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Wavelet Gated Multiformer for Groundwater Time Series Forecasting

Serravalle Reis Rodrigues, Vitor Hugo (author)
Geological Survey of Brazil
de Melo Barros Junior, Paulo Roberto (author)
Petrobras
dos Santos Marinho, Euler Bentes (author)
Federal University of Bahia
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Silva, Jose Luis (author)
Linköpings universitet,Artificiell intelligens och integrerade datorsystem,ReaL
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 (creator_code:org_t)
Nature Publishing Group : Research Square Platform LLC, 2023
2023
English.
In: Scientific Reports. - Nature Publishing Group : Research Square Platform LLC.
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  • Developing accurate models for groundwater control is paramount for planning and managing life-sustaining resources (water) from aquifer reservoirs. Significant progress has been made toward designing and employing deep-forecasting models to tackle the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting. However, most models were initially taught only to optimize natural language processing and computer vision tasks. We propose the Wavelet Gated Multiformer, which combines the strength of a vanilla Transformer with the Wavelet Crossformer that employs inner wavelet cross-correlation blocks. The self-attention mechanism (Transformer) computes the relationship between inner time-series points, while the cross-correlation finds trending periodicity patterns. The multi-headed encoder is channeled through a mixing gate (linear combination) of sub-encoders (Transformer and Wavelet Crossformer) that output trending signatures to the decoder. This process can improve the model's predictive capabilities. We have also used the Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Heatmaps (MF-DCCHM) to extract cyclical trends from pairs of stations across multifractal regimes by denoising the pair of signals with Daubechies wavelets. Our dataset was obtained from a network of eight wells for groundwater monitoring in Brazilian aquifers, six rainfall stations, eleven river flow stations, and three weather stations with atmospheric pressure, temperature, and humidity sensors.

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