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Search: WFRF:(Madhi Shabir A.) > (2020)

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1.
  • Wang, Xin, et al. (author)
  • Global burden of respiratory infections associated with seasonal influenza in children under 5 years in 2018 : a systematic review and modelling study
  • 2020
  • In: The Lancet Global Health. - : Elsevier. - 2214-109X. ; 8:4, s. E497-E510
  • Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: Seasonal influenza virus is a common cause of acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) in ung children. In 2008, we estimated that 20 million influenza-virus-associated ALRI and 1 million fluenza-virus-associated severe ALRI occurred in children under 5 years globally. Despite this bstantial burden, only a few low-income and middle-income countries have adopted routine influenza ccination policies for children and, where present, these have achieved only low or unknown levels of ccine uptake. Moreover, the influenza burden might have changed due to the emergence and rculation of influenza A/H1N1pdm09. We aimed to incorporate new data to update estimates of the obal number of cases, hospital admissions, and mortality from influenza-virus-associated respiratory fections in children under 5 years in 2018.Methods: We estimated the regional and global burden of influenza-associated respiratory infections in ildren under 5 years from a systematic review of 100 studies published between Jan 1, 1995, and Dec , 2018, and a further 57 high-quality unpublished studies. We adapted the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale to sess the risk of bias. We estimated incidence and hospitalisation rates of influenza-virus-associated spiratory infections by severity, case ascertainment, region, and age. We estimated in-hospital deaths om influenza virus ALRI by combining hospital admissions and in-hospital case-fatality ratios of fluenza virus ALRI. We estimated the upper bound of influenza virus-associated ALRI deaths based on e number of in-hospital deaths, US paediatric influenza-associated death data, and population-based ildhood all-cause pneumonia mortality data in six sites in low-income and lower-middle-income untries.Findings: In 2018, among children under 5 years globally, there were an estimated 109.5 million fluenza virus episodes (uncertainty range [UR] 63.1-190.6), 10.1 million influenza-virus-associated ALRI ses (6.8-15.1); 870 000 influenza-virus-associated ALRI hospital admissions (543 000-1 415 000), 15 300 -hospital deaths (5800-43 800), and up to 34 800 (13 200-97 200) overall influenza-virus-associated ALRI deaths. Influenza virus accounted for 7% of ALRI cases, 5% of ALRI hospital admissions, and 4% of ALRI deaths in children under 5 years. About 23% of the hospital admissions and 36% of the in-hospital deaths were in infants under 6 months. About 82% of the in-hospital deaths occurred in low-income and lower-middle-income countries.Interpretation: A large proportion of the influenza-associated burden occurs among young infants and in low-income and lower middle-income countries. Our findings provide new and important evidence for maternal and paediatric influenza immunisation, and should inform future immunisation policy particularly in low-income and middle-income countries. 
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2.
  • Madhi, Shabir A., et al. (author)
  • Residual colonization by vaccine serotypes in rural South Africa four years following initiation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunization
  • 2020
  • In: Expert Review of Vaccines. - : Taylor & Francis. - 1476-0584 .- 1744-8395. ; 19:4, s. 383-393
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background: We evaluated pneumococcal colonization in children and adults between the time of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction in the immunization program in 2009 to two years after transitioning to PCV13 in 2011.Methods: Community-based carriage surveillance was undertaken between May-November 2013 (Period-3), with similar surveys in 2009 (Period-1) and 2011 (Period-2). Households with children below two years had a similar probability of being sampled in all surveys. Nasopharyngeal swabs were processed using standard methods and serotyped by Quellung.Results: In children>9-59 months old, overall pneumococcal colonization prevalence declined from 81.8% in Period-1 to 65.0% in Period-3 (p<0.001). Reductions of 70% (41.2% vs. 13.6%) in PCV7-serotypes colonization and 66% (15.3% vs. 4.4%) for the six additional PCV13-serotypes (PCV13-add6VT) were observed. There was, however, high residual colonization by PCV7-serotypes 19F (14.9% vs. 6.3%) and 23F (8.5% vs. 4.1%), despite reduction of 57% and 52%, respectively. Among individuals>12 years of age, there was 61% reduction in PCV7-serotype colonization (3.1% vs. 1.3%) and 75% decrease for PCV13-add6VT (2.1% vs. 0.6%) between Period-1 and Period-3.Conclusions: The residual prevalence of serotypes 19F and 23F, four years after introducing PCV in the South Africa, suggests ongoing community transmission and transient vaccine effects.
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