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1.
  • Grams, Morgan, et al. (author)
  • Decline in Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate After Acute Kidney Injury: A Surrogate Endpoint?
  • 2015
  • In: ASN (American Society of Nephrology).
  • Conference paper (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: Often a transient condition, acute kidney injury (AKI) is not currently accepted as an endpoint for drug registration trials by the US FDA. We sought to determine whether an intermediate-term change in eGFR after AKI has a sufficiently strong relationship with subsequent ESRD to serve as an alternative endpoint in clinical trials of AKI preventionand/or treatment.Methods: We evaluated 161,185 US veterans who underwent major surgery between2004-2011. Post-surgical AKI was defined by the KDIGO creatinine criteria;decline in eGFR was calculated from pre-hospitalization value to two time-points post-discharge (60-days, 90-days) and related to ESRD and mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression.Results: In-hospital mortality varied by AKI status, ranging from 1% for patients without AKI to 35% for those with dialysis-requiring AKI. An eGFR decline of ³30% at 60-days was relatively frequent: 2.5%, 9.7%, 17.2%, and 28.6% in those with no AKI, Stage 1 AKI, Stage 2 AKI, and Stage 3 AKI, respectively. There was a graded relationship between eGFR decline at 60-days and risk of ESRD in persons both with and without AKI (Figure). Compared to stable eGFR/no in-hospital AKI, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of ESRD associated with a 30% decline at 60-days after AKI was 6.42 (95% CI: 4.8-8.7). Risks for mortality associated with eGFR decline were smaller: the HR for 30% decline 60-days after in-hospital AKI was 1.59 (95% CI: 1.46-1.73). Risk relationships were similar at 90-days.Conclusions: A 30% decline in eGFR from pre-hospitalization baseline to 60-days or 90-days after an episode of AKI may be an acceptable surrogate endpoint in trials of AKI prevention and/or treatment.
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2.
  • Grams, Morgan E, et al. (author)
  • A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Age, Race, and Sex With Acute Kidney Injury
  • 2015
  • In: American Journal of Kidney Diseases. - : Elsevier BV. - 0272-6386 .- 1523-6838. ; 66:4, s. 591-601
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious global public health problem. We aimed to quantify the risk of AKI associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria (albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]), age, sex, and race (African American and white).STUDY DESIGN: Collaborative meta-analysis.SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population cohorts (1,285,049 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohorts (79,519 participants).SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Available eGFR, ACR, and 50 or more AKI events.PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, eGFR, urine ACR, and interactions.OUTCOME: Hospitalized with or for AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results.RESULTS: 16,480 (1.3%) general-population cohort participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 4 years; 2,087 (2.6%) CKD participants had AKI over a mean follow-up of 1 year. Lower eGFR and higher ACR were strongly associated with AKI. Compared with eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2), the adjusted HR of AKI at eGFR of 45mL/min/1.73m(2) was 3.35 (95% CI, 2.75-4.07). Compared with ACR of 5mg/g, the risk of AKI at ACR of 300mg/g was 2.73 (95% CI, 2.18-3.43). Older age was associated with higher risk of AKI, but this effect was attenuated with lower eGFR or higher ACR. Male sex was associated with higher risk of AKI, with a slight attenuation in lower eGFR but not in higher ACR. African Americans had higher AKI risk at higher levels of eGFR and most levels of ACR.LIMITATIONS: Only 2 general-population cohorts could contribute to analyses by race; AKI identified by diagnostic code.CONCLUSIONS: Reduced eGFR and increased ACR are consistent strong risk factors for AKI, whereas associations of AKI with age, sex, and race may be weaker in more advanced stages of CKD.
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3.
  • James, Matthew T, et al. (author)
  • A Meta-analysis of the Association of Estimated GFR, Albuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, and Hypertension With Acute Kidney Injury.
  • 2015
  • In: American Journal of Kidney Diseases. - : Elsevier BV. - 0272-6386 .- 1523-6838. ; 66:4, s. 602-612
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI). Whether estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) remain risk factors for AKI in the presence and absence of these conditions is uncertain.STUDY DESIGN: Meta-analysis of cohort studies.SETTING & POPULATION: 8 general-population (1,285,045 participants) and 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD; 79,519 participants) cohorts.SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Cohorts participating in the CKD Prognosis Consortium.PREDICTORS: Diabetes and hypertension status, eGFR by the 2009 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine equation, urine ACR, and interactions.OUTCOME: Hospitalization with AKI, using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HRs of AKI and random-effects meta-analysis to pool results.RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4 years, there were 16,480 episodes of AKI in the general-population and 2,087 episodes in the CKD cohorts. Low eGFRs and high ACRs were associated with higher risks of AKI in individuals with or without diabetes and with or without hypertension. When compared to a common reference of eGFR of 80mL/min/1.73m(2) in nondiabetic patients, HRs for AKI were generally higher in diabetic patients at any level of eGFR. The same was true for diabetic patients at all levels of ACR compared with nondiabetic patients. The risk gradient for AKI with lower eGFRs was greater in those without diabetes than with diabetes, but similar with higher ACRs in those without versus with diabetes. Those with hypertension had a higher risk of AKI at eGFRs>60mL/min/1.73m(2) than those without hypertension. However, risk gradients for AKI with both lower eGFRs and higher ACRs were greater for those without than with hypertension.LIMITATIONS: AKI identified by diagnostic code.CONCLUSIONS: Lower eGFRs and higher ACRs are associated with higher risks of AKI among individuals with or without either diabetes or hypertension.
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