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Biosphere Futures : a database of social-ecological scenarios

Kuiper, Jan J., 1987- (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Carpenter-Urquhart, Liam R. (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Berbés-Blázquez, Marta (author)
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Oteros-Rozas, Elisa (author)
Fredström, Linna (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Psiuk, Kinga (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Savu, Mihaela Codruta (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Kautsky, Robert (author)
Guerry, Anne D. (author)
Carpenter, Stephen R. (author)
Green, Charlyn E. (author)
Meacham, Megan, 1986- (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Remme, Roy P. (author)
Ravera, Federica (author)
Wankmüller, Franziska (author)
Arkema, Katie K. (author)
Pereira, Laura M., 1985- (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre,University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa
Peterson, Garry D., 1969- (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2024
2024
English.
In: Ecology and Society. - 1708-3087. ; 29:1
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • Biosphere Futures (https://biospherefutures.net/) is a new online database to collect and discover scenario studies from across the world, with a specific focus on scenarios that explicitly incorporate interdependencies between humans and their supporting ecosystems. It provides access to a globally diverse collection of case studies that includes most ecosystems and regions, enabling exploration of the multifaceted ways in which the future might unfold. Together, the case studies illuminate the diversity and plurality of people’s expectations and aspirations for the future. The objective of Biosphere Futures is to promote the use of scenarios for sustainable development of the biosphere and to foster a community of practice around social-ecological scenarios. We do so by facilitating the assessment, synthesis, and comparative analysis of scenario case studies, pointing to relevant resources, and by helping practitioners and researchers to disseminate and showcase their own work. This article begins by outlining the rationale behind the creation of the database, followed by an introduction to its functionality and the criteria employed for selecting case studies. Subsequently, we present a synthesis of the first 100 case studies included in the scenarios database, highlighting emerging patterns and identifying potential avenues for further research. Finally, given that broader utilization and contributions to the database will enhance the achievement of Biosphere Futures’ objectives, we invite the creators of social-ecological scenarios to contribute additional case studies. By expanding the database’s breadth and depth, we can collectively foster a more nuanced understanding of the possible trajectories of our biosphere and enable better decision making for sustainable development.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)

Keyword

biosphere-based sustainability
community of practice
futures
scenario planning
social-ecological systems

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)
art (subject category)

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