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  • Hu, Xian-Ge (author)

Predicting Impacts of Future Climate Change on the Distribution of the Widespread Conifer Platycladus orientalis

  • Article/chapterEnglish2015

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  • 2015-07-01
  • Public Library of Science (PLoS),2015
  • electronicrdacarrier

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  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:umu-107172
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-107172URI
  • https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0132326DOI

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  • Language:English
  • Summary in:English

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  • Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
  • Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype

Notes

  • Chinese thuja (Platycladus orientalis) has a wide but fragmented distribution in China. It is an important conifer tree in reforestation and plays important roles in ecological restoration in the arid mountains of northern China. Based on high-resolution environmental data for current and future scenarios, we modeled the present and future suitable habitat for P. orientalis, evaluated the importance of environmental factors in shaping the species' distribution, and identified regions of high risk under climate change scenarios. The niche models showed that P. orientalis has suitable habitat of ca. 4.2x10(6) km(2) across most of eastern China and identified annual temperature, monthly minimum and maximum ultraviolet-B radiation and wet-day frequency as the critical factors shaping habitat availability for P. orientalis. Under the low concentration greenhouse gas emissions scenario, the range of the species may increase as global warming intensifies; however, under the higher concentrations of emissions scenario, we predicted a slight expansion followed by contraction in distribution. Overall, the range shift to higher latitudes and elevations would become gradually more significant. The information gained from this study should be an useful reference for implementing long-term conservation and management strategies for the species.

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  • Jin, Yuqing (author)
  • Wang, Xiao-RuUmeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap(Swepub:umu)xiwa0003 (author)
  • Mao, Jian-Feng (author)
  • Li, Yue (author)
  • Umeå universitetInstitutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap (creator_code:org_t)

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  • In:PLOS ONE: Public Library of Science (PLoS)10:71932-6203

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By the author/editor
Hu, Xian-Ge
Jin, Yuqing
Wang, Xiao-Ru
Mao, Jian-Feng
Li, Yue
About the subject
NATURAL SCIENCES
NATURAL SCIENCES
and Earth and Relate ...
and Climate Research
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES
AGRICULTURAL SCI ...
and Agriculture Fore ...
and Forest Science
Articles in the publication
PLOS ONE
By the university
Umeå University

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