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Arctic Sea Ice in C...
Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6
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Notz, Dirk (author)
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Dörr, Jakob (author)
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Bailey, David A. (author)
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Blockley, Ed (author)
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Bushuk, Mitchell (author)
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Boldingh Debernard, Jens (author)
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- Dekker, Evelien (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Meteorologiska institutionen (MISU),Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden
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DeRepentigny, Patricia (author)
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Docquier, David (author)
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Fučkar, Neven S. (author)
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Fyfe, John C. (author)
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Jahn, Alexandra (author)
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Holland, Marika (author)
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Hunke, Elizabeth (author)
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Iovino, Doroteaciro (author)
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Khosravi, Narges (author)
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Madec, Gurvan (author)
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Massonnet, Francois (author)
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O'Farrell, Siobhan (author)
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Petty, Alek (author)
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Rana, Arun (author)
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Roach, Lettie (author)
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Rosenblum, Erica (author)
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Rousset, Clement (author)
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Semmler, Tido (author)
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Stroeve, Julienne (author)
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Toyoda, Takahiro (author)
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Tremblay, Bruno (author)
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Tsujino, Hiroyuki (author)
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Vancoppenolle, Martin (author)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2020
- 2020
- English.
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In: Geophysical Research Letters. - 0094-8276 .- 1944-8007. ; 47:10
- Related links:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- We examine CMIP6 simulations of Arctic sea‐ice area and volume. We find that CMIP6 models produce a wide spread of mean Arctic sea‐ice area, capturing the observational estimate within the multimodel ensemble spread. The CMIP6 multimodel ensemble mean provides a more realistic estimate of the sensitivity of September Arctic sea‐ice area to a given amount of anthropogenic CO2 emissions and to a given amount of global warming, compared with earlier CMIP experiments. Still, most CMIP6 models fail to simulate at the same time a plausible evolution of sea‐ice area and of global mean surface temperature. In the vast majority of the available CMIP6 simulations, the Arctic Ocean becomes practically sea‐ice free (sea‐ice area <1 × 106 km2) in September for the first time before the Year 2050 in each of the four emission scenarios SSP1‐1.9, SSP1‐2.6, SSP2‐4.5, and SSP5‐8.5 examined here.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- sea ice
- CMIP6
- Arctic
- climate models
- model evaluation
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
Find in a library
To the university's database
- By the author/editor
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Notz, Dirk
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Dörr, Jakob
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Bailey, David A.
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Blockley, Ed
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Bushuk, Mitchell
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Boldingh Deberna ...
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show more...
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Dekker, Evelien
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DeRepentigny, Pa ...
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Docquier, David
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Fučkar, Neven S.
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Fyfe, John C.
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Jahn, Alexandra
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Holland, Marika
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Hunke, Elizabeth
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Iovino, Doroteac ...
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Khosravi, Narges
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Madec, Gurvan
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Massonnet, Franc ...
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O'Farrell, Siobh ...
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Petty, Alek
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Rana, Arun
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Roach, Lettie
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Rosenblum, Erica
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Rousset, Clement
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Semmler, Tido
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Stroeve, Julienn ...
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Toyoda, Takahiro
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Tremblay, Bruno
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Tsujino, Hiroyuk ...
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Vancoppenolle, M ...
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show less...
- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
- Articles in the publication
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Geophysical Rese ...
- By the university
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Stockholm University