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A state-time epidemiology model of tuberculosis: Importance of re-infection

Viljoen, S (author)
London School of Economics
Pienaar, Elsje (author)
Linköpings universitet,Institutionen för klinisk och experimentell medicin,Hälsouniversitetet
Viljoen, N J (author)
University of Nebraska
 (creator_code:org_t)
Elsevier, 2012
2012
English.
In: Computational biology and chemistry (Print). - : Elsevier. - 1476-9271 .- 1476-928X. ; 36, s. 15-22
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • An epidemiological model is presented that considers five possible states of a population: susceptible (S), exposed (W), infectious (Y), in treatment (Z) and recovered (R). in certain instances transition rates (from one state to another) depend on the time spent in the state; therefore the states W, Y and Z depend on time and length of stay in that state - similar to age-structured models. The model is particularly amenable to describe delays of exposed persons to become infectious and re-infection of exposed persons. Other transitions that depend on state time include the case finding and diagnosis, increased death rate and treatment interruption. The mathematical model comprises of a set of partial differential and ordinary differential equations. Non-steady state solutions are first presented, followed by a bifurcation study of the stationary states.

Keyword

Mathematical model
Tuberculosis
South Africa
Epidemiology
Drug-resistance
Reinfection
Partial differential equations
State-time
MEDICINE
MEDICIN

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Viljoen, S
Pienaar, Elsje
Viljoen, N J
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Linköping University

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