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ICU discharge screening for prediction of new-onset physical disability - a multinational cohort study

Milton, Anna (author)
Karolinska Institutet
Schandl, Anna (author)
Karolinska Institutet
Soliman, Iwo (author)
Dept. of Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands,Univ Utrecht, Univ Med Ctr Utrecht, Dept Intens Care Med, Utrecht, Netherlands.
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Joelsson-Alm, Eva (author)
Karolinska Institutet
van den Boogaard, Mark (author)
Dept. of Intensive Care Medicine, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands,Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Med Ctr, Dept Intens Care Med, Nijmegen, Netherlands.
Wallin, Ewa (author)
Uppsala universitet,Anestesiologi och intensivvård
Brorsson, Camilla (author)
Umeå universitet,Anestesiologi och intensivvård,Umeå Univ, Dept Surg & Perioperat Sci, Umeå, Sweden.
Östberg, Ulrika (author)
Dept. of Anaesthesiology and Intensive care, Östersund Hospital, Östersund, Sweden,Östersund Hosp, Dept Anaesthesiol & Intens Care, Östersund, Sweden.
Latocha, Kristine (author)
Dept of Intensive Care, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark,Rigshosp Copenhagen, Dept Intens Care, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Savilampi, Johanna, 1977- (author)
Örebro universitet,Institutionen för medicinska vetenskaper,Region Örebro län,Dept. of Anaesthesiology and Intensive care,Örebro Univ, Sch Med Sci, Örebro, Sweden.;Örebro Univ Hosp, Dept Anaesthesiol & Intens Care, Örebro, Sweden.
Paskins, Stinne (author)
Dept of Intensive care, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark,Odense Univ Hosp, Dept Intens Care, Odense, Denmark.
Bottai, Matteo (author)
Karolinska Institutet
Sackey, Peter (author)
Dept. of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden,Karolinska Inst, Dept Physiol & Pharmacol, Solna, Sweden.
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Karolinska Institutet Dept of Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands (creator_code:org_t)
2020-02-28
2020
English.
In: Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica. - : Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Inc.. - 0001-5172 .- 1399-6576. ; 64:6, s. 789-797
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • BACKGROUND: Methods to identify patients at risk for incomplete physical recovery after intensive care unit (ICU) stay are lacking. Our aim was to develop a method for prediction of new-onset physical disability at ICU discharge.METHODS: Multinational prospective cohort study in ten general ICUs in Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands. Adult patients with an ICU stay ≥12 hours were eligible for inclusion. Sixteen candidate predictors were analyzed with logistic regression for associations with the primary outcome; new-onset physical disability three months post-ICU, defined as a ≥10 score reduction in the Barthel Index compared to baseline.RESULTS: Of 572 included patients, follow-up data are available on 78% of patients alive at follow-up. The incidence of new-onset physical disability was 19%. Univariable and multivariable modeling rendered one sole predictor for the outcome: physical status at ICU discharge, assessed with the five first items of the Chelsea Critical Care Physical Assessment Tool (CPAx) (odds ratio 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81 to 0.93), a higher score indicating a lower risk, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.68 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.76). Negative predictive value for a low-risk group (CPAx score >18) was 0.88, positive predictive value for a high-risk group (CPAx score ≤18) was 0.32.CONCLUSION: The ICU discharge assessment described in this study had a moderate AUC but may be useful to rule out patients unlikely to need physical interventions post-ICU. For high-risk patients, research to determine post-ICU risk factors for an incomplete rehabilitation is mandated.

Subject headings

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Klinisk medicin -- Anestesi och intensivvård (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Clinical Medicine -- Anesthesiology and Intensive Care (hsv//eng)

Keyword

Activities of daily living
complications
critical care
decision support techniques
intensive care unit
rehabilitation

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)
art (subject category)

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