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- Saha, SanjibLund University,Lunds universitet,Hälsoekonomi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Health Economics,Lund University Research Groups,Lund Univ, Hlth Econ Unit, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, Scheelevagen 2, SE-22381 Lund, Sweden. (author)
Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality by Achieving Healthy Dietary Goals for the Swedish Population : A Macro-Simulation Modelling Study
- Article/chapterEnglish2019
Publisher, publication year, extent ...
- 2019-03-12
- MDPI AG,2019
- printrdacarrier
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- LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:du-38483
- https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:du-38483URI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16050890DOI
- https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/dc9c3e9d-507f-4ac4-a5bf-2dc6861561e3URI
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- Language:English
- Summary in:English
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- The objective is to estimate the number of deaths attributable to cardiovascular diseases and diet-related cancers that could be prevented or delayed in Sweden if adults adhere to the official dietary recommendations. We used an age-group and sex-specific epidemiological macro-simulation model to estimate preventable deaths due to the discrepancies between actual intake and recommended intake of changes in food components. Data included in the model are a baseline scenario (actual dietary intake), a counterfactual scenario (recommended intake) and age- and sex-specific mortality for cardiovascular and diet-related cancer diseases together compared with the total population risk of a specific year. Monte Carlo analyses with 5000 iterations was performed to produce the 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). The model predicts that 6405 (95% UI: 5086-7086) deaths could be prevented or delayed if the Swedish population could adhere to official dietary recommendations in a year. More deaths would be saved for men than women. The recommendations for fruits and vegetables could have saved 47% of the deaths, followed by fiber intake (32%). For men, fruits and vegetables could have saved more compared to other dietary components, while for women dietary fiber was the prominent factor. Public health policies should consider ensuring healthy eating practices for the Swedish population.
Subject headings and genre
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP Hälsovetenskap hsv//swe
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES Health Sciences hsv//eng
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP Hälsovetenskap Näringslära hsv//swe
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES Health Sciences Nutrition and Dietetics hsv//eng
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP Hälsovetenskap Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi hsv//swe
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES Health Sciences Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology hsv//eng
- cardiovascular diseases
- diet-related cancers
- dietary intake
- dietary recommendations
Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)
- Nordström, JonasLund University,Lunds universitet,AgriFood Economics Centre, Ekonomihögskolan vid Lunds universitet,Ekonomihögskolan,AgriFood Economics Centre, Lund University School of Economics and Management,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM,University of Copenhagen,Univ Copenhagen, Dept Food & Resource Econ, DK-1958 Frederiksberg, Denmark.;Lund Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Agrifood Econ Ctr, SE-22007 Lund, Sweden.(Swepub:lu)nek-jan (author)
- Gerdtham, Ulf-GLund University,Lunds universitet,Nationalekonomiska institutionen,Ekonomihögskolan,Hälsoekonomi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Department of Economics,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM,Health Economics,Lund University Research Groups,Lund Univ, Hlth Econ Unit, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, Scheelevagen 2, SE-22381 Lund, Sweden.;Lund Univ, Dept Econ, SE-22363 Lund, Sweden.(Swepub:lu)smi-uge (author)
- Mattisson, IreneNatl Food Agcy, SE-75126 Uppsala, Sweden.,National Food Agency (author)
- Nilsson, Peter MLund University,Lunds universitet,Internmedicin - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Internal Medicine - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,Skåne University Hospital,Skane Univ Hosp, Dept Emergency Care & Internal Med, SE-20502 Malmo, Sweden.;Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, SE-20502 Lund, Sweden.(Swepub:lu)medf-pni (author)
- Scarborough, PeterUniv Oxford, British Heart Fdn, Ctr Populat Approaches Noncommunicable Dis Preven, Oxford OX3 7LF, England.;Univ Oxford, NIHR Biomed Res Ctr Oxford, Nuffield Dept Populat Hlth, Oxford OX3 7LF, England.,University of Oxford (author)
- HälsoekonomiForskargrupper vid Lunds universitet (creator_code:org_t)
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- In:International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health: MDPI AG16:51661-78271660-4601
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