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Search: WFRF:(Senel Kerem) > (2020)

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1.
  • Senel, Kerem, et al. (author)
  • Instantaneous R for COVID-19 in Turkey : Estimation by Bayesian Statistical Inference
  • 2020
  • In: Turkiye Klinikleri Journal of Medical Sciences. - : Turkiye Klinikleri. - 1300-0292 .- 2146-9040. ; 40:2, s. 127-131
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The instantaneous R in Turkey is estimated by Bayesian statistical inference that utilizes a 68-days-long dataset from the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak in Turkey for monitoring the progression of the pandemic. As it is also globally adapted, enforced social distancing measures help to keep the instantaneous reproduction number below one. The low levels of instantaneous R are referred to as a basis for several countries to relax their country-wide restrictions, while hindsight involves a possible second wave of infections to follow in China, Germany, and South Korea. Thus, policy and decision-makers need to be vigilant regarding the pandemic's progress. It is not yet sure if it is possible to maintain the instantaneous reproduction number below one, even at the lack of societal measures.
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2.
  • Özdinc, Mesut, et al. (author)
  • Predicting the progress of COVID-19 : the case for Turkey
  • 2020
  • In: Turkiye Klinikleri Journal of Medical Sciences. - : Türkiye Klinikleri. - 1300-0292 .- 2146-9040. ; 40:2, s. 117-119
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The SIR model is applied to a dataset of 43 days from the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Model outputs regarding the estimates of effective reproduction number and peak date of the maximum number of actively infected are presented. Favorable impact of social distancing measures are observed in comparing model outputs on progressive days. Findings are valuable for policy and decision makers in shedding light on the next phases of the pandemic.
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  • Result 1-2 of 2
Type of publication
journal article (2)
Type of content
peer-reviewed (2)
Author/Editor
Özdinc, Mesut (2)
Senel, Kerem (2)
Akgul, Ahmet (2)
Ozturkcan, Selcen, A ... (1)
Ozturkcan, Selcen (1)
University
Linnaeus University (2)
Language
English (2)
Research subject (UKÄ/SCB)
Medical and Health Sciences (1)
Social Sciences (1)
Year
2020 (2)Undo refine

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