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- Alam, Mahbub Ul, et al.
(author)
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Deep Learning from Heterogeneous Sequences of Sparse Medical Data for Early Prediction of Sepsis
- 2020
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In: Proceedings of the 13th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies, Volume 5: HEALTHINF. - Setúbal : SciTePress. - 9789897583988 ; , s. 45-55
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Conference paper (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Sepsis is a life-threatening complication to infections, and early treatment is key for survival. Symptoms of sepsis are difficult to recognize, but prediction models using data from electronic health records (EHRs) can facilitate early detection and intervention. Recently, deep learning architectures have been proposed for the early prediction of sepsis. However, most efforts rely on high-resolution data from intensive care units (ICUs). Prediction of sepsis in the non-ICU setting, where hospitalization periods vary greatly in length and data is more sparse, is not as well studied. It is also not clear how to learn effectively from longitudinal EHR data, which can be represented as a sequence of time windows. In this article, we evaluate the use of an LSTM network for early prediction of sepsis according to Sepsis-3 criteria in a general hospital population. An empirical investigation using six different time window sizes is conducted. The best model uses a two-hour window and assumes data is missing not at random, clearly outperforming scoring systems commonly used in healthcare today. It is concluded that the size of the time window has a considerable impact on predictive performance when learning from heterogeneous sequences of sparse medical data for early prediction of sepsis.
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| 2. |
- Karlsson Valik, John, et al.
(author)
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Validation of automated sepsis surveillance based on the Sepsis-3 clinical criteria against physician record review in a general hospital population : observational study using electronic health records data
- 2020
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In: BMJ Quality and Safety. - : BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. - 2044-5415 .- 2044-5423. ; 29:9, s. 735-745
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Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Background: Surveillance of sepsis incidence is important for directing resources and evaluating quality-of-care interventions. The aim was to develop and validate a fully-automated Sepsis-3 based surveillance system in non-intensive care wards using electronic health record (EHR) data, and demonstrate utility by determining the burden of hospital-onset sepsis and variations between wards.Methods: A rule-based algorithm was developed using EHR data from a cohort of all adult patients admitted at an academic centre between July 2012 and December 2013. Time in intensive care units was censored. To validate algorithm performance, a stratified random sample of 1000 hospital admissions (674 with and 326 without suspected infection) was classified according to the Sepsis-3 clinical criteria (suspected infection defined as having any culture taken and at least two doses of antimicrobials administered, and an increase in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score by >2 points) and the likelihood of infection by physician medical record review.Results: In total 82 653 hospital admissions were included. The Sepsis-3 clinical criteria determined by physician review were met in 343 of 1000 episodes. Among them, 313 (91%) had possible, probable or definite infection. Based on this reference, the algorithm achieved sensitivity 0.887 (95% CI: 0.799 to 0.964), specificity 0.985 (95% CI: 0.978 to 0.991), positive predictive value 0.881 (95% CI: 0.833 to 0.926) and negative predictive value 0.986 (95% CI: 0.973 to 0.996). When applied to the total cohort taking into account the sampling proportions of those with and without suspected infection, the algorithm identified 8599 (10.4%) sepsis episodes. The burden of hospital-onset sepsis (>48 hour after admission) and related in-hospital mortality varied between wards.Conclusions: A fully-automated Sepsis-3 based surveillance algorithm using EHR data performed well compared with physician medical record review in non-intensive care wards, and exposed variations in hospital-onset sepsis incidence between wards.
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