SwePub
Sök i LIBRIS databas

  Extended search

onr:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:su-225803"
 

Search: onr:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:su-225803" > European scenarios ...

  • 1 of 1
  • Previous record
  • Next record
  •    To hitlist
  • Pérez-Granados, Cristian (author)

European scenarios for future biological invasions

  • Article/chapterEnglish2024

Publisher, publication year, extent ...

  • 2024
  • printrdacarrier

Numbers

  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:su-225803
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-225803URI
  • https://doi.org/10.1002/pan3.10567DOI

Supplementary language notes

  • Language:English
  • Summary in:English

Part of subdatabase

Classification

  • Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
  • Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype

Notes

  • Invasive alien species are one of the major threats to global biodiversity, ecosystem integrity, nature's contributions to people and human health. While scenarios about potential future developments have been available for other global change drivers for quite some time, we largely lack an understanding of how biological invasions might unfold in the future across spatial scales.Based on previous work on global invasion scenarios, we developed a workflow to downscale global scenarios to a regional and policy-relevant context. We applied this workflow at the European scale to create four European scenarios of biological invasions until 2050 that consider different environmental, socio-economic and socio-cultural trajectories, namely the European Alien Species Narratives (Eur-ASNs).We compared the Eur-ASNs with their previously published global counterparts (Global-ASNs), assessing changes in 26 scenario variables. This assessment showed a high consistency between global and European scenarios in the logic and assumptions of the scenario variables. However, several discrepancies in scenario variable trends were detected that could be attributed to scale differences. This suggests that the workflow is able to capture scale-dependent differences across scenarios.We also compared the Global- and Eur-ASNs with the widely used Global and European Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), a set of scenarios developed in the context of climate change to capture different future socio-economic trends. Our comparison showed considerable divergences in the scenario space occupied by the different scenarios, with overall larger differences between the ASNs and SSPs than across scales (global vs. European) within the scenario initiatives.Given the differences between the ASNs and SSPs, it seems that the SSPs do not adequately capture the scenario space relevant to understanding the complex future of biological invasions. This underlines the importance of developing independent but complementary scenarios focussed on biological invasions. The downscaling workflow we implemented and presented here provides a tool to develop such scenarios across different regions and contexts. This is a major step towards an improved understanding of all major drivers of global change, including biological invasions.

Subject headings and genre

Added entries (persons, corporate bodies, meetings, titles ...)

  • Lenzner, Bernd (author)
  • Golivets, Marina (author)
  • Saul, Wolf-Christian (author)
  • Jeschke, Jonathan M. (author)
  • Essl, Franz (author)
  • Peterson, Garry D.,1969-Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre(Swepub:su)gpete (author)
  • Rutting, Lucas (author)
  • Latombe, Guillaume (author)
  • Adriaens, Tim (author)
  • Aldridge, David C. (author)
  • Bacher, Sven (author)
  • Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén (author)
  • Brotons, Lluís (author)
  • Díaz, Francois (author)
  • Gallardo, Belinda (author)
  • Genovesi, Piero (author)
  • González-Moreno, Pablo (author)
  • Kühn, Ingolf (author)
  • Kutleša, Petra (author)
  • Leung, Brian (author)
  • Liu, Chunlong (author)
  • Pagitz, Konrad (author)
  • Pastor, Teresa (author)
  • Pauchard, Aníbal (author)
  • Rabitsch, Wolfgang (author)
  • Robertson, Peter (author)
  • Roy, Helen E. (author)
  • Seebens, Hanno (author)
  • Solarz, Wojciech (author)
  • Starfinger, Uwe (author)
  • Tanner, Rob (author)
  • Vilà, Montserrat (author)
  • Roura-Pascual, Núria (author)
  • Stockholms universitetStockholm Resilience Centre (creator_code:org_t)

Related titles

  • In:People and Nature6:1, s. 245-2592575-8314

Internet link

Find in a library

To the university's database

  • 1 of 1
  • Previous record
  • Next record
  •    To hitlist

Kungliga biblioteket hanterar dina personuppgifter i enlighet med EU:s dataskyddsförordning (2018), GDPR. Läs mer om hur det funkar här.
Så här hanterar KB dina uppgifter vid användning av denna tjänst.

 
pil uppåt Close

Copy and save the link in order to return to this view