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  • Yang, XiaorongClinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong, China; Clinical Research Center, Shandong University, Jinan, China (author)

Global burden for dengue and the evolving pattern in the past 30 years

  • Article/chapterEnglish2021

Publisher, publication year, extent ...

  • 2021-09-11
  • Oxford University Press,2021
  • printrdacarrier

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  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:umu-202963
  • https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-202963URI
  • https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taab146DOI

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  • Language:English
  • Summary in:English

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  • Subject category:ref swepub-contenttype
  • Subject category:art swepub-publicationtype

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  • Background: Dengue is the most prevalent and rapidly spreading mosquito-borne viral disease. We present the global, regional and national burden of dengue from 1990 to 2019 based on the findings from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019).Methods: Based upon GBD 2019 dengue data on age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized disability-Adjusted life years (DALYs) rate, this study estimates and presents annual percentage change (EAPC) to quantify trends over time to assess potential correlates of increased dengue activity, such as global travel and warming.Results: Globally from 1990 to 2019, dengue incident cases, deaths and DALYs gradually increased. Those under 5 years of age, once accounting for the largest portion of deaths and DALYs in 1990, were eclipsed by those who were 15-49 years old in 2019. Age standardized incidence [ASIR: EAPC: 3.16, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.90-3.43], death (ASDR: EAPC: 5.42, 95% CI: 2.64-8.28) and DALY rates (EAPC: 2.31, 95% CI: 2.00-2.62) accelerated most among high-middle and high sociodemographic index (SDI) regions. South-East Asia and South Asia had most of the dengue incident cases, deaths and DALYs, but East Asia had the fastest rise in ASIR (EAPC: 4.57, 95% CI: 4.31, 4.82), while Tropical Latin America led in ASDR (EAPC: 11.32, 95% CI: 9.11, 13.58) and age-standardized DALYs rate (EAPC: 4.13, 95% CI: 2.98, 5.29). SDI showed consistent bell-shaped relationship with ASIR, ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate. Global land-ocean temperature index and air passenger travel metrics were found to be remarkably positively correlated with dengue burden.Conclusions: The burden of dengue has become heavier from 1990 to 2019, amidst the three decades of urbanization, warming climates and increased human mobility in much of the world. South-East Asia and South Asia remain as regions of concern, especially in conjunction with the Americas' swift rise in dengue burden.

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  • Quam, Mikkel Brandon,1986-Umeå universitet,Avdelningen för hållbar hälsa,Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, United States(Swepub:umu)miqu0004 (author)
  • Zhang, TongchaoClinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong, China; Clinical Research Center, Shandong University, Jinan, China (author)
  • Sang, ShaoweiClinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong, China; Clinical Research Center, Shandong University, Jinan, China; Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Shandong, China (author)
  • Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong, China; Clinical Research Center, Shandong University, Jinan, ChinaAvdelningen för hållbar hälsa (creator_code:org_t)

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  • In:Journal of Travel Medicine: Oxford University Press28:81195-19821708-8305

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