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The effect of time ...
Abstract
Subject headings
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- In elaborating a model of the progress of an epidemic, it is necessary to make assumptions about the distributions of latency times and infectious times. In many models, the often implicit assumption is that these times are independent and exponentially distributed. We explore the effects of altering the distribution of latency and infectious times in a complex epidemic model with regional divisions connected by a travel intensity matrix. We show a delay in spread with more realistic latency times. More realistic infectiousness times lead to faster epidemics. The effects are similar but accentuated when compared to a purely homogeneous mixing model.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Matematik -- Sannolikhetsteori och statistik (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Mathematics -- Probability Theory and Statistics (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Prevention and control
- Stochastic process
- Epidemiology
- Infectious time
- Latency time
- Epidemic model
- Mathematical statistics
- Matematisk statistik
- Mathematical Statistics
- matematisk statistik
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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