the Swedish Cancer Register (n = 16,669) were followed until 31 December 2015. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association of beta-blockers dispensed within 90 days prior to cancer diagnosis with BCSM (primary outcome) and all-cause mortality, while controlling for socio-demographic factors, tumor characteristics, comorbidity, other medications and surgical procedures. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were reported.Results: Overall, beta-blocker use was associated with lower BCSM [HR 0.88 (95%CI 0.81-0.96)]. Especially use of nonselective beta-blockers showed a clear inverse association in comparison with both nonuse [0.66 (0.50-0.86)] and use of other antihypertensive medications [0.72 (0.54-0.95)]. The inverse association was most pronounced among patients with locally advanced/metastatic disease: [0.35 (0.18-0.68)]. A lower-magnitude inverse association was observed for selective beta-blocker use [0.91 (0.83-0.99)]. Largely similar inverse associations were observed for hydrophilic [0.82 (0.70-0.95)] and lipophilic [0.91 (0.83-1.00)] beta-blocker use.Conclusion: beta-blocker use, particularly of the nonselective type, was associated with lower BCSM, especially in patients with locally advanced/metastatic urothelial bladder cancer.
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5. |
- Udumyan, Ruzan, 1971-
(author)
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Stress susceptibility, beta-blocker use and cancer survival
- 2020
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Doctoral thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- Accumulating evidence suggests that chronic stress may influence tumour biology through activation of neuroendocrine pathways and thus impair survival. However, measuring stressful exposures and their influence on health is challenging, partly due to substantial inter-individual variation in stress susceptibility. The thesis aimed to explore whether stress resilience and use of β-adrenergic receptor blockers, which are implicated in regulation of neuroendocrine stress response pathways, are linked to survival after a primary cancer diagnosis using data from Swedish national registers. In a cohort of male cancer patients born during 1952-1956 who had their stress resilience assessed during a mandatory conscription examination in late adolescence, low compared with high stress resilience was associated with a higher overall mortality rate. Statistically significant reductions in survival were observed among men with carcinomas of the oropharynx, prostate, upper respiratory tract, and Hodgkin’s lymphoma. In a cohort of patients diagnosed with pancreatic adenocarcinoma during 2006-2009, β-blocker users had a lower pancreatic cancer mortality rate than non-users, particularly among patients without distant metastases at diagnosis. In a cohort of patients diagnosed with non-small cell lung cancer during 2006-2014, there was no clear association between β-blocker use and lung cancer survival, but we cannot exclude the possibility of associations in some sub-groups defined by histology, stage and β-blocker types. In a cohort of patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma during 2006-2014, β-blocker use was associated with lower liver cancer mortality, particularly among patients with localised disease. A higher-magnitude inverse association was observed for non-selective β-blocker use. In conclusion, greater stress resilience and β-blocker use are associated with improved survival among patients with some cancer types, and this may be explained by a variety of pathways.
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6. |
- Vingeliene, Snieguole, 1985-, et al.
(author)
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Atopic dermatitis, systemic inflammation and subsequent dementia risk
- 2023
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In: JEADV Clinical Practice. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 2768-6566. ; 2:4, s. 839-848
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Atopic dermatitis is a chronic inflammatory skin disease and inflammation has been implicated in development of other chronic diseases, but few studies have examined the relationship with dementia.Objectives: This study examines associations of atopic dermatitis (AD) and systemic inflammation in adolescence measured using erythrocyte sedimenta-tion rate (ESR), as well as AD diagnosed in adulthood, with dementia risk.Methods: We used three Swedish register‐based cohorts. Cohort I (N= 795,680) comprised men, born in 1951–1968, who participated in themilitary conscription examinations with physician‐assessed AD and ESR; Cohort II (N= 1,757,600) included men and women, born in 1951–1968; and Cohort III (N= 3,988,783) included all individuals in Sweden, born in 1930–1968. We used Cox regression, estimating hazard ratios (HR), with thefollow‐up from 50 years of age to dementia diagnosis, date of emigration, death, or 31 December 2018, which ever occurred first. Further, we used asibling comparison design to adjust for unmeasured confounders shared among siblings.Results: Cohort I: 1466 dementia events were accrued during follow‐up of 7.8 years, with a crude rate of 21.6 [95% confidence interval (CI): 20.6, 22.8] per 100,000 person‐years. Cohort II: 3549 dementia events were accrued duringfollow‐up of 7.4 years, with a crude rate of 23.7 (95% CI: 22.9, 24.5) per 100,000 person‐years. Cohort III: 120,303 dementia events were accrued during follow‐up of 23.7 years, with a crude rate of 180.3 (95% CI: 179.3, 181.3) per 100,000 person‐years. In multivariable analysis using Cohort I, there was no association between AD and dementia [HR 0.68 (95% CI 0.32, 1.43)], norwith moderate [HR 0.71 (95% CI: 0.46, 1.10)] or high [HR 1.23 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.75)] ESR. AD was not associated with dementia risk in Cohort II [HR 1.28(0.97, 1.71)] or Cohort III [HR 1.01 (0.92, 1.11)].Conclusions: AD was not associated with dementia risk, neither was systemic inflammation measured by ESR in adolescence.
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7. |
- Wernroth, Lisa, et al.
(author)
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Development of gut microbiota during the first 2 years of life
- 2022
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In: Scientific Reports. - : Nature Portfolio. - 2045-2322. ; 12:1
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Although development of microbiota in childhood has been linked to chronic immune-related conditions, early childhood determinants of microbiota development have not been fully elucidated. We used 16S rRNA sequencing to analyse faecal and saliva samples from 83 children at four time-points during their first 2 years of life and from their mothers. Our findings confirm that gut microbiota in infants have low diversity and highlight that some properties are shared with the oral microbiota, although inter-individual differences are present. A considerable convergence in gut microbiota composition was noted across the first 2 years of life, towards a more diverse adult-like microbiota. Mode of delivery accounted for some of the inter-individual variation in early childhood, but with a pronounced attenuation over time. Our study extends previous research with further characterization of the major shift in gut microbiota composition during the first 2 years of life.
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8. |
- Wernroth, Lisa, et al.
(author)
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Early Childhood Antibiotic Treatment for Otitis Media and Other Respiratory Tract Infections Is Associated With Risk of Type 1 Diabetes : A Nationwide Register-Based Study With Sibling Analysis
- 2020
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In: Diabetes Care. - : American Diabetes Association. - 0149-5992 .- 1935-5548. ; 43:5, s. 991-999
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- OBJECTIVE: The effect of early life antibiotic treatment on the risk of type 1 diabetes is debated. This study assessed this question, applying a register-based design in children up to age 10 years including a large sibling-control analysis.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: = 797,318) born in Sweden between 1 July 2005 and 30 September 2013 were included and monitored to 31 December 2014. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for parental and perinatal characteristics, were applied, and stratified models were used to account for unmeasured confounders shared by siblings.RESULTS: for interaction = 0.016). The association was driven by exposure to antibiotics primarily used for acute otitis media and respiratory tract infections. Further, we found an association of antibiotic prescriptions in pregnancy (22.5%) with type 1 diabetes (adjusted HR 1.15 [95% CI 1.00-1.32]). In general, sibling analysis supported these results, albeit often with statistically nonsignificant associations.CONCLUSIONS: Dispensed prescription of antibiotics, mainly for acute otitis media and respiratory tract infections, in the 1st year of life is associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes before age 10, most prominently in children delivered by cesarean section.
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9. |
- Wernroth, M. -L, et al.
(author)
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Childhood bereavement and risk of type 1 diabetes : a Swedish population-based register study
- 2021
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In: Diabetologia. - : Springer. - 0012-186X .- 1432-0428. ; 64:Suppl. 1, s. 140-140
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Journal article (other academic/artistic)abstract
- Background and aims: Loss of a first-degree family member in childhood constitutes a major psychological stressor, and is associated both with subsequent psychiatric and somatic morbidity. The potential influence on type 1 diabetes risk has however not yet been fully elucidated. In this study we therefore aimed to investigate the impact of childhood bereavement on type 1 diabetes risk.Materials and methods: We conducted a population-based study in Sweden, encompassing 2,321,318 children born in Sweden January 1 1990 to December 31 2012. The follow up ended December 31 2013, at death of the child, type 1 diabetes diagnosis, emigration or when the child turned 19 years. All children were followed from the age of one, with exposure defined as death of a mother, father, or sibling. Type 1 diabetes diagnoses were extracted from the National Patient Register. We applied Cox proportional hazards models with attained age as time scale and loss of family member as a time varying variable, adjusting for potential confounders including parental type 1 diabetes, parental country of birth, and region of residence. We further categorized child age at bereavement as pre-school (1-6 years), school age (7-12 years) and teenage (13-18 years).Results: During follow-up (median 10.8 years), 50,253 (2.2%) children experienced loss of a family member. Median age at loss was 9.6 years, and 32% of all deaths were categorized as traumatic (accident, suicide, violence, or other sudden unnatural deaths). In total 10,965 children were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes during follow-up and median age at diagnosis was 8.5 years. We observed no overall association between childhood bereavement and type 1 diabetes risk (crude HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.86-1.18, adjusted HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.82 -1.13). The risk was not influenced by sex of the child, cause of death of family member, or familial relationship to the deceased. However, we noted an association when the exposure occurred during the teenage years (adjusted HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.15-2.43).Conclusion: Overall, childhood bereavement was not associated with the risk of type 1 diabetes, but the impact of childhood loss on type 1 diabetes may be modified by age at bereavement.
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10. |
- Xu, Yin, 1991-, et al.
(author)
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Validity of Routinely Collected Swedish Data in the International Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Database
- 2021
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In: World Journal of Surgery. - : Springer. - 0364-2313 .- 1432-2323. ; 45:6, s. 1622-1629
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- BACKGROUND: This study aims to assess patient coverage, validity and data quality in the Swedish part of the International Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Interactive Audit System (EIAS).METHOD: All Swedish ERAS centers that recorded colorectal surgery data in EIAS between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2017, were included (N = 12). Information registered in EIAS was compared with data from electronic medical records at each hospital to assess the overall coverage of EIAS. Twenty random-selected patients from each of the contributing centers were assessed for accuracy for a set of clinically relevant variables. All patients admitted to the contributing centers were included for the assessment of rate of missing on a selection of key clinical variables.RESULTS: Eight hospitals provided complete information for the evaluation, while four hospitals only allowed assessment of coverage and missing data. The eight hospitals had an overall coverage of 98.8% in EIAS (n = 1301) and the four 86.7% (n = 811). The average agreement for the assessed postoperative outcome variables was 96.5%. The accuracy was excellent for 'length of hospital stay,' 'reoperation,' and 'any complications,' but lower for other types of complications. Only a few variables had more than 5% missing data, and missingness was associated with hospital type and size.CONCLUSION: This validation of the Swedish part of the international ERAS database suggests high patient coverage in EIAS and high agreement and limited missingness in clinically relevant variables. This validation approach or a modified version can be used for continued validation of the International ERAS database.
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